From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
Post-weak Q1 sales marked by no sequential improvement on easy comps and market share losses, we foresee a delayed recovery in France and cut our FY 2025 sales by 1% and our EBIT & FCF by >40%. Our new EUR2.4 PT reflects a slight return to growth only from 2026 onwards. Beyond management's s
Post-Q2, we have cut our FY sales and EBIT by 1% and 2% to reflect a softening German environment while still believing in the company's ability to meet its FY 2024/25 and 2025/26 EBIT targets. We believe the back-end loaded contribution capacity of "growth businesses" is underestimated by the cons
With CEO Karsten Wildberger stepping down to become a federal minister in Germany, Ceconomy has appointed CFO Kai-Ulrich Deissner as interim CEO. In our view, this is the best option to ensure completion of a well-thought FY 2025/26 strategic plan (still not fully priced-in by the consensus and sha
Post a good set of Q1 results with reassuring current trading comments, we have left our estimates unchanged with a EUR39 PT. Persistent risks concerning deflationary pressures in the European fashion sector in H2 continue to weigh on Zalando's ST rerating despite an appealing MT equity story based
With the CEO stepping down at short notice to become a federal minister, Ceconomy is entering a period of uncertainty. Far from the management instability and poor execution of the 2018-2021 era, we see the group in much better shape and hope for a smooth short-term interim with the current CFO sti
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
Q1 proved soft with LfL decelerating and turning negative (leap-year headwind, weakening France, competitive Belgian market). No impact on our FY EBIT in line with guidance at this stage, but monitoring French retail data will be key in late Q2-early Q3. Neutral reiterated ahead of CMD on 11th June.
In addition to the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, the Trump administration is also closing the Chinese de minimis loophole from 1st May onwards, which will considerably disrupt the business model of major platforms like Shein and Temu in the US. Although this new market paradigm could be wel
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the impacts of US tariffs and potential retaliation strategies by foreign
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" plan announced on 2nd April now applies huge tariff rates to new countries like Vietnam and Indonesia, which are key in the sourcing of US footwear and apparel. Although apparel and footwear are already heavily taxed at an average of 14.6% and 12.3% respectively, compar
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t
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