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Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Another transitional year/HOLD

Alfen reported broadly in line 4Q25 results but lowered its FY26 outlook. There is no tangible evidence of a pending volume-driven recovery in the 4Q25 performance of the Smart Grid and the EV Charging division. We increase our FY26 revenue estimate by 0.5% to the mid-point of Alfen's new revenue guidance and cut our FY26F adjusted EBITDA estimate by 6% to €26.1m. This reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.7%, slightly ahead of the company's mid-point guidance aiming for 5.5%. Management execu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Serbia regulation to be litigated at international level. CM.com: Preview FY25. dsm-firmenich: At last! Exor: Stellantis shares fall sharply on €22bn turnaround plan, writeoff. Euronext: 2026 starting strong. Proximus: €275m impairment at Proximus Global

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer to start tomorrow / Alfen: Preview: new year, new chances / BAM Group: Nice add-on in the Dutch housing market / dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 2026 guidance read-across / Heijmans: Preview: 2025F was the cat's meow / Melexis: 4Q25 preview, towards a cyclical recovery / TomTom: Preview 4Q25, look beyond 2026 / Van Lanschot Kempen: Small UK Fiduciary mandate, second of the month though

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Conditional approval for the acquisition of Delfood / Bekaert: Acquires Bridgestone's €80m tyre cord business in China and Thailand / KPN: In-line Q4, 2026 guidance, cash returns / NSI: Results in line, further vacancy weighing on 2026 and cautious tone on new developments / UCB: Cimzia included in Medicare's price negotiations for 2028

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 4Q25 consensus release. Basic-Fit: Trading update FY25 and outlook FY26; both beat ING estimates. CVC Capital Partners plc: It's a Marathon

Maxime Stranart
  • Maxime Stranart

Ahold Delhaize/4Q25 preview/HOLD

We reiterate our HOLD rating on Ahold Delhaize and reduce our target price from €35 to €34 as we lower our profitability estimates by 0.4% for 2025F and 2.8% for 2026F at EPS level. While we continue to like Ahold Delhaize's strong Free Cash Flow generation and generous cash return to shareholders, we remain cautious on the evolution of the group's operating profit, especially in the United States where the company has to compete more heavily on prices. This, combined with a more cautious view o...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 4Q25 preview / KBC: 4Q pre-close highlights strength building up in numbers / OCI: Dutch court blocks Orascom merger, names two independent directors at OCI.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 4Q: positive read, but with recent CMD, no surprises on guidance / Ahold Delhaize: New US distribution centre to be leased from Blackstone / Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex December 2025 box office revenue at 89% of 2019 level, up 3% YoY / Randstad: Preview 4Q25F results due 11 February; consensus released / Staffing sector: Hays' 2Q26 trading update; miss vs consensus / Zabka: Peer Biedronka FY25 sales.

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