HEADLINES: * Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q18 - 26% EBITDA beat on international, strong volume growth in all markets POSITIVE * OMV: 1Q18 results review - better than expected POSITIVE * OMV Petrom: 1Q18 review - big beat on net income POSITIVE * TSKB: 1Q18 wrap up - Stage 2 may create downbeat sentiment NEGATIVE * Aselsan: 1Q18 in line NEUTRAL * CCC: April sales up 32.5% yoy to PLN 455m POSITIVE * Fondul Proprietatea: asks Hidroelectrica to pay a dividend of RON 2.6bn NEUTRAL *...
EME Equity Market – April 2018 Market performance – ASE gained the most in April, while the ISE30 lost the most. The MSCI EME dropped by 3.2% mom in EUR terms. The ASE index (+10% mom) reported the largest rate of return, followed by the Polish WIG20 index (+2.9%), and the BUX (+2.7% mom); while the Turkish ISE30 lost -10.4% mom, followed by the Russian MICEX (-6.3% mom), and the Czech PX index (-1.4% mom). The Romanian BET index stayed fairly flat (-0.1% mom).
HEADLINES: * Rosneft: major steps towards boosting shareholder value (upgraded to BUY) * EME Macro/Strategy: good news! (Alas, the best is still behind us) * Surgutneftegas: 1Q18 RAS results - broadly in line, accrued dividend on preferred shares at RUB 0.6 * Emlak Konut: strong 1Q18 P&L, but tenders and unit sales remain crucial POSITIVE * Podravka: 1Q18 results strong compared to 1Q17 and 4Q17 NEUTRAL * NIS: 1Q18 results significantly below expectations NEGATIVE * Nostr...
HEADLINES: * CCC: weak 1Q18 results, miss vs. the consensus, but better than we expected NEGATIVE * NLMK: recommends large dividend for 1Q18, at 3.6% quarterly yield (15% annualised) POSITIVE * Public Power Corporation: 4Q17 boosted by PSO one-off, weak cash generation NEGATIVE * Electrica: real rate of return might be cut to 5% NEGATIVE * Electrica: new board, more state representatives * National Bank: VRS details POSITIVE * OMV: signs new offshore agreement in UAE wi...
HEADLINES: * CCC: acquires franchisee operating 41 stores in Poland at 4.6x P/E POSITIVE * Play Communications: to pay PLN 2.57 DPS from 2017 net profit (dividend yield: 8%) NEUTRAL * UNIQA Insurance Group: publishes Economic Capital report; ECR & SCR broadly in line with prelims NEUTRAL * OMV: trading update, in line with expectations NEUTRAL * OMV Petrom: trading update, in line with expectations NEUTRAL * Emlak Konut: sells 983 units in 1Q18, sales value a slight miss vs. g...
EME Equity Market – March 2018 Market performance – only Romania and Prague in positive territory. The MSCI EME lost 5.8% mom in March, continuing the negative trend after February’s 1.1% contraction. The Romanian BET index was the best performer in March, +3.1%, while Prague’s PX index remained broadly flat, recording a small gain of 0.3%. On the negative side, the Turkish ISE30 performed poorly, losing 9.1%, followed by the Warsaw WIG20, -7.3%. The Greek ASE index fell by 6.6% and Mosc...
HEADLINES: * EMEA steel producers: making EVRAZ great again (Erdemir and NLMK downgraded to HOLD; EVRAZ and MMK stay BUY; Severstal stays HOLD) * Aegean Airlines: 4Q17 results - very strong quarter on higher yields, DPS proposal in line POSITIVE * Wirtualna Polska: 4Q17 - strong operating results, bottom line affected by one-offs and taxes POSITIVE * Wirtualna Polska: concludes annex to agreement considering acquisition of minority stake in Domodi NEUTRAL * PKP Cargo: 4Q17 result...
HEADLINES: * Polish utilities: unloved, but (really) cheap again (upgrading to BUY on Enea, Energa & PGE, Tauron stays HOLD) * CE4 macro: inflation - just not taking off. Yet... * PZU: 4Q17 - a solid set of results POSITIVE * OTP Bank: denied approval to take over Banca Romaneasca NEGATIVE * KGHM: 4Q17 financial results - weaker-than-expected EBITDA on higher costs, little FCF NEGATIVE * Bank Pekao: denies press speculation on the decision to merge with Alior * Polish ban...
EME Equity Market – February 2018 Market performance –Moscow the regional top performer in February. In February, the MSCI EME lost 1.1% mom in EUR terms, vs. the 6.6% gain in the previous month. The largest rate of return in February was realised by the MICEX, up 2.1%, followed by Bucharest’s BET (+0.9% mom) and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.7%). The other regional indices ended the month in negative territory, with Warsaw’s WIG20 recording the largest drop (-7.9%) and Budapest’s BUX followin...
Today, OMV made its long-awaited announcement on an asset swap with Gazprom, which the company has consistently promised to the markets is going to be a major step forward in OMV’s long-term strategy, and an answer to its greatest challenges. The deal will swap a 38.5% share in OMV Norge for a 24.98% share of Areas IV and V of the Achimov formation, within the Urengoy oil, gas and condensates field in Russia. We like the deal, as it solves OMV’s reserve replacement problem, drives medium-ter...
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