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David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 01/26/2026

INEOS Quattro: € 200m equity injection|Daniel Kretinsky launches takeover bid for Fnac Darty|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 26/01/2026

INEOS Quattro: € 200m equity injection|Daniel Kretinsly lance une OPA sur le capital de Fnac Darty|

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: 4Q25 consensus release. Basic-Fit: Trading update FY25 and outlook FY26; both beat ING estimates. CVC Capital Partners plc: It's a Marathon

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Consensus FY25 and FY26 released / Belgian Telecoms: DIGI Belgium introduces 5G FWA at €7 per month and increased data on mobile-only offers / NSI: €50m seven-year unsecured notes issuance with a 4.59% coupon / Sofina: Newsletter #17: NAV per share underperforms

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+4)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Basic-Fit/Converting to a Basic-Fit Feel-Good Club?/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating but raise our target price from €35.0 to €43.0 driven by our increased estimates on the back of the strong membership momentum and the consolidation of Clever Fit, which in our view provides attractive upside potential. Note that we have not yet modelled in the potential savings from a change in business model for the 24/7 gyms in France, but we did include the VAT increase in Belgium. We also underline that BFIT remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: The Gym Group pre-close trading update / Fastned: 4Q25 preview / KPN: Vodafone new unlimited subscriptions with 1Gbps speed / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli FY25 sales / Ontex: Change in CEO brought forward and launch of a strategic review / Staffing sector: Page Group 4Q25 trading update / Zabka: Another miss on like-for-like growth.

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 19 September 2025, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Highlights and calculations on the back of Clever Fit analyst meeting. Colruyt: Exiting France after closing its last five stores

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Lynn Hautekeete
  • Lynn Hautekeete

Basic-Fit VAT from 6% to 12% on sports in Belgium

Yesterday, the Belgian federal government announced an agreement on the federal budget, which includes raising VAT on sports subscriptions from 6.0% to 12.0%. The BeNeLux region remains Basic-Fit's key profit driver, delivering a 46.5% EBITDA less rent margin in 1H25 compared to 12.0% across its other markets. For Belgium, we forecast FY25 revenue of approximately €250 million and underlying EBITDA less rent of €115 million. If the additional 6.0% VAT is absorbed without price adjustments, this ...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+4)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Basic-Fit/Acquisition Clever Fit – Clever? Fit?/BUY

BUY reiterated and TP increased from €33.0 to €35.00. We have not yet included the Clever Fit acquisition into our estimates or fair value as we lack the financial details. In this report we have made an extensive analysis of the earnings accretion and value creation of Clever Fit, based on early assumptions. Although we also have some concerns regarding the uncertainty around rebranding, capex needs, improving fundamentals and timing of rebranding, we also see the upside potential, strategic im...

Marc Zwartsenburg ... (+2)
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA

ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update

The ING Benelux Favourites list comprises ASM, Basic-Fit, DSM-Firmenich, Lotus Bakeries, SBM Offshore, Vopak, Wolters Kluwer and Xior.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Update about the deal. BAM Group: Preview - you have this and you have that. Basic-Fit: Investor call highlights Clever Fit acquisition. dsm-firmenich: Symrise 3Q25 results. KPN: Odido reduces fibre prices for higher speeds, increases prices for lower speeds. KPN: In line EBITDAal on lower revenues, guidance reiterated. Philips: 3Q25 preview, strong 4Q25 needed. Sif Group: Preview - boosting factory output and profit. Vastned: Strong progress on synergies,...

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