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Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Mixed risk for dividend cuts

Following the recent sharp oil price drop to ~USD70/bbl, we see increased investor concerns about the robustness of shareholder distributions. Historically, disappointments related to dividends and/or buybacks have triggered meaningful negative share-price reactions. For our large-cap NCS coverage, we believe oil prices would have to move below USD60/bbl for any negative surprises to unfold for Aker BP and Equinor, as both have strong balance sheets, enabling dividend flexibility. On the other h...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Buy-back of shares to share programmes for employees

Equinor ASA: Buy-back of shares to share programmes for employees Please see below information about transactions made under the buy-back programme for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR) for shares to be used in the share-based incentive programmes for employees and management. Date on which the buy-back programme was announced: 7 February 2024. The duration of the buy-back programme: 15 February 2024 to 15 January 2025. Size of the buy-back programme: The total purchase amount under the programme is NOK 1,156,000,000 and the maximum shares to be acquired is 16,800,000 shares, of wh...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Kjøp av aksjer til aksjeprogram for ansatte

Equinor ASA: Kjøp av aksjer til aksjeprogram for ansatte Nedenfor følger informasjon om transaksjoner knyttet til tilbakekjøpsprogrammet for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR) til bruk i aksjebaserte insentivprogrammer for ansatte og ledelse. Dato for annonsering av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: 7. februar 2024. Varighet av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: 15. februar 2024 til 15. januar 2025. Størrelse av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: Samlet kjøpesum i tilbakekjøpsprogrammet er inntil NOK 1.156.000.000 og det maksimale antall aksjer som kan erverves er 16.800.000, hvorav opp til 7.400.000 aksjer kan er...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Share buy-back

Equinor ASA: Share buy-back Please see below information about transactions made under the third tranche of the 2024 share buy-back programme for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR, CEUX:EQNRO, TQEX:EQNRO). Date on which the third tranche of the 2024 programme was announced: 24 July 2024. The duration of the third tranche of the 2024 programme: 25 July to no later than 22 October 2024. Further information on the tranche can be found in the stock market announcement on its commencement dated 24 July 2024, available here: From 9 September until 13 September 2024, Equinor ASA has pu...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Tilbakekjøp av egne aksjer

Equinor ASA: Tilbakekjøp av egne aksjer Nedenfor følger informasjon om transaksjoner foretatt under tredje transje av Equinor ASAs (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR, CEUX:EQNRO, TQEX:EQNRO) tilbakekjøpsprogram for 2024. Dato for når tredje transje av 2024-programmet ble annonsert: 24. juli 2024. Varigheten til tredje transje av 2024-programmet: 25. juli til senest 22. oktober 2024. Ytterligere informasjon om transjen kan finnes i børsmelding om dens oppstart datert 24. juli 2024, tilgjengelig her:    Fra 9. september til 13. september 2024, har Equinor ASA kjøpt tilbake totalt 1.200.000 egne aksjer...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Buy-back of shares to share programmes for employees

Equinor ASA: Buy-back of shares to share programmes for employees Please see below information about transactions made under the buy-back programme for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR) for shares to be used in the share-based incentive programmes for employees and management. Date on which the buy-back programme was announced: 7 February 2024. The duration of the buy-back programme: 15 February 2024 to 15 January 2025. Size of the buy-back programme: The total purchase amount under the programme is NOK 1,156,000,000 and the maximum shares to be acquired is 16,800,000 shares, of wh...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Kjøp av aksjer til aksjeprogram for ansatte

Equinor ASA: Kjøp av aksjer til aksjeprogram for ansatte Nedenfor følger informasjon om transaksjoner knyttet til tilbakekjøpsprogrammet for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR) til bruk i aksjebaserte insentivprogrammer for ansatte og ledelse. Dato for annonsering av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: 7. februar 2024. Varighet av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: 15. februar 2024 til 15. januar 2025. Størrelse av tilbakekjøpsprogrammet: Samlet kjøpesum i tilbakekjøpsprogrammet er inntil NOK 1.156.000.000 og det maksimale antall aksjer som kan erverves er 16.800.000, hvorav opp til 7.400.000 aksjer kan er...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published an update on DNO, seeing significant value potential from its Norwegian portfolio. As one of the most successful NCS exploration companies in recent years, the company has discovered net resources of ~135mmboe. In other news, we upgraded Aker BP to BUY (HOLD), viewing its recent underperformance as an attractive entry point. Also, a gas market update with Equinor left us slightly more bullish with regards to the near- and long-term gas market outlook.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY -136/09/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LN)C; Target price £0.40 per share: Anchois-3 encounters gas in the appraisal targets but one of the exploration target is dry – The Anchois-3 well has 3 objectives. While the initial pilot hole encountered the targeted reservoirs at the Anchois Footwall prospect, they were interpreted as water wet. Our ReNAV for this prospect was £0.03/sh. The well was sidetracked in the B sands which are the main appraisal targets. Prel...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: a surplus in 2025 that is acting as a drag on price...

>Growth in demand slowing due to China - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised further down its demand growth estimates by 70kb/d to +900 kb/d for 2024 and by 30 kb/d to +950 kb/d for 2025. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d pre-Covid and a record of +2.1 Mb/d in 2023, an exceptional year marked by a catch-up effect. This decline is mainly due to the slowdown in China, which contributes to the tune of ~60% to growth in global demand....

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un surplus en 2025 qui pèse sur les cours. Scénar...

>La croissance de la demande ralentit à cause de la Chine - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise une nouvelle fois en baisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 70 kb/j à +900 kb/j pour 2024 et de 30 kb/j à +950 kb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j avant le COVID et un record de +2.1 Mb/j en 2023, une année exceptionnelle marquée par un effet rattrapage. Cette baisse s’explique pour l’essentiel par le ralentissement en Chine, ...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

DNO (Buy, TP: NOK16.00) - Significant NCS value potential

With a solid NCS exploration track record, DNO has discovered net resources of over 135mmboe. We estimate a NCS production CAGR of ~10% throughout this decade, with additional upside potential if discoveries are sanctioned. Despite the Iraq-Turkey pipeline uncertainty, we expect sufficient cash flow to cover dividends until 2030, even if oil is sold locally at mid-USD30/bbl. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK16 (12)

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Share buy-back

Equinor ASA: Share buy-back Please see below information about transactions made under the third tranche of the 2024 share buy-back programme for Equinor ASA (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR, CEUX:EQNRO, TQEX:EQNRO). Date on which the third tranche of the 2024 programme was announced: 24 July 2024. The duration of the third tranche of the 2024 programme: 25 July to no later than 22 October 2024. Further information on the tranche can be found in the stock market announcement on its commencement dated 24 July 2024, available here: From 2 September until 6 September 2024, Equinor ASA has purchased a...

 PRESS RELEASE

Equinor ASA: Tilbakekjøp av egne aksjer

Equinor ASA: Tilbakekjøp av egne aksjer Nedenfor følger informasjon om transaksjoner foretatt under tredje transje av Equinor ASAs (OSE:EQNR, NYSE:EQNR, CEUX:EQNRO, TQEX:EQNRO) tilbakekjøpsprogram for 2024. Dato for når tredje transje av 2024-programmet ble annonsert: 24. juli 2024. Varigheten til tredje transje av 2024-programmet: 25. juli til senest 22. oktober 2024. Ytterligere informasjon om transjen kan finnes i børsmelding om dens oppstart datert 24. juli 2024, tilgjengelig her: Fra 2. september til 6. september 2024, har Equinor ASA kjøpt tilbake totalt 1.500.000...

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