HEADLINES: * Raiffeisen Int: 1Q18 - strong bottom line, but driven purely by LLPs, as pre-provision profit in line POSITIVE * Romgaz: 1Q18 results affected by poor electricity and storage performance NEGATIVE * CCC: 1Q final numbers weak, matching preliminary statement * AmRest: 1Q EBITDA strong, as expected, miss on bottom line due to taxes and impairments * Rosneft: 1Q18 results - improving FCF is quite encouraging * Play Communications: 1Q18 - 3% miss on adjusted EBITDA ...
HEADLINES: * OTP Bank: 1Q18 - strong bottom line beat on low provision charges POSITIVE * Eurocash: 1Q showing first signs of recovery in wholesale POSITIVE * Bank Handlowy: 1Q18 - strong bottom line, but very weak quality mix NEUTRAL * Halkbank: 1Q18 - in line on the bottom line, but leaves much to be desired in operational metrics NEGATIVE * Nuclearelectrica: 1Q18 results above expectations POSITIVE * Pegasus Airlines: 1Q18 results - minor beat on stronger yields POSITIVE ...
HEADLINES: * Greek banks: stress test - no surprises but confirms our positive call * Folli Follie: Quintessential Capital Management claiming fraudulent behaviour by the company NEGATIVE * NBG: resignation of CEO * JSW: Zofiowka mine hit by tremor, two miners killed, three still missing NEGATIVE * Polish media: CPS' commercial audience share at 24.92% in April, while WPL's reached 0.38% NEUTRAL * Transgaz: open season procedure for Black Sea gas * Banca Transilvania: acq...
EME Equity Market – April 2018 Market performance – ASE gained the most in April, while the ISE30 lost the most. The MSCI EME dropped by 3.2% mom in EUR terms. The ASE index (+10% mom) reported the largest rate of return, followed by the Polish WIG20 index (+2.9%), and the BUX (+2.7% mom); while the Turkish ISE30 lost -10.4% mom, followed by the Russian MICEX (-6.3% mom), and the Czech PX index (-1.4% mom). The Romanian BET index stayed fairly flat (-0.1% mom).
EME Equity Market – March 2018 Market performance – only Romania and Prague in positive territory. The MSCI EME lost 5.8% mom in March, continuing the negative trend after February’s 1.1% contraction. The Romanian BET index was the best performer in March, +3.1%, while Prague’s PX index remained broadly flat, recording a small gain of 0.3%. On the negative side, the Turkish ISE30 performed poorly, losing 9.1%, followed by the Warsaw WIG20, -7.3%. The Greek ASE index fell by 6.6% and Mosc...
HEADLINES: * CEZ: absent yield support, a multiples rerating (stays HOLD) * CCC: weak sales in March due to... unfavourable weather NEGATIVE * LPP: relatively decent preliminary 1Q18 results POSITIVE * CEZ: Bulgaria not seeking stake in CEZ asset disposal POSITIVE * Banca Transilvania: announces price paid for Bancpost POSITIVE * Romanian pension funds: changes possible, starting in 2019 NEUTRAL * LiveChat Software: net customer adds at 374 in March NEGATIVE * Moscow Ex...
Following CEZ’s FY17 earnings, we raise our 2018E net profit forecast by c.16% to CZK 12.5bn on a lower depreciation charge, and retain our HOLD rating, with an updated price target (PT) of CZK 525/share. By extending its estimates of the useful life of the traditional generation fleet, management has delivered a material boost to CEZ’s bottom line; nonetheless, we believe that dividends from the 2018-19E earnings are still likely to fall by half vs. our forecast of CZK 35/share to be paid t...
HEADLINES: * Turkish small & mid-caps: small is beautiful, again (Datagate, Dogus Otomotiv, Indeks, Kordsa, Logo, Mavi, Tumosan and Yatas) * Ciech: 4Q17 - 8% adjusted EBITDA beat on slightly stronger soda segment and organic segment beat POSITIVE * Athens Exchange Group: 4Q17 in line; DPS a positive surprise POSITIVE * Philip Morris CR: 2H17 results - DPS below expectations and service revenues lower than expected NEGATIVE * CCC: takeaways from the management meeting POSITIVE ...
HEADLINES: * Sberbank: positives priced in, fair value (downgraded to HOLD) * Anadolu Efes: signs binding agreement with ABI; synergy guidance POSITIVE * Krka: 4Q17 results a small beat, FY18E guidance is "more of the same" NEUTRAL * Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from 4Q17 results conference * Enea: reported 4Q17 fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL * Romgaz: proposes RON 4.99 DPS POSITIVE * PKN Orlen: management and board changes NEGATIVE * CEZ: IndMin apparently n...
HEADLINES: * GTC: solid 4Q17 results and higher-than-expected dividend - we remain BUYers POSITIVE * Alpha Bank: 4Q17 - solid reversal of asset quality trends * DP Eurasia: 2017 results in line on adjusted EBITDA, miss on reported EBITDA NEUTRAL * Kruk: takeaways from the conference call * CEZ: takeaways from 4Q conference call - broadly neutral NEUTRAL * CEZ: 4Q17 results beat consensus, FY18E guidance range rather weak NEUTRAL * Coca-Cola Icecek: Pakistani Rupee corrects...
Despite the solid 4Q17 numbers, we expect neutral or weaker trading this morning (20 March) on the back of the FY18E guidance, which is below the current Bloomberg consensus range and our own marked-to-market forecasts. Despite the clear downward trend in power prices (down c.10% yoy on c.20% lower coal prices), the stock has been supported by the idea of splitting the company and by a solid current yield – assuming a 90% payout, a DPS of CZK 35, or a 6.9% yield. However, with yield support fa...
HEADLINES: * Russian Equity Strategy: feedback from investor meetings * LPP: 4Q17 review and guidance update POSITIVE * Fourlis: 4Q17 results - 5% EBITDA beat on Intersport operations POSITIVE * OMV: act 2 - curtains up for more action * Motor Oil Hellas: strong 4Q, despite poor environment POSITIVE * Alpha Bank: sale of consumer NPLs to B2 Holdings POSITIVE * Tauron: reported 4Q figures in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL * Raiffeisen Int.: announces FY17 results; DPS ...
EME Equity Market – February 2018 Market performance –Moscow the regional top performer in February. In February, the MSCI EME lost 1.1% mom in EUR terms, vs. the 6.6% gain in the previous month. The largest rate of return in February was realised by the MICEX, up 2.1%, followed by Bucharest’s BET (+0.9% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.7%). The other regional indices ended the month in negative territory, with Warsaw’s WIG20 recording the largest drop (-7.9%) and Budapest’s BUX followin...
Market performance – Russian MICEX and Greek ASE indices up the most in November in EUR terms. In November, the MSCI EME index increased by 2.2% mom in EUR terms. The Russian MICEX managed to rise the most (+8.2% mom), followed by the Greek ASE (+6.4% mom). The only other EME index to end the month in positive territory was the Romanian BET (+0.2% mom). The worst-performing EME index was the Turkish ISE30, which lost 12.2% mom, while the Czech PX (-4.5% mom) and Polish WIG20 (-4.1% mom) also f...
The MSCI EME index increased by 3.6% mom in EUR terms in October, while most stock markets also rose. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer (+7.5% mom), while the Czech PX index (+6.7% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Greek ASE index (+4.5% mom) also managed to report growth. The Russian MICEX (+2.2% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 index (+1.8% mom) also grew, but to a smaller extent. The only CEE index to end the month in negative territory was the Romanian BET, which lost -3.0% mom. C...
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