In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the Q3 earnings season across consumer segments with a comparison between
Grifols: the board considers that Brookfield’s indicative price undervalues the company Teva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: Results recovered in 2023-24, exceeding expectations. Debt reduction is making headway as planned.Tereos: Sharp decline in EBITDA in Q2 24/25. The financial position is stable thanks to the generation of FCF.>...
Grifols : le conseil d’administration estime que le prix indicatif proposé par Brookfield sous-évalue la sociétéTeva: S&P upgrades the rating to BB/positive from BB/positiveElior: les résultats se sont redressés 2023/24, dépassant les attentes. Le désendettement progresse comme prévu.Tereos : fort repli de l'EBITDA au T2 24/25. La situation financière est stable grâce à la génération de FCF.>...
>Targets for 2028...and therefore very long term - At its CMD, Casino presented its main targets out to 2028. Specifically, we note a CAGR for business volumes (GMV) of around € 15bn (compared to c.€ 13bn in 2023), representing an average annual growth rate (CAGR) of +3.7% over the 2024-2028 period. The volume of business is data on which Casino intends to improve its communication, especially since its model will be more focused on franchising (90% by 2028).Conv...
>Des objectifs 2028… du très long terme donc… - Lors de son CMD, le groupe Casino a présenté ses principaux objectifs à horizon 2028. En particulier nous retenons un volume d’affaires (GMV) d’environ 15 Md€ (contre c.13 Md€ en 2023), soit un TMVA de 3,7% sur la période 2024-2028. Le volume d’affaires est une donnée sur laquelle Casino entend davantage communiquer, en particulier car son modèle sera davantage tourné vers la franchise (90% à horizon 2028).En revanc...
With management very pragmatic about its financial leeway, the 2028 plan looks more like a restructuring/optimisation operation than a relaunch. We remain more cautious on EBITDA recovery and FCF breakeven with unlevered FCF to turn positive in 2027 and levered FCF only beyond 2028. With no additio
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...
>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...
Ahold Delhaize continues to execute and deliver well, laying strong foundations for a less risky repositioning of US business from 2025, and for a long-term recovery in European business. PT raised to EUR34 to reflect our slight estimates lift, the DCF & SOTP roll-over and new buyback accretion
Rdos. 3T'24 vs 3T'23: Ventas: 22.003 M euros (+0,3% vs 0,0% BS(e) y -0,1% consenso); EBIT: 855,0 M euros (+1,9% vs +0,5% BS(e) y -0,2% consenso); BDI: 372,0 M euros (-5,6% vs +8,1% BS(e) y +7,6% consenso); Rdos. 9meses'24 vs 9meses'23: Ventas: 66.080 M euros (+0,7% vs +0,6% BS(e) y +0,6% consenso); EBIT: 2.649 M euros (+1,6% vs +1,2% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso); BDI: 1.384 M euros (-2,7% vs +1,1% BS(e) y +0,9% consenso).
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA ENERGÍA, SANTANDER. EUROPA: AHOLD DELHAIZE, BMW, SIEMENS, UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump gana las elecciones A la espera de conocer el desenlace oficial, todo parece indicar que Trump habría ganado las...
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