ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/08/2024

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ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 08/11/2024

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Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/07/2024

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ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 07/11/2024

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hGears : Q3 very weak but not real surprise given profit warning

>Sales and adj, EBITDA miss estimates by a mile - hGears Q3 2024 sales missed our estimate by 17% driven by the e-bike business which saw sales slump by 82% versus Q3 of 2023. The gross profit came in at €10.9m or a miss of 12% with the margin at 49.3% which is actually better than assumed (46.4%). Adj. EBITDA, due to the lower absolute gross profit and despite the cost optimisations and ongoing savings programmes, came in at a loss of €0.1m where we had anticipated ...

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Alfen: Q3 results, big Q4 ahead

Alfen published Q3 2024 figures yesterday. Revenue came in at EUR106m (-18% QoQ vs. EUR129m in Q2 2024, -22% YoY vs. EUR136m in Q3 2023) pointing to EUR352m YTD (vs. cons. eyeing EUR489m for FY24). Q3 numbers were mostly impacted by modest revenue growth in Smart Grids (+1% YoY) and a sluggish pace

Alfen : Outlook for Q4 and 2025 seems weaker than before

>Q3 better than consensus FY24 outlook slightly weaker = weaker Q4 - Revenues in-line, with strength in Smart Grids offsetting weakness in EV Charging. Revenues in 24Q3 were down 22% y-o-y to € 106.2m (1% below consensus of € 107.4m) with Smart Grid Solutions up 1% to € 50.3m (14% above consensus of € 44.3m), EV Charging Equipment down 6% to € 32.9m (14% below consensus of € 38.3m), and Energy Storage Systems down 55% to € 23.1m (consensus € 23.5m). Profitabil...

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

TKH GROUP NV : Preview Q3 + lowered 2024-2026 estimates and TP

>Cautiousness Vision + Manufacturing results in lower 2024-2026 estimates - We had not updated our forecast for TKH since the Q1 2024 trading update and H1 2024 results release: mea culpa. So although not ideal, we are using this preview to update our estimates. Given the disappointing H1 2024 results and 2024 guidance, we lower our estimates materially. We lower our 2024 to 2026 sales forecast by 3% to 8% and our EBITA estimates by 16% to 19%. For 2024, we now forec...

Impressions from analyst/investor meetings

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...

ISS (Buy, TP: DKK171.00) - New wins still key question mark

ISS reported a somewhat uneventful Q3, with a c3% miss versus consensus on the reported top line, mainly on greater-than-expected FX headwinds. Organic growth was a bit soft, but with negative and positive surprises in the form of weaker underlying portfolio volumes but better-than-feared above-base volumes. We reiterate our BUY and DKK171 target price.

Another feeding frenzy for the short base

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/05/2024

European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...

ISS A/S : Growing visibility on short- to medium-term triggers leads t...

Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...