reports
- Clement Genelot
Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: rerating not over yet with better margin prospects
Following a strong Q1, we see several positive signs around a price war easing in Poland and have increased our Polish EBITDA and our PT from EUR21 to EUR25. In line with our January 2025 upgrade to Buy, we continue to see a rerating path to >20x P/E, which is the normalised level in no Polish c
- Clement Genelot
Ahold Delhaize: Europe to make up for US margin erosion this year
Post a strong Q1 print, we have cut our FY25 EBIT and EPS by 2% and 3% respectively, to reflect the reversing USD while a faster European profitability recovery should offset likely US margin erosion fuelled by a dilutive sales mix. PT lifted to EUR39 however, with a lower beta and untouched safe-h
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; JMT PL; BHW PW; BDX PW; MGROS TI; TBCG LN; CGEO LN...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
MOL MOL NYRT
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
BELA JUMBO S.A.
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Arancha Pineiro
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #68
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at fragile US consumer sentiment which might precede a sharp pullback in spe
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...
EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
- Luis de Toledo Heras
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
PIG HAULOTTE GROUP SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
SDF K+S AG
FR VALEO SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
VID VIDRALA SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
COK CANCOM SE
CCC CCC SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
FACC FACC AG
VLTSA VOLTALIA
ALD ALD SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Luis de Toledo Heras
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
PIG HAULOTTE GROUP SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
SDF K+S AG
FR VALEO SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
VID VIDRALA SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
COK CANCOM SE
CCC CCC SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ENG ENAGAS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
FACC FACC AG
VLTSA VOLTALIA
ALD ALD SA
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
FERGR FERRARI GROUP PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Clement Genelot
Casino: still no signs of commercial recovery
Q1 was slightly ahead of our expectations, by 50bp LfL and by a couple of million euros at the EBITDA level, but we still lack real signs of a commercial recovery to feel reassured about the company's ability to meet its covenants in 2026. Sell reiterated as we still cannot rule out another capital
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
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