After a poor summer 2025, a slightly better September, we cut our 2025F-2026F-2027F visitor estimates by 2%, our EBITDAL by 4%, our EPS by 6-7%, and our target price from €43 to €41. We are 8% below consensus EBITDAL 2025F, 5% below for 2026F and 15% below consensus EPS 2025F, 10% below 2026F. We are more prudent on the box office recovery, with attendance 2025F-2026F-2027F at 63.4%, 66.5% and 66.3% of pre-Covid levels, down from a post-Covid “peak” of 69.5% in 2023 (‘Barbie') and compared to 63...
Kendrion's transformation into a dedicated industrial company with a sound balance sheet is complete. In three major strategic steps Kendrion has removed its exposure to the struggling global automotive industry. This exposure has been a drag on the results and cash flow generating power of the company since 2018. We also believe investors applied a valuation discount to Kendrion to reflect this. The sale of the bulk of the automotive business (US and EU) to Solero Technologies in April 2024, th...
Last week’s EPRA conference provided cautious optimism on listed European real estate. The segment offers a mix of risks and opportunities, with discounted valuations presenting attractive entry points. We downgrade Care Property Invest (Underperform vs Neutral, TP €12 vs €13.5); we lower our TPs for British Land, Landsec, Shurgard, and Xior Student Housing; we raise our TPs for URW, Wereldhave and VGP. In conclusion we favour logistics, retail, Spain, and CEE for growth, and Switzerland remains...
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