We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
>Key takeaways: cautious guidance, less ambitious on Moncler and work to be done on enhancing the portfolio - 1/ Cautious guidance for 2025 (but the consensus too high), due to embedded effects. A good line-up for 2025: several launch initiatives are planned: Montblanc Explorer (new line), Jimmy Choo Man, Coach (2 new editions: Woman and Man), Solferino (new proprietary brand - niche perfumes / 10 lines listed in Paris for the story telling), Lacoste (extension of L12...
>Principaux éléments : guidance prudente, moins ambitieux sur Moncler et un travail à réaliser pour enrichir le portefeuille - 1/ Guidance 2025 prudente (mais CSS trop haut), compte tenu des effets embarqués. Bon line-up en 2025: plusieurs initiatives de lancements sont prévues : Montblanc Explorer (nouvelle ligne), Jimmy Choo Man, Coach (2 nouvelles déclinaisons : Woman et Man), Solferino (nouvelle marque propriétaire - parfums de niche / 10 lignes en référence à Par...
Interparfums management released cautious sales prospects for 2025 yesterday with limited growth despite the roll-out of Lacoste Original. Although we are slightly more aggressive than management, we have notched down our FY25 sales estimate from EUR960m to EUR950m. Buy reiterated with EUR54 vs EUR
>The management guides to 2025 growth of “just” 4%e - Ahead of its CMD today, Interparfums announced:1/ The fine tuning of its 2024 guidance: i/ 2024 sales are maintained in a range of between € 880-890m), ii/ the 2024 underlying operating margin is now projected to exceed 19%e, or >€ 170m est. (vs close to 19%, i.e. € 167-170m est. previously),2/ 2025 sales between € 910m and € 930m est. (i.e. +4% at the midpoint) , vs css >€ 950m est.;3/ A 2025 operat...
>Le management guide sur une croissance 2025 de « seulement » 4%e - En amont de son CMD, qui se tiendra aujourd’hui, Interparfums communique sur :1/ Le fine tuning de sa guidance 2024 : i/ le CA 24e est maintenu à une fourchette comprise entre 880-890 M€ précédemment), ii/ la MOp. courante 2024 devrait désormais dépasser les 19%e, soit >170 M€e (vs proche de 19% ie. 167-170 M€e jusqu’ici).2/ Un CA 2025 compris entre 910 et 930 M€e (ie. +4% en milieu de fourc...
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
The tax increases outlined in the UK's 2025 budget have proved to be skewed towards corporates and wealthy households with the prospect of manageable extra-staff costs for Tesco (Buy) and Deliveroo (Neutral) and better purchasing power prospects, fuelling a continued recovery in grocery volume &
L’ORÉAL SUCCESSFULLY PRICES A 1.25 BILLION EURO DUAL TRANCHE BOND NEWS RELEASE NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN OR INTO THE UNITED STATES, CANADA, JAPAN OR AUSTRALIA L’ORÉAL SUCCESSFULLY PRICES A 1.25 BILLION EURO DUAL TRANCHE BOND Clichy, 29 October 2024 – L’Oréal today announces that it has successfully priced a public bond offering for an aggregate nominal amount of €1.25 billion. The offering is composed of two tranches: - A €750 million 3-year fixed rate bond paying a coupon of 2.50 % p.a. - A €500 million 7-year fixed rate bond paying a co...
L’ORÉAL RÉALISE AVEC SUCCÈS UNE ÉMISSION OBLIGATAIRE EN DEUX TRANCHES POUR UN MONTANT TOTAL DE 1,25 MILLIARD D’EUROS COMMUNIQUÉ NE PAS DIFFUSER, PUBLIER OU DISTRIBUER, DIRECTEMENT OU INDIRECTEMENT, AUX ETATS-UNIS, AU CANADA, AU JAPON OU EN AUSTRALIE L’ORÉAL RÉALISE AVEC SUCCÈS UNE ÉMISSION OBLIGATAIRE EN DEUX TRANCHES POUR UN MONTANT TOTAL DE 1,25 MILLIARD D’EUROS Clichy, le 29 octobre 2024 – L’Oréal a procédé aujourd’hui avec succès au placement d’une émission obligataire d’un montant nominal total de 1,25 milliard d’euros. L’offre est composée de deux tranches :- Une tranche de 750...
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at spending patterns in Europe, which show a clear reallocation towards the f
Fnac Darty now owns 71.5% of Unieuro and has some legal leeway in Italy to force a delisting even with less than 90% of shares. While it is too early to integrate Unieuro into our model, we continue to view this as strategically relevant, while remaining cautious on the execution risks it bears and
Post a very weak Q3, we foresee a delayed stabilisation in sales with FY 2025 again (slightly) negatively marked by depressed real estate, a more promotional environment and a very anxious French political/fiscal context. Despite management's strong focus on preserving FCF generation and the remain
28 October could mark a crucial step forward in the resolution of the asbestos litigation. The hearing set on this date at the Delaware court could lead to the launch of the plaintiffs’ vote on the reorganisation plan (agreement if 75% of plaintiffs vote in favour of the plan). We think that this vote is highly likely to materialise, notably with the integration of J&J into the plan (hearing of 8 October). The intrinsic valuation of the group’s assets (TQC, the Beauvoir/Saint-Austell ...
Last week, we organised an Expert Access event on multiple sclerosis (MS) with the participation of Dr Géraldine Androdias, a neurologist at Lyon University Hospital. Dr Androdias presented the key points of the ECTRIMS 2024 conference, as well as new trends in treating the illness. We note an unmet need in the primary progressive and secondary progressive forms, a real interest for the BTKi class with the greater penetration of the blood-brain barrier, and expectations for the anti-C...
Nous avons organisé la semaine dernière un Expert Access autour de la sclérose en plaques (SEP) avec la participation du Dr Géraldine Androdias, médecin neurologue au CHU de Lyon. Le Dr Androdias a présenté les points saillants du congrès de l’ECTRIMS 2024 ainsi que les nouvelles tendances dans la prise en charge de la maladie. Nous retenons un besoin insatisfait dans les formes progressives et secondairement progressives, un vrai intérêt de la classe des BTKi avec le passage accru de...
Le 28 octobre prochain pourrait marquer une avancée cruciale dans la résolution des litiges amiante. L’audience prévue pour cette date dans l’agenda du tribunal du Delaware pourrait conduire au lancement du vote des plaignants sur le plan de réorganisation (accord si 75% des plaignants votent le plan). Nous pensons que ce vote a de grandes chances d’aboutir avec l’intégration de J&J dans le plan (décision du 8 octobre dernier). La valorisation intrinsèque des actifs du groupe reviendr...
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