EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line beat in 3Q25, on higher trading income and lower costs POSITIVE • Jahez: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q25 – RASK pressure exceeds our estimate NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA miss of 5%; FY25E EBITDA guidance cut to PLN 1.7-1.8bn, from PLN 2.4bn NEGATIVE • Alpha Bank: 3Q25 highlights – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • Dino: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • InPost: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • MOL: ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: 3Q25 very solid; 20%+ ROE delivery; key catalyst will be M&A decisions NEUTRAL • Komercni Banka: 3Q25 beat driven purely by positive LLPs balance, still no breakthrough in NII performance NEUTRAL • ING BSK: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • mBank: 3Q25 bottom line misses estimates, but purely on higher tax and FX mortgage saga provisions NEUTRAL • Kruk: 3Q25 results a mixed bag – recoveries strong, revenues down, no breakthrough in Spain NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
EME Equity Market – March 2024 Market performance – mixed performances in March, with the Romanian BET outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.3% mom in EUR terms and 0.4% mom in USD in March. The Romanian BET reported the strongest performance, adding 7.1% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Czech PX and the Polish WIG20 (+4.1% and 1.0% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). Greece saw a relatively muted performance (-0.2% mom in EUR terms), while Hungary (-1.1% mom in EUR terms) and Tür...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 4Q23 profits largely in line; 2024E guidance assumes continuation of profits, but ROE is likely start to normalise • Alpha Bank: 4Q23 highlights • Eurobank: 4Q23 highlights • Fondul Proprietatea: Court of Appeal admits Fund’s request to annul share capital increase decision at Bucharest Airports POSITIVE • Arcelik: CMA approves Arcelik-Whirlpool Deal POSITIVE • DataWalk: key takeaways from the preliminary 4Q23 earnings call POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 4Q23E results preview ...
EME Equity Market – November 2023 Market performance – Greeks in the lead, in a month with only green across the region. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 5.6% mom in EUR terms and 8.7% mom in USD in November. The Greek ASE Index was the top performer in our region (+6.9% mom), followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.5% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom). The Czech PX Index saw the most muted performance, advancing 2.8% mom.
HEADLINES: • Arabian Drilling: 3Q23 results - strong EBITDA, flat net income • Alpha Bank: 3Q23 highlights - better-than-expected core revenues and cost control • Piraeus Bank: 3Q23 highlights - a beat from core revenues and cost control • Bucharest Stock Exchange: 3Q23 results • Kazatomprom: 3Q23 trading statement • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 October-5 November) • European oil and gas monthly: October 2023 - refining margins back to normal • Polish utilities: power prices...
EME Equity Market – August 2023 Market performance – Turkey the top performer in August, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.2% mom in USD in August. Turkey, yet again, outperformed its peers, with the ISE30 gaining 9.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX index saw a solid performance in August, adding 6.1% mom in EUR terms, while the Romanian BET had a lacklustre month, barely making any gains (0.1% mom in EUR terms). Elsewhere, the index performances were neg...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: beats expectations with 2Q23 delivery, implies massive upside risk to FY23E expectations • CEZ: strong 2Q beat on trading, EBITDA and net guidance unchanged POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 2Q23 - occupancy stable, FFO yield at 17%, developments could push it up to 20+% POSITIVE • CTP: 2Q23 - recurring in line, FFO guidance reiterated, leasing backdrop supportive, LTV contained POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: 2Q23 results review - adjusted EBITDA +19% yoy to HUF 83.4bn, 4% above ou...
EME Equity Market – June 2023 Market performance – in the mostly green month of June, Czech Index’s red performance stands out; Turkish gains eclipsed by TRY devaluation. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.3% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in June. The Polish WIG20 advanced the most (+11.1% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms), the Greek ASE Index (+4.9% mom in EUR terms) and the Romanian BET Index (with a more modest, but positive performance: +2....
HEADLINES: • GTC: takeaways from the management call with investors on the Ultima purchase NEGATIVE • Richter: Minister reiterates WFT rate cut plus R&D write-off NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO POSITIVE • Electrica: has attracted EUR 57m of non-reimbursable financing through the Modernisation Fund NEUTRAL • Alpha Bank: completion of Project Sky and issuance of senior preferred notes • Short news (TEL)
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 4Q FY23 - miss vs. consensus on higher opex, forward-looking guidance implies upside NEUTRAL • Alpha Bank: investor day highlights POSITIVE • LiveChat Software: launches beta tests of ChatBot 2.0 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users in May 2023 NEGATIVE
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • Alpha Bank: 1Q23 - a strong start to 2023 POSITIVE • Turk Telekom: 1Q23 results slightly below the consensus on EBITDA/NI • BIM: 1Q23 results - in line operationally, but bottom line misses expectations NEUTRAL • Petkim: 1Q results - net income beats forecasts • CCC: soft start to the year, with 1Q23 adjusted EBITDA down 36% yoy NEGATIVE • Auto Partner: April sales up by 36% yoy, 3ppts above our model assumption NEUTRAL • Electrica: 1Q23 operational indicators show 9% decline in ...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q23 results - strong beat in operating performance POSITIVE • Vestel Beyaz: strong beat in 1Q23 results POSITIVE • Elbit Systems: management call highlights - improved outlook POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: amendments to the solidarity tax law introduced by the Senate POSITIVE • Fondul Proprietatea: to receive RON 867m dividends from Hidroelectrica • The Rear-View Mirror - EME markets: all geographies in the black, bar Turkey • Banca Transilvania: 1Q23E results preview ...
EME Equity Market – March 2023 Market performance – all geographies down in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 7.6% mom in EUR terms and 5.7% mom in USD in March. Among a sea of red, Romania’s BET saw the smallest decline (-2.6% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Czech PX Index (-5.5% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX indices saw similar declines (-7.4% and -7.5% mom ,respectively, in EUR terms), while the worst performer for the month was the Turkish ISE30, down 10.5% mo...
HEADLINES: • Alpha Bank: 4Q22 - strong quarter, discount vs. peers too wide POSITIVE • National Bank: 4Q22 - solid numbers, upside risk in targets POSITIVE • Hungary macro: a closer look at the funding position • Wirtualna Polska: mediocre 4Q22, with adjusted EBITDA up 15% yoy, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • ONE United Properties: 2023E guidance, CMD takeaways NEUTRAL • Fondul Proprietatea: receives tag-along notice from Enel for two of the subsidiaries NEUTRAL • US macro: disinflation path...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 4Q22 results - in line operationally NEUTRAL • Turkey macro: January balance of payment shows no improvement • Greece macro: February inflation moderates to 6.1% yoy • Romania macro: inflation up, trade deficit shrinks • Banca Transilvania: budget for 2023E, reassuring outlook • Electrica: takeaways from the 4Q22 earnings call • Romanian utilities: tariffs may be adjusted only with inflation and recovery of grid losses • Shoper: expects e-commerce market to rise by 7-8%...
EME Equity Market – February 2023 Market performance – Greece and Czechia continue with good momentum; Turkey resumes rally. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 4.9% mom in EUR terms and 2.4% mom in USD in February. The Greek ASE and the Czech PX were, again, the best performers, adding 10.4% mom and 7.6% mom in EUR terms, respectively; while the rally resumed in Turkey, with the ISE 30 index gaining 7.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a somewhat muted performance in Hungary and Romania, with the BUX a...
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