Two Directors at Arizona Gold & Silver Inc bought 55,000 shares at 0.980CAD. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...
Copper moved above US$13,000/tonne, as tight inventories and US tariff concerns pushed the market into a deficit-driven pricing regime, while gold remained firm on safe-haven demand. Zijin’s 2025 profit alert was within expectations, with earnings growth of 59-62% yoy. The 2026 outlook was a positive surprise, led by gold output pulled forward into the prior 2028 target range (+16.7% yoy), with copper up +10.1% yoy on Kamoa-Kakula normalisation and Julong ramp-up. We maintain BUY and raise targe...
Top Stories Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company Update...
Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
Zijin Mining’s 9M25 results are in line, with net profit up 56% yoy to Rmb37,863.6m, driven by higher realised ASPs and strong gold production growth. Mining-entity gross margin expanded to 60.6% (+2.9ppt) on gold strength, while cost upticks from Akyem are expected to normalise. The ZGI listing enhanced liquidity and expanded M&A headroom. The constructive demand outlook for copper and persistent global supply disruptions support a further valuation re-rating. We maintain BUY with a higher targ...
Top Stories Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, bringing 9M25 growth to 5.1%. 9M25 FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide furthe...
Greater China Economics | Economic Activity China’s 3Q25 GDP growth slowed to 4.8% yoy, 9M25 growth to 5.1%. Ytd FAI fell 0.5% yoy, dragged by property FAI (-13.9% ytd yoy). September's industrial production rose 6.5% yoy, but retail sales growth eased to 3.0% yoy. With the stronger-than-expected 9M25 growth, we raise the full-year real GDP growth forecast to 5.0% yoy. That said, further policy support is still needed and we expect proposals for the 15th Five-year Plan to provide further clu...
Zijin reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb23,291.8m (+54.4% yoy), in line with expectations. Mining entities’ gross margins expanded to 60.2% (+2.9ppt yoy) on higher gold prices and volumes. Gold/copper contributed 38.6%/38.5% of gross profit, a more balanced mix that enhances earnings resilience. 1H25 gold/copper output rose to 41.2/566,853 tonnes (+16.3%/+9.3% yoy); management noted that the Kamoa flooding impact is insignificant at the group level. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$29.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$101.60/Target: HK$114.20) 1H25: Results in line; lowers Anta brand target slightly, but maintains group-level target. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$30.40/Target: HK$34.10) 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook & regular REIT expansion vision. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK/BUY/HK$7.94/Target: HK$8.88) 1H25: Hardware shipments more than double; eyeing mass pro...
Trade deal in focus. Notwithstanding the 90-day truce on tariff escalation, it is still a 50/50 if there will be a “Big Beautiful Deal” between the US and China. The US is steadfast in wanting to cap China’s growth and restricting her access to the latest technology, while China is making a firm stand on its economic rights. We expect that higher US tariffs on Chinese goods are unavoidable, likely closer to the 60% mark, if Trump were to be seen making a credible move to onshore production in ...
Copper prices rebounded on renewed US-China trade optimism, while demand remains under pressure from macro headwinds. Looser supply conditions have weighed on the Yangshan premium and spurred export activity. The near-term outlook remains neutral, with trade negotiations a key swing factor. A more constructive view emerges for 1H26, underpinned by green energy momentum and a global policy-driven recovery. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Zijin reported 1Q25 earnings of Rmb10,166.8m (+62.4% yoy), in line with expectations. Mining entities’ gross margin expanded to 59.9% (+5.4ppt yoy), supported by a gold price rally. The contribution from gold/copper to gross profit became more balanced at 36%/42%, enhancing earnings resilience amid elevated market uncertainties. 1Q25 gold output rose to a record 19.1 tonnes (+13.4% yoy), on track to achieve its 2025 growth target of 17%. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Trade Mar 25 exports growth rebounded to 12.4% yoy, a big improvement from Feb 25’s -3.0% yoy (which was affected by the holidays), but still a moderation from 4Q24's stronger performance. On the other hand, imports fell 4.3% yoy, dragged by a strong decline in coal imports. Trade surplus widened to US$102.6b, but will narrow in the months ahead if the higher US tariffs remain. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property In Apr 25: a) major mainland cities saw mom decrea...
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: A divergence between exports and imports. Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Sales recovery weakened in Apr 25; watch for further policy support and the implications of Hong Kong’s free trade status. Results Zijin Mining (2899 HK/BUY/HK$17.22/Target: HK$24.00): 1Q25: In line; poised to capitalise on gold price surge with robust production growth. Update Kingboard Laminates Holdings (1888 HK/BUY/HK$7.69/Target: HK$9.58): Cautiously optimistic on 1H25; developing...
Zijin reported 2024 earnings of Rmb32,050.6m (+51.8% yoy), within expectations. Mining entities’ gross margin expanded to 58.0% in 2024 (+8.9ppt yoy) on a metal price rally and effective cost control. Both Zijin’s copper C1 and gold AISC were among the 20% lowest globally. Copper/gold output grew to 1.07m/72.9 tonnes (+6.1%/+7.7% yoy). Kamoa’s copper output will hit 580,000 tonnes with the completion of phase 3 expansion six months ahead of schedule. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$23.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Internet Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) CMOC reported 2024 earnings of Rmb13,532.0m (+64.0...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
The HSI and MSCI China index rose 13.4% mom and 11.5% mom respectively in February, riding the wave of optimism on China’s tech sector. Sino-US tensions look set to rise in March, as higher tariffs take effect and should lead to greater market volatility. Hence, we will be quick to take profit and will only add names with less demanding valuations. New additions to our BUY list are Geely, JD, SHKP and Zijin Mining.
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