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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Highlights and calculations on the back of Clever Fit analyst meeting. Colruyt: Exiting France after closing its last five stores

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: Bird goes directly after CM.com customers (again). D'Ieteren: Belgium November car registrations down 11.8%, VW down 24%

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group PLC: Der Weihnachtsmann kommt früh. CTP: First move into Italy - €1bn investment to come. Elia: Guidance reiterated, capex reaffirmed but some difficulties in US. SBM Offshore: Solid story, attractive returns. VGP: Third closing with Saga JV for €509m GAV

Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: CMD targets at higher end, bold FTE cut to clinch 55% C/I ratio, lower CoRisk. D'Ieteren: Key Belron US glass supplier Fuyao connected to US labour allegations. Elia: Preview 3Q25 update; fine-tuning guidance to upper end of range?. NSI: KPN to leave Glass House, c.7.5% additional vacancy. SBM Offshore: Another step towards SEAP 1+2 FPSO awards. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase its US subscription prices in 1Q26

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Basic-Fit VAT from 6% to 12% on sports in Belgium

Yesterday, the Belgian federal government announced an agreement on the federal budget, which includes raising VAT on sports subscriptions from 6.0% to 12.0%. The BeNeLux region remains Basic-Fit's key profit driver, delivering a 46.5% EBITDA less rent margin in 1H25 compared to 12.0% across its other markets. For Belgium, we forecast FY25 revenue of approximately €250 million and underlying EBITDA less rent of €115 million. If the additional 6.0% VAT is absorbed without price adjustments, this ...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+4)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Basic-Fit/Acquisition Clever Fit – Clever? Fit?/BUY

BUY reiterated and TP increased from €33.0 to €35.00. We have not yet included the Clever Fit acquisition into our estimates or fair value as we lack the financial details. In this report we have made an extensive analysis of the earnings accretion and value creation of Clever Fit, based on early assumptions. Although we also have some concerns regarding the uncertainty around rebranding, capex needs, improving fundamentals and timing of rebranding, we also see the upside potential, strategic im...

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