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Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas Thorez
Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas Thorez
Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Another transitional year/HOLD

Alfen reported broadly in line 4Q25 results but lowered its FY26 outlook. There is no tangible evidence of a pending volume-driven recovery in the 4Q25 performance of the Smart Grid and the EV Charging division. We increase our FY26 revenue estimate by 0.5% to the mid-point of Alfen's new revenue guidance and cut our FY26F adjusted EBITDA estimate by 6% to €26.1m. This reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.7%, slightly ahead of the company's mid-point guidance aiming for 5.5%. Management execu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas Thorez
Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas Thorez
Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 graphiques d’analyse : un pipeline de projets toujours solid...

Nous avons sélectionné 10 graphiques afin d’identifier les principaux drivers du secteur. Les Capex sont attendus en repli de 1.5% en 2026 après un rebond de 70% depuis le point bas de 2020. Cette baisse proviendra essentiellement du marché US (plus forte discipline compte tenu de points morts plus élevés). Nous privilégions SBM Offshore (Surperformance, OC 45 €), Vallourec (Surperformance, OC 22 € vs 20.8 €) et Technip Energies (Surperformance, OC 49 €) et adoptons une opinion plus prudente sur...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : 10 analysis charts: a pipeline of projects that remains solid

For the start of 2026, we have selected ten charts to identify the sector's main drivers. Capex is expected to fall by 1.5% in 2026 after a 70% rebound from the low point of 2020. This reduction will mainly come from the US market (greater discipline due to higher breakeven points). At this point in the year, we prefer SBM Offshore (Outperform, target price € 45), Vallourec (Outperform, target price € 22 vs € 20.8) and Technip Energies (Outperform, target price € 49) and have adopted a more caut...

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