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Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #49

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the Q3 earnings season across consumer segments with a comparison between

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/20/2024

Grifols: the board considers that Brookfield’s indicative price undervalues the company Teva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: Results recovered in 2023-24, exceeding expectations. Debt reduction is making headway as planned.Tereos: Sharp decline in EBITDA in Q2 24/25. The financial position is stable thanks to the generation of FCF.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 20/11/2024

Grifols : le conseil d’administration estime que le prix indicatif proposé par Brookfield sous-évalue la sociétéTeva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: les résultats se sont redressés 2023/24, dépassant les attentes. Le désendettement progresse comme prévu.Tereos : fort repli de l'EBITDA au T2 24/25. La situation financière est stable grâce à la génération de FCF.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/15/2024

Rekeep: Q3 2024 results. Debt increased again as a result of the increase in working capital and a reassessment of the value of the put on Rekeep Polska. Altice France: no agreement between the company and secured creditors but proposals are getting closer>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 15/11/2024

Rekeep : Résultats T3 24. L’endettement est reparti à la hausse, avec le rebond du BFR et après une réestimation de la valeur du put sur Rekeep Polska.Altice France : pas d’accord entre la société et les créanciers secured mais les positions se rapprochent>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Casino : A CMD in a difficult context, but targets already very ambiti...

>Targets for 2028...and therefore very long term - At its CMD, Casino presented its main targets out to 2028. Specifically, we note a CAGR for business volumes (GMV) of around € 15bn (compared to c.€ 13bn in 2023), representing an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of +3.7% over the 2024-2028 period. The volume of business is data on which Casino intends to improve its communication, especially since its model will be more focused on franchising (90% by 2028).Conv...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Casino : Un CMD dans un contexte contraint, mais des objectifs déjà tr...

>Des objectifs 2028… du très long terme donc… - Lors de son CMD, le groupe Casino a présenté ses principaux objectifs à horizon 2028. En particulier nous retenons un volume d’affaires (GMV) d’environ 15 Md€ (contre c.13 Md€ en 2023), soit un TMVA de 3,7% sur la période 2024-2028. Le volume d’affaires est une donnée sur laquelle Casino entend davantage communiquer, en particulier car son modèle sera davantage tourné vers la franchise (90% à horizon 2028).En revanc...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Casino: pragmatic low-cost plan does not solve liquidity issues beyond...

With management very pragmatic about its financial leeway, the 2028 plan looks more like a restructuring/optimisation operation than a relaunch. We remain more cautious on EBITDA recovery and FCF breakeven with unlevered FCF to turn positive in 2027 and levered FCF only beyond 2028. With no additio

Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #47

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumors of Non-Core Country Divestiture Studies by the Comp...

>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumeurs d’étude de cessions de pays non-core par la sociét...

>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Ahold Delhaize: still executing and delivering well

Ahold Delhaize continues to execute and deliver well, laying strong foundations for a less risky repositioning of US business from 2025, and for a long-term recovery in European business. PT raised to EUR34 to reflect our slight estimates lift, the DCF & SOTP roll-over and new buyback accretion

Arancha Pineiro
  • Arancha Pineiro

AHOLD DELHAIZE: RDOS. 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 22.003 M euros (+0,3% vs 0,0% BS(e) y -0,1% consenso); EBIT: 855,0 M euros (+1,9% vs +0,5% BS(e) y -0,2% consenso); BDI: 372,0 M euros (-5,6% vs +8,1% BS(e) y +7,6% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 66.080 M euros (+0,7% vs +0,6% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); EBIT: 2.649 M euros (+1,6% vs +1,2% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); BDI: 1.384 M euros (-2,7% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso).

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 06 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: AHOLD DELHAIZE, BMW, SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump gana las elecciones A la espera de conocer el desenlace oficial, todo parece indicar que Trump habría ganado las...

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