A director at Umicore S.A. bought 4,930 shares at 20.290EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
Umicore is a tale of opposing forces. Despite pressure from Chinese LFP CAM material, we expect Umicore's Battery Materials business to show a major top line growth acceleration as from 2024 with earnings growth to follow as from 2025. Solid order books, earnings protection clauses, legislative support and a desire of global OEMs to establish local supply chains in Europe & North America are all pleading in favour of Umicore's Battery Materials business. Catalysis is the a negative force as the ...
>FY23 results were slightly below our expectations but with silver linings - Umicore’s FY 23 results were slightly below our expectations with FY23 sales (€3.87bn) coming at 6% below Vara consensus of (€4.1bn). Similarly adjusted EBITDA and adj. EBIT came in 2% below Vara consensus each. Moreover, adj. net profit was slightly higher than expected, coming at €447m, which was 4% above Vara consensus. Net debt surprised largely at €1.26bn, 11% below Vara consensus of €1...
Umicore's FY23 adj EBITDA dropped by 16% and was 1% above our forecast and 1.5% below CSS. The FY24 adj EBITDA guidance range of € 900-950m represents at midpoint a 5% drop and falls short to our (952m) and CSS (979m) forecasts, with Recycling the key culprit for the y/y drop due to lower metal prices. We continue to believe Umicore is well placed to play an important role in the electrification of transportation as we believe that global OEMs are still determined to establish local supply chain...
• H2-23 EBITDA missed by 4% and the FY24 EBITDA range by 6%, both primarily due to Battery Materials (e.g. impact start-up costs).• This means that the doubts on battery materials are unlikely to be removed soon and that 2024 will be another transition year. • We stick to Hold and lower our TP to EUR 23 (from EUR 25), based on our 2025E SOTP with an overall target EV/EBITDA of around 8x.
Sodexo boasts a defensive profile and significant potential for operational improvement, with progress increasingly visible since Sophie Bellon’s arrival as CEO. These factors are set to endure, narrowing the gap with Compass, and its transformation into a catering pure player following Pluxee’s spin-off in early 2024 should facilitate the group’s rerating. Outperform rating reiterated and a target price € 98 following Pluxee’s spin-off (combined Sodexo + Pluxee target price of € 12...
Sodexo bénéficie d’un profil défensif et d’un fort potentiel d’amélioration opérationnelle, avec des progrès de plus en plus visibles depuis l’arrivée de Sophie Bellon comme CEO. Ceux-ci devraient se poursuivre, réduisant l’écart avec Compass, et sa transformation en un pure player, à la suite du spin-off de Pluxee début 2024, devrait faciliter son rerating boursier. Surperformance réitérée et OC à 98 € à la suite du spin-off de Pluxee (OC combinés Sodexo + Pluxee à 129 € vs OC de 118...
>2023 results expected to be in line with guidance - Umicore will publish its 2023 results on February 16 at 07.30h CET with an analyst call planned for 08.30h CET, which will be webcast. We forecast sales of €4.12bn (VARA css at €4.11bn) and an adjusted EBITDA of €991m or a margin of 24.0% (css at €987m, also a margin of 24.0%), which is materially lower than the €865m of 2022 (margin of 27.7%) when Umicore benefited from very favourable PGM and other metal prices. ...
We foresee another transition year coming up as we expect that start-up costs will hamper operational leverage at battery materials and lower PGM prices will impact profitability of Recycling. We have lowered our 2024-26 EBITDA estimates by 7-9%.Our 2025E SOTP arrives at EUR 25 p/s (was EUR 31 p/s), with a target EV/EBITDA of 8.3x (was 9.3x) due to lower peer group multiples. Hold.
We decided to take a more cautious stance on the earnings outlook for Recycling and Energy & Surface Technologies, cutting our group adjusted EBITDA forecasts for the period 2024-2026 by 5-6%. Our new 2024 adj. EBITDA forecast implies a small (-1%) y/y decline, as lower Recycling and Catalysis results are no longer expected to be offset by earnings growth of the RBM business. Despite the earnings downgrade, we continue to believe Umicore is well placed to play an important role in the electrific...
Last week's At the Core Battery Materials event in Poland, including a site visit to Nysa, highlighted the company's broad technology toolbox, tailored for both entry, mass and premium LDV segments. The competitive position of Umicore's NMC-focussed technologies vs LFP remains a key question, despite strong arguments for regional differentiation. We do believe that global OEMs prefer to establish local supply chains in ao Europe and North America, for reasons of supply security, geopolitical ind...
Sans direction depuis avril, les marchés européens sont récemment entrés dans une phase de bear market qui pourrait atteindre 5% supplémentaires d’ici fin 2023. Nous restons surpondérés sur les actions américaines vs européennes en raison de la résilience de l’économie US. En Europe, nous continuons de préférer les valeurs défensives peu endettées et leur adjoignons désormais celles du style Qualité. Nous ajustons notre allocation sectorielle tout en maintenant sa philosophie d’ensemb...
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