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Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Another transitional year/HOLD

Alfen reported broadly in line 4Q25 results but lowered its FY26 outlook. There is no tangible evidence of a pending volume-driven recovery in the 4Q25 performance of the Smart Grid and the EV Charging division. We increase our FY26 revenue estimate by 0.5% to the mid-point of Alfen's new revenue guidance and cut our FY26F adjusted EBITDA estimate by 6% to €26.1m. This reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.7%, slightly ahead of the company's mid-point guidance aiming for 5.5%. Management execu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer to start tomorrow / Alfen: Preview: new year, new chances / BAM Group: Nice add-on in the Dutch housing market / dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 2026 guidance read-across / Heijmans: Preview: 2025F was the cat's meow / Melexis: 4Q25 preview, towards a cyclical recovery / TomTom: Preview 4Q25, look beyond 2026 / Van Lanschot Kempen: Small UK Fiduciary mandate, second of the month though

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong beat driven by one-offs Alfen: Bull bear fight continues bpost: 3Q25 results in line with INGF but miss vs consensus, FY25 outlook fine-tuned to top-end CM.com: Takeover offer from Bird Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Refreshing D'Ieteren: Belron peer Driven Brands 3Q25 talks of lower Q4, choppiness in Collision and Direct Repair Exor: Ferrari reassures with strong 3Q25, improved guidance KPN: Strategy update reassures, largely in line, with solid cash returns expec...

Kristof Samoy ... (+7)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, V...

: AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, VPK NA, WDP BB, WKL NA, ALFEN NA

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - kitchen sinking again? CM.com: New CFO appointed. Cofinimmo: Good results a touch better than forecasts, guidance reconfirmed, DEME Group: Wins strategic position in Brazil. D'Ieteren: State Farm TPA contract details emerge. Signify: 3Q25 results – guidance cut. Xior Student Housing: 5.4% LFL growth and full occupancy – operational trends solid.

Jean-François Granjon ... (+3)
  • Jean-François Granjon
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Alfen: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ASR: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. BAM: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Basic-Fit: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. CTP: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. DEME Group: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Fugro: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Heijmans: Highlights ING Bene...

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