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NSI NV: 1 director

A director at NSI NV bought 1,000 shares at 18.100EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 1Q24 in line; stable trends into 2Q24. Arcadis: Interesting contract in Ontario. NSI: Further comments on the First Sponsor move. Philips: Healthineers reports 2Q24 update. Solvay: Solid 1Q24 EBITDA beat, FY consensus looks rather cautious now

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Kinepolis: Weak US/Canada box office and France attendance in April. NSI: FS NL Holdings acquires c.10% from ICAMAP for c.€43m. PostNL: 1Q24 touch below; FY24 outlook reiterated and parcel volumes accelerate. Staffing: US temp volume trend still soft but stable, NFP jobs miss. TKH Group: A weak quarter indeed

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

NSI - Big changes in shareholder structure

First Sponsor Group acquires EUR 42.9m of NSI shares at EUR 20.00 per share (11% above last close & 43% below latest NTA).With these 2,145,960 shares First Sponsor Group will be a 13.52% shareholder, the biggest in NSI.The seller is previous biggest shareholder ICAMAP.We reiterated our ‘Hold' rating and EUR 22.00 TP.More details in our Note published this Morning

Gerardo Ibanez ... (+2)
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans

NSI NV : Q1 2024 trading update: Lower than our estimates, outlook rei...

>Figures stood lower than our estimates, outlook reiterated - This morning, NSI reported its Q1 2024 trading update reporting lower than our estimates. net rental income and EPRA earnings lower than our estimates and YoY due to higher operating costs, taxes and interest expenses. On today’s trading update, we highlight the following:Remains best-in class balance sheet with a reported LTV of 30.9% in Q1 and no debt maturities until 2026. Resilient gross renta...

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

NSI - Q1 2024 - Guidance reiterated for FY24

Gross rental income at EUR 17.9%; +4.8% LfL YoY. EPRA EPS down 17.1% due to timing effect of maintenance costs and higher financing costs with should stabilize over the year.LTV decreases to 30.9% (from 33.0% in December 2023)Management reiterates EUR 1.85-2.00 EPS guidance for 2024.We reiterate our ‘Hold' rating and EUR 22.00 TP.More details in our Note published this morning.

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/03/2024

We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+3)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/18/2024 Date Performance sin...

We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans
Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+5)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Manuel Martin
  • CEFA
  • CREA
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : Shifting sands at La Croisette: A recap from MIPIM 2024

>The direct investment market is still muted today, but we think real estate markets could reignite after seeing the first interest rate cuts - We visited the annual real estate conference MIPIM in Cannes last week. Although the weather was great, the mood in the investment market was still a bit muted. The changes in the real estate market leaves many investor uncertain today. It is still too early to see transactions to go up materially and pricing recovery in the ...

Gerardo Ibanez ... (+2)
  • Gerardo Ibanez
  • Steven Boumans

NSI NV : FY 2023 results: In line with expectations

>In line earnings, values continue to decline in line with our estimates - This morning, NSI published its FY 2023 results presenting solid direct earnings in line with guidance, while negative revaluations continued to be impacted although in line with our expectations. On todays result, we highlight the following:EPRA EPS in line with guidance of €1.95-2.05/sh. Next year guidance to stand between €1.85 to €2.00/sh in line with our estimates at €1.96/sh, subjec...

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

NSI - FY23 - A tough year is behind us

Gross rental income amounts to EUR 71.2m, -0.2% YoY (+7.4% LfL), in line with DPe (EUR 71.2m). EPRA EPS landed at EUR 2.01, in line with DPe estimates (EUR 1.98).EPRA NTA is down by 20.1% YoY to EUR 35.30, mainly due to a negative portfolio revaluation (EUR -224m, of which ca. EUR -107m in H2).Landerpoort project has been sold to ING for EUR 24m in January 2024 (in line with book value).NSI announces a EUR 20m share buyback program.Company will host an analyst call at 10am CET.We reiterate our ‘...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+5)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Manuel Martin
  • CEFA
  • CREA
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : The horizon is clearing with a stabilisation, and even decline,...

The stabilisation and even slight decline of interest rates in 2024 represents a catalyst for the sector, and leads us to now favour the players that are the best positioned to execute their growth and/or debt reduction strategy. In this context, we prefer Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior and Aedas Homes. We are making 10 rating changes: we upgrade Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia and Xior to Outperform and Altarea, Deutsche Euroshop and SFL to Neutral. We are downgrading Icade and Mercialys to...

Florent Laroche-Joubert ... (+5)
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Manuel Martin
  • CEFA
  • CREA
  • Steven Boumans

ODDO : L’horizon s’éclaircit avec la stabilisation des taux d’intérêt,...

La stabilisation des taux d’intérêt, voire éventuellement leur légère baisse courant 2024, constituent un catalyseur pour le secteur et nous amènent à privilégier désormais les acteurs les mieux positionnés pour exécuter leur stratégie de croissance et/ou de désendettement. Dans ce cadre, nous privilégions Gecina, URW, CTP, Xior et Aedas Homes. Nous effectuons 10 changements de recommandation : nous relevons Covivio, NSI, VGP, Patrizia et Xior à Surperformance ainsi que Altarea, ...

Vincent Koppmair
  • Vincent Koppmair

NSI - Light at the end of the tunnel?

Given the release of our Real Estate report 'Are you ready to step in?' we update our NSI estimatesWe adjust our estimates to account for EUR 100m of disposals until 2025e.Disposals, higher interest rates, and tax have a large impact on EPS.We reiterate our ‘Hold' rating and EUR 22.00 TP.More details in our Note issued this morning

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/13/2023

In an increasingly challenging macroeconomic environment, X-Fab can draw on a number of strengths to stand out, including 1/ the rollout of so-called take-or-pay agreements, 2/ exposure to buoyant markets and 3/ the repositioning of its fab in France. Management will also have to push ahead with its vast investment plan to meet customers' long-term needs and deliver on its roadmap (2022-26 adjusted EBITDA CAGR = +30%). In this report, we will look at this new profile, which is less cy...

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