Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
>Organic sales momentum accelerates, EBITDA margins expansion - Q3 2024 group sales were € 49m (+9% y-o-y or +7% excluding a forex effect of 2pp), keeping pace with the solid organic growth observed in H1 (+7%), and broadly in line with our estimate. Precision sales grew by +9% y-o-y to € 31m (vs +5% in H1 and +13% l-f-l in FY 2023) and were aligned with our figures. The sequential improvement was due to more favourable momentum in laboratory and medical oncology that...
>Organic sales momentum remains strong, EBITDA accelerates - Q2 2024 group sales were € 57m (+6% y-o-y or +7% excluding -1pp of FX), keeping the solid pace seen in Q1 (+7%), and were broadly in line with our estimate. Precision sales grew by +4% y-o-y to € 32m (vs +10% in Q1 and+13% l-f-l in FY 2023) and were aligned with our numbers., the sequential deterioration is owed to fewer referrals from the Public Health System. Prevention sales posted +8% y-o-y growth to € 2...
>Organic sales momentum remains strong - Q1 2024 group sales were € 51m (+7% y-o-y or +9% excluding -1pp of FX and -1pp of calendar impact), keeping the solid pace seen in FY 2023, and were broadly in line with our estimate. The scope effect of Chilerad and Initia (acquired in December 2022), which contributed with 2-3pp of the group’s sales growth over the last year, in now over. Precision sales grew by +10% y-o-y to € 30m (vs +13% Lfl in FY23) and were aligned with...
Les faibles valorisation et endettement de Wendel et de BVI, permettent pour la première fois depuis 20 ans, d’envisager un scenario original mais créateur de valeur pour Wendel-Participations (WP). Il s’agirait d’une OPA sur les 60% non détenus de Wendel, financée par un dividend recap de BVI, Stahl et Wendel ainsi qu’une cession d’un bloc de BVI. Elle permettrait à Wendel 1/ d’éliminer la forte décote sur l’ANR (52%), 2/ d’offrir une porte de sortie aux minoritaires (prime de 35%e),...
Les faibles valorisation et endettement de Wendel et de BVI, permettent pour la première fois depuis 20 ans, d’envisager un scenario original mais créateur de valeur pour Wendel-Participations (WP). Il s’agirait d’une OPA sur les 60% non détenus de Wendel, financée par un dividend recap de BVI, Stahl et Wendel ainsi qu’une cession d’un bloc de BVI. Elle permettrait à Wendel 1/ d’éliminer la forte décote sur l’ANR (52%), 2/ d’offrir une porte de sortie aux minoritaires (prime de 35%e),...
>Atrys sells the remaining 75% of Conversia to Arraigo Midco for € 35m - The company has completed the disposal of its non-core compliance unit Conversia with the closeout of the remaining 75% stake for € 35m to Arraigo Midco who already bought an initial 25% stake in December 2022 for € 20m. Taking into account both operations the deal implies 9x EV/EBITDA FY 2023e which in our view is fair despite being somewhat below the group’s current multiple (10x EV/EBITDA FY 2...
>Organic sales momentum remains strong - Q3 2023 group sales were € 51m (+11% y-o-y vs +33% in H1 2023 and +55% in FY 2022) the normalisation of sales growth was due to the end of the scope effect on Bienzobas (acquired in July 2022), while the group continues to benefit from the scope effect on Chilerad and Initia (acquired in December 2022) which contributed with 2-3pp of the group’s sales growth over the quarter, on our estimates, implying organic growth of +8-9%, ...
Elis is trading at a discount of over 30% to peers, even though it has demonstrated excellent FCF resilience in recent months. In 2023, the group showed an excellent capacity to pass on price increases and significant productivity effects. These factors, coupled with the easing of energy prices, should drive the 2024 results. A sharp reduction in the leverage ratio (2024e debt/EBITDA: 1.8x vs 2.1x in 20213 estimated) is compatible with an investment grade rating, paving the way for a ...
Elis subit une décote de plus de 30% sur ces comparables alors qu’au cours des derniers mois, le groupe a démontré une excellente résilience de son FCF. En 2023, nous notons une bonne capacité à passer des hausses de prix et d’importants effets de productivité. Ces facteurs, couplés à la détente des prix de l’énergie soutiendront les résultats 2024. La réduction du ratio de levier (DN/EBITDA 2024e : 1.8x vs 2.1x en 2023e) est compatible avec une notation “investment grade” qui permett...
>Organic sales momentum remains strong - H1 2023 group sales reached € 118m (+33% y-o-y vs. +55% in FY 2022) still fuelled by the perimeter effect from Bienzobas (July 2022), Chilerad and Initia (December 2022) which we estimate contributed to 23-25pp to the group’s sales growth in the first half, implying +8-10% organic growth, in line with our estimates. Precision sales grew +80% y-o-y to € 60m driven by Spain (+177%, Bienzobas, Initia) and LatAm (+35%, Chilerad) wh...
Atrys Heath is a Spanish health services provider with relevant presence in Iberia and LatAm. In seven years, it has made 16 acquisitions (assets 23x to € 0.7bn, EBITDA 32x to € 47m PF 2022 ), establishing itself as a consolidator and reaching a sufficient scale to capitalise on the very solid prospects for the precision medicine sector (+12% p.a. 2022-2030). We initiate our coverage with an Outperform rating and a € 6.5 price target. The stock enters our European Nextcap Convict...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ATRYS HEALTH, TOURISM SECTOR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’21 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. The ECB changes the tone of its message The ECB kept its monetary policy unchanged, but Lagarde warned that the risks on inflation are rising, and there is widespread concern among members due to the latest figures, leavin...
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