>Q1 2024: more detail but not that much even so... - Comments on results are available in our flash of 25 April (“A decent start to the year”). From the conference call, we note a degree of optimism going forward after a slightly soft quarter due to challenging weather conditions and a negative working days effect. During the Q&A, management did not wish to share the volume/price or price/cost effects, arguing the high value-added products sold that are in particular ...
>T1 2024 : plus de détails mais pas trop quand même … - Les commentaires sur les résultats du T1 sont disponibles dans le flash du 25/04 (« Un début d’année honorable »). Nous retenons de la conférence téléphonique, un certain optimisme pour la suite après un trimestre un peu léger compte tenu de conditions climatiques difficiles et un effet jours ouvrés négatif (-1.5%). Lors du Q&A, le management n’a pas souhaité partager les effets volumes/prix ou prix/coûts, arguan...
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
>Q1 EBIT 3% above the consensus - EBIT came to CHF 532m (+16.3% l-f-l and -8.3% reported), beating the consensus (CHF 515m) and our estimate (CHF 491m est.). The level of growth in local currencies came to 17.1%, broadly in line with Q4 (18.3%,) driven by a contribution from acquisitions of 3.4% in Q1. Relative to our estimates, EBIT exceeded our expectations in all divisions except Solution & Products (-4% vs our estimates), and was higher in North America (+12% vs o...
>EBIT T1 >3% au consensus - L’EBIT ressort à 532 MCHF (+16.3% à pcc et -8.3% en réel), au-dessus du consensus (515 MCHF) et de nos attentes (491 MCHFe). Le niveau de croissance en monnaie locale ressort à 17.1%, soit globalement en ligne avec le T4 (18.3%,) tiré par une contribution des acquisitions de 3.4% au T1. Par rapport à nos estimations, l’EBIT est supérieur à nos attentes dans toutes les divisions à l’exception de la branche Solution & Products (-4% vs nos est...
Holcim Group Services Ltd / Key word(s): Acquisition Holcim to acquire Tensolite 05.04.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST Leading manufacturer and distributor of innovative precast and pre-stressed concrete systems in fast-growing Latin America region Expands Holcim’s Solutions & Products portfolio in Argentina Holcim has signed an agreement to acquire Tensolite, a leading manufacturer of innovative precast and pre-stressed concrete construction systems with $22 million of net sales in 2023 and a strong presence in fast-growing Latin American markets. With plants and a distribution network ...
With the exception of the US, construction markets should continue to shrink in 2024 (-2% in Europe) before rebounding on the back of lower interest rates. Against this backdrop, groups will be differentiated mainly on the basis of their resilience (geographical and price/cost mix), capital allocation (and special situations) and valuation. In this context, we are upgrading our recommendations on KONE (modernisation as an alternative source of growth to China) and Holcim (a subst...
Hormis les Etats-Unis, les marchés de la construction devraient continuer à reculer en 2024 (-2% en Europe) avant de rebondir à la faveur d’une baisse des taux. Dans ce contexte, la différenciation entre les groupes se fera essentiellement sur leur capacité de résistance (mix géographique et prix/ coûts), l’allocation du capital (et situations spéciales) et leur valorisation. Face à cet environnement, nous relevons nos recommandations sur KONE (la modernisation comme relais de la...
With the exception of the US, construction markets should continue to shrink in 2024 (-2% in Europe) before rebounding on the back of lower interest rates. Against this backdrop, groups will be differentiated mainly on the basis of their resilience (geographical and price/cost mix), capital allocation (and special situations) and valuation. In this context, we are upgrading our recommendations on KONE (modernisation as an alternative source of growth to China) and Holcim (a subst...
>A shareholders’ deal through and through - Holcim has succumbed to the temptation of the American dream and more generous multiples. The project will take the form of a spin-off of its North American activities, the terms of which will be set out at a CMD in H2 2024 (listing finalised in H1 2025). Really the only way of generously valuing the “bad co” (Holcim ex-US) is the distribution of an exceptionally high dividend. We expect the dividend to remain unchanged at C...
Hormis les Etats-Unis, les marchés de la construction devraient continuer à reculer en 2024 (-2% en Europe) avant de rebondir à la faveur d’une baisse des taux. Dans ce contexte, la différenciation entre les groupes se fera essentiellement sur leur capacité de résistance (mix géographique et prix/ coûts), l’allocation du capital (et situations spéciales) et leur valorisation. Face à cet environnement, nous relevons nos recommandations sur KONE (la modernisation comme relais de la...
>Un deal d’actionnaire jusqu’au bout des ongles - Holcim a cédé à la tentation du rêve américain et de ses multiples plus généreux. Le projet prend la forme d’une scission de ses activités nord-américaines dont les modalités seront communiquées au cours du S2 2024 au cours d’un CMD (cotation finalisée au S1 2025). La seule et unique façon de généreusement valoriser la « bad co » (Holcim ex-US) réside dans la distribution d’un dividende exceptionnellement élevé. Nous t...
Holcim Group Services Ltd / Key word(s): Miscellaneous Holcim launches share buyback program of CHF 1 billion 15.03.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST On 18 March 2024, Holcim will launch its previously announced share buyback program for a total amount of CHF 1 billion until year-end 2024, with the share cancellation to be approved at the Annual General Meeting in 2025. The share buyback will be funded from available cash on the balance sheet. Holcim remains committed to a strong investment grade credit rating. The volume of monthly share buybacks will depend on market conditions. The share...
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