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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Results beat forecasts but FCF weakened – Reassuring comments...

>Q1 results 6.4% above forecasts - Q1 adjusted net profit came to € 1.27bn (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY), 6.4% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1.07bn; consensus: € 1.19bn), thanks to E&P and Industrial. E&P: the drop in the gap price took a tool - E&P posted an adjusted profit of € 442m, down 20%, whereas the Brent price was near-stable. This is because natural gas makes up two-thirds of the group’s production (590kboe/d) and is mainly produced in North Americ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Résultat supérieur aux attentes mais baisse du FCF – Le group...

>Résultats T1 6.4% supérieurs aux attentes - Le résultat net ajusté du T1 s'est établi à 1267 M€ (+6% QoQ /-33% YoY) et 6.4% au-dessus du consensus (ODDO BHF: 1 067 M€ ; consensus : 1 191 M€), grâce à l’E&P et Industrial. E&P : la baisse du prix du gaz a pesé - Le résultat de l’E&P ressort à 442 M€, en baisse de 20% alors le brent est quasi-stable. En effet, la production du groupe (590 kbep/j) est dominée à hauteur des deux tiers par le gaz natur...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024

Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024

Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...

>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

Repsol : Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 6.4% with higher gearing...

>Adjusted net profit 6.4% above expectations supported by strong refining - Q1 2024 adjusted net profit came in at € 1,267 m (6% q-o-q/-33% y-o-y), 18% above our estimates and 6.5% above the consensus (ODDO BHF: € 1,067m; consensus: € 1,191m).Upstream: Q1 2024 adjusted net income came in at € 442m, well above estimates (ODDO BHF: € 339m; consensus: € 368m) with flat production at 590 kboe/d supported by lower royalties and a regularisation on the tax estimate fro...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: 1Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

1Q'24 vs. 1Q'23 Results Net Profit: € 1.267 Bn (-33.0% vs. -36.5% BS(e) and -37.0% consensus);

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: RDOS. 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 1T'24 vs 1T'23: BDI: 1.267 M euros (-33,0% vs -36,5% BS(e) y -37,0% consenso);

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Q1 2024 results preview – A 1% sequential increase in earnings,...

> A 1% sequential increase in earnings, the fall in gas is offset by the rise in refining margins and a favourable outlook for oil - The publication of Q1 2024 results will start on 24 April with AkerBP (see tables below) and should show a sequential increase of 1% on average. Cumulative net profit for the eight stocks covered is forecast at $ 21.1bn vs $ 20.9bn in Q4 2023 and ODDO BHF’s estimates are 3% above the consensus. We note:A slight fall in Brent of...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Preview résultats T1 – Hausse séquentielle de 1%, outlook intac...

>Hausse séquentielle de 1% des résultats, baisse du gaz contrebalancée par la hausse des marges de raffinage et outlook favorable pour le pétrole - Les publications des résultats du T1 2024 commenceront le 24 avril avec AkerBP (voir tableau ci-après). Ils devraient marquer une légère progression séquentielle de 1% en moyenne. Le résultat net cumulé pour les huit valeurs couvertes est attendu à 21.1 Md$ vs 20.9 Md$ au T4 23 et nous sommes 3% supérieurs au consensu...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 12/04/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Restarting production at Anshof – The Permanent Production Facility (PPF), with a capacity of 3,000 bbl/d of liquids, has been commissioned and the Anshof-3 well has recommenced production at a rate of 134 bbl/d with no water. The operation has been undertaken in line with expectations and within budget. The oil production rate at Anshof-3 is 16% above the rate prior to shut-in. A...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

REPSOL: TRADING STATEMENT 1T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

En el Trading statement del 1T’24 publicado ayer no hubo sorpresas en el precio del crudo, que aun empeorando frente a 4T’23

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 11 APRIL + 1Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

NEWS SUMMARY: CAF, GRIFOLS, REPSOL. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Inflation rising The surprising US inflation data led to strong widening on debt curves, which in turn brought losses on stock markets and sales of bond proxies. However, over the course of the afternoon, the recovery in banks led to sl...

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