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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (2 May)

HEADLINES: * Rosneft: major steps towards boosting shareholder value (upgraded to BUY) * EME Macro/Strategy: good news! (Alas, the best is still behind us) * Surgutneftegas: 1Q18 RAS results - broadly in line, accrued dividend on preferred shares at RUB 0.6 * Emlak Konut: strong 1Q18 P&L, but tenders and unit sales remain crucial POSITIVE * Podravka: 1Q18 results strong compared to 1Q17 and 4Q17 NEUTRAL * NIS: 1Q18 results significantly below expectations NEGATIVE * Nostr...

Ildar Davletshin
  • Ildar Davletshin

WOOD Flash – Surgutneftegas: 1Q18 RAS results – broadly in line, a...

On 28 April, Surgutneftegas (HOLD, USD 6.0/GDR and RUB 32/preferred share PTs) reported RUB 62.1bn in net income for 1Q18 under Russian accounting standards (RAS), compared to a net loss of RUB 90.7bn over the same period last year. The accrued dividend on the preferred shares amounts to RUB 0.6 (a 7.4% annualised dividend yield), although Surgutneftegas’ quarterly earnings tend to be highly volatile as the company books gains and losses from the revaluation of its cash pile, depending on the ...

Andy Jones ... (+5)
  • Andy Jones
  • Can Demir
  • Ildar Davletshin
  • Lukasz Wachelko
  • CFA

WOOD Flash – Russian equity market: walking through a minefield

We believe that investors should approach the Russian market with much more caution and be prepared for a lot of volatility in the next few days and weeks. We do not believe that all stocks have fully priced in the negative possibilities, but consider the overall market as becoming more attractively priced. We suggest that investors have a list of “top buys” at hand and be ready to step in on significant weakness over the next few weeks. Such a list could include some Russian consumer and me...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – CEE markets: Romanian index the top performer...

EME Equity Market – March 2018 Market performance – only Romania and Prague in positive territory. The MSCI EME lost 5.8% mom in March, continuing the negative trend after February’s 1.1% contraction. The Romanian BET index was the best performer in March, +3.1%, while Prague’s PX index remained broadly flat, recording a small gain of 0.3%. On the negative side, the Turkish ISE30 performed poorly, losing 9.1%, followed by the Warsaw WIG20, -7.3%. The Greek ASE index fell by 6.6% and Mosc...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
ATRS ATRIUM EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE LIMITED
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
OGZD GAZPROM
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
ARHOF AMREST HOLDING
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
SIF2 SIF MOLDOVA S.A.
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
DOAS DOGUS OTOMOTIV SERVIS VE TICARET A.S.
PODRRA PODRAVKA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
KGH KGHM POLSKA MIEDZ S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AEFES ANADOLU EFES BIRACILIK VE MALT SANAYII A.S.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
ENKAI ENKA INSAAT VE SANAYI A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
EKGYO EMLAK KONUT GAYRIMENKUL YATIRIM ORTAKLIGI A.G.
AFLT AEROFLOT RUSSIAN AIRLINES
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PCM PRIME CAR MANAGEMENT
ETE NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
AYGAZ AYGAZ A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
SAHOL HACI OMER SABANCI HOLDING A.S.
LTS GRUPA LOTOS S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
MDG MEDICALGORITHMICS SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
PKP PKP CARGO
ICD ENERGA SA
HB HELLENIC BANK LTD.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
NVTK NOVATEK JSC SPONSORED GDR REGS
N7MG NLMK (GDR)
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA
SVST SEVERSTAL (GDR)
TELEC O2 CZECH REPUBLIC A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
MMK MAGNITOGORSK IRON & STEEL WORKS (GDR)
EREGL ERDEMIR
PLY PLAY COMMUNICATIONS SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS FINANCIAL HOLDINGS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
MNOD NORILSK NICKEL
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
LKOD LUKOIL
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
0RO5 MEDLIFE
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
TGN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE TRANSPORT GAZE NATURALE TRANSGAZ S.A.
HTO OTE
JSW JSW
RICHT RICHTER
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
SBER03 SBERBANK
ARGRRA ATLANTIC GROUP
ANY ANY SECURITY PRINTING COMPANY
WABERERS WABERER'S INTERNATIONAL ZRT
SGGD SURGUTNEFTEGAS
ATAD TATNEFT
CEZ CEZ
KOFOL KOFOLA
OMV OMV
EVR EVRAZ
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
DPEU DP EURASIA
DOM PW DOM DEVELOPMENT
UQA AV UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP
LNTA LI LENTA
UNIP UNIPETROL
Ildar Davletshin
  • Ildar Davletshin

WOOD Flash – Russian Equity Strategy: feedback from investor meeting...

In this flash note, we share feedback post our 70-plus meetings with European, US and Middle Eastern investors. We were surprised to learn that practically all investors we met had Russia as either overweight or at least neutral. While we still maintain our positive view on Russia, given the bullish positioning, we believe that it make take longer for Russian stocks to re-rate from their current 6.7x P/E to a more reasonable 9-10x.

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