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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange Belgium (Neutral, TP: €21.6, +12%) H2 25 results: Numbers beat...

OBEL has reported a good set of numbers, with EBITDAaL c+3% ahead of consensus and 2026 EBITDAaL guidance is better than consensus expectations. There is evidence of a Digi impact in MSR and ARPU, but KPIs are OK, suggesting that OBEL is protecting share over ARPU - OBEL has c30% of revs from mobile only, which are vulnerable to Digi in our view.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

 PRESS RELEASE

Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported ...

Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Press releaseEmbargo until 6 February 2026 at 7:00 am Regulated information – Inside information Financial information for the second semester and full year 2025 Solid EBITDAaL growth slightly exceeding the 2025 guidance, supported by sustained commercial performance, synergies and efficiencies Mobile postpaid customer base +2.5% yoy / Cable customer base +1.8% yoyH2 Revenues -1.5% yoy / FY 2025 Revenues -1.5% yoyH2 EBITDAaL +3.4% yoy / FY 2025 EBITDAaL +...

 PRESS RELEASE

Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, on...

Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst PersberichtEmbargo tot 6 februari 2026 om 7.00 u. Gereglementeerde informatie – Voorwetenschap Financiële informatie voor het tweede halfjaar en het volledige jaar 2025 Solide EBITDAaL-groei die de prognose voor 2025 licht overschrijdt, ondersteund door stabiele commerciële prestaties, synergiën en efficiëntiewinst Aantal mobiele postpaidklanten +2.5% j-o-j / Aantal kabelklanten +1.8% j-o-jOmzet in H2 -1,5% j-o-j / Omzet 2025 -1,5% j-o-jEBITD...

 PRESS RELEASE

Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions p...

Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Communiqué de presseEmbargo jusqu'au 6 février 2026 à 7h00 Information réglementée – informations confidentielles Information financière relative au second semestre et à l'exercice 2025 Croissance solide de l'EBITDAaL légèrement supérieure aux prévisions pour 2025, supportée par des performances commerciales soutenues, des synergies et des gains d'efficacité Base clients mobiles postpayés +2.5% / Base clients câble ...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...

Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Tele2 (Buy, TP: SEK 170, +7%) Post Q4 25 model update

In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results (HERE) incorporating conference call feedback, feedback following meeting the CEO/CFO, and compare our new estimates to guidance and consensus. We have trimmed EBITDA slightly for 26/27, but have lifted OpFCF due to the good CapEx discipline.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Tele2 (Buy, TP: SEK 170, +7%) Q4 25: A lot of mixed messaging

Tele2 has reported a confusing set of results with lots of mixed messages. On the one hand, Q4 results were good, but 2026 EBITDAaL guidance is a but disappointing and at odds with current growth rates and looks beatable given likely Q1 growth rates.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Tower Trends Q3 CY25 review: Solid quarter, especially in Africa

Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: (Ti)me delay. Belgian telecoms: Telenet increases price as of March. Fastned: Funding step-up, Fastned secures €200m loan. Lotus Bakeries: Preview FY25. MICC: Preview FY25. Signify: 4Q25 preview. Van Lanschot Kempen: Large AuM win in Fiduciary

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