reports
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 4Q24 - Smartphones: semis back to growth; shipments stabilizing;...
Today, we are publishing the Smartphones section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Sh...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Ben Harwood
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q24
We publish today our comprehensive Quarterly Bible: 238 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
NOAA NOKIA TRADEGATE EXCHANGE
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
AMD ASML HOLDING NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
ERICB EU GRABTAXI HOLDINGS PTE LTD
0967655D WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF GRAB HLDGS LTD
GRAB ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Gen AI Big Idea Series – Lightmatter CEO, Nick Harris. Radix Is All Y...
We hosted the sixth session of our Gen AI Big Idea Series with Nick Harris, CEO of Lightmatter. Nick is a pioneer in programmable photonics and we discussed in detail Lightmatter’s Passage platform, the interconnect challenges it aims to solve and the architecture of the AI datacenter in 2035.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Soitec: Poised for growth following the inventory correction. Buy, €13...
Soitec’s RF-SOI business is stabilizing after a steep inventory correction, with growth expected to resume next year. We anticipate mid-teens annual growth through the decade, driven by RF-SOI normalization and expansion in POI, Power, Photonics, FD-SOI, and potentially SmartSiC. This recovery should support a re-rating and drive earnings momentum. We maintain our Buy rating. Please see the link below for more details.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Gen AI Big Idea Series – AMAT: Advanced Packaging on Steroids
We hosted the fifth session of our Gen AI Big Idea series with Vincent DiCaprio, AMAT's VP of Advanced Packaging & ICAPS. We discussed several emerging trends including panel level packaging, glass substrates, hybrid bonding, and silicon photonics. This note wraps up our top takeaways from the event.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Bible 3Q24 - Smartphones: Sluggish demand; 5G cycle resumes; iPhone mi...
Demand is sluggish, with the 2024 and 2025 outlooks implying slight unit growth after 2022 & 2023 down 13% & 4% respectively. With saturation and elongating replacement cycles, we see that as a best case. The December quarter iPhone guide missed consensus expectations, and we expect further downside. Replacement cycles are elongating, share gains in China have stalled, and recent datapoints support our view (Apple lowering iPhone 16 production plans). Semi revenues are back to secular growth, dr...
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q24
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
2GB 2G ENERGY AG
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
MBLY ASML HOLDING NV
AMD MOBILEYE NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
BSIB BE SEMICONDUCTOR (SWISS)
WOLF WOLFSPEED INC
GRAB GRAB HLDGS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARMH ARMEYSKI HLDG AD
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q24
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
ANET ARISTA NETWORKS INC.
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
TSLA TESLA INC
PANW PALO ALTO NETWORKS INC.
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC.
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
INTC INTEL CORPORATION
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
BSI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
2330 TSMC
SOI SOITEC SA
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
KLAC KLA CORPORATION
CSCO ASML HOLDING N.V.
ASML CISCO SYSTEMS INC.
MBLY ASML HOLDING NV
AMD MOBILEYE NV
AAPL ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
MSFT APPLE INC.
AVGO MICROSOFT CORPORATION
SOH1 BROADCOM INC.
BESI SOITEC
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
ERIC.B ERICSSON
ERIC-B ERICSSON LM-B SHS
ERICB EU GRABTAXI HOLDINGS PTE LTD
0967655D UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC
0084207D BE SEMICONDUCTOR (SWISS)
BSIB WOLFSPEED INC
WOLF GRAB HLDGS LTD
GRAB ARM HOLDINGS PLC
ARM ARMEYSKI HLDG AD
- Pierre FerraguÊ
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