Market performance – Turkey down 28% mom in August. The MSCI EME lost 6.7% mom in August, while the Bucharest Stock Exchange outperformed its peers, rising 3.7%. The BUX came in second, recording a rise of 2.1%, while Warsaw’s WIG20 followed with gains of 0.7%. On the other hand, the Turkish ISE30 recorded the largest drop, -28.0%, while Russia lost 5.8%, the Greek ASE index was down 4.2% and Prague’s PX fell 2.5% (all performances measured in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: free upside optionality (stays BUY) • PZU: very solid 2Q18 results POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: 2Q18 results beat expectations on bumper retail profits POSITIVE • Gazprom: 2Q18 - strong gas markets driving FCF higher • Lukoil: 2Q18 - stronger FCF, better capex dynamics • Aeroflot: 2Q18 results - stronger yields and lower ex-fuel cost, 20% EBITDAR beat POSITIVE • Lenta: 1H18 results in line with consensus, store openings and capex guidance revised down...
HEADLINES: * MLP Care: premium healthcare at a discount valuation (BUY - initiation of coverage) * LPP: 2Q beat, EBIT up 49% yoy, 9% above consensus POSITIVE * CCC: June sales up only 8% yoy to PLN 405m NEGATIVE * Energa: to reverse PLN 116.6m of windfarm impairments NEUTRAL * Immofinanz: sells CAI stake to Starwood for EUR 29.5/share, raising EUR 508m of net equity proceeds NEUTRAL * Piraeus Bank: sale of consumer NPLs to APS * Moneta Money Bank: management to support an...
EME Equity Market – June 2018 Market performance – only Greek ASE in positive territory, while Turkish ISE30 the worst performer. The MSCI EME lost 1.5% mom in June in EUR terms, continuing the negative trend after May’s 2% contraction. The Greek ASE was the best performer in June, with a barely positive figure (+0.2%). Bucharest’s BET also stayed fairly flat (-0.1%). All the other indices were in negative territory: the Turkish ISE realised the largest drop (-5.7%); the Warsaw WIG20 fel...
HEADLINES: * Immofinanz / S Immo: it's complicated (IIA stays HOLD; initiating on SPI with a HOLD) * MedLife: fined RON 865k by antitrust office over stem cell pricing NEGATIVE * PGNiG: signs two long-term agreements for the purchase of LNG from projects in the US NEUTRAL * Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO comments on updated strategy NEUTRAL * BZ WBK: Santander could join the race for Eurobank NEUTRAL * Kety: 2Q18E preliminaries - 6% beat vs. our forecasts on EBITDA (final results...
In this report, we have updated our forecasts for Immofinanz (IIA), and initiate coverage of S Immo (SPI), a real estate owner and developer listed in Vienna (a EUR 1.1bn market cap). The merger with CA Immo (CAI) seems to be off the table now, with IIA potentially opting to combine with SPI instead. Presently, we do not see a straightforward way to trade this situation. Trading at around 5.2% (IIA) and 5.6% (SPI) 2019E FFO yields, both companies rank at the more expensive end of the European co...
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