reports
- ING Helpdesk
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/ASM, Basic-Fit, dsm-firmenich, Lotus Bakeries, ...
We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks that provide the best (relative) upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Besides this, we screen the ING Benelux coverage on key investment themes that are topical and which provide insights into the relative risk-reward of the individual stocks, which could affect earnings potential and thus a stock's share price performance: (1) we screen ou...
- Lynn Hautekeete
Basic-Fit Frontloaded Costs, Strengthened Liquidity, and Upward Valuat...
We revise our FY25 and FY26 underlying EBITDA less rent forecasts upward by +3.2% and +1.7%, respectively. Our FY25 estimate now stands at EUR 343.6m, which remains at the lower end of management's guidance range (EUR 330–370m). Importantly, we lower our risk premium following the EUR 350.0m in additional secured bank financing obtained in 1H25. This enhanced liquidity profile and extended maturities reduce refinancing risk and support our confidence in Basic-Fit's capital structure. As a result...
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Alfen: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. Arcadis: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. ASR: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. BAM: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Basic-Fit: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. CTP: Highlights from ING Benelux Conference London. DEME Group: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Fugro: Highlights ING Benelux Conference London. Heijmans: Highlights ING Bene...
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
RAND RANDSTAD NV
PNL POSTNL NV
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
LOTB LOTUS BAKERIES NV
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
ARCAD
ARCADIS NV
ASRNL ROYAL VOPAK NV
TWEKA ASR NEDERLAND NV
ALFEN TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
FUR ALFEN NV
CTPNV FUGRO NV
DEME CTP NV
DEME GROUP NV
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Basic-Fit/Membership trends back on track – positive lead indicators g...
We reiterate our BUY rating but raise our target price from €31.5 to €33.0 while we underline that BFIT remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list. BFIT reported solid 1H25 results with strong membership ingrowth trends in 1Q25/2Q25 and our Google search trend data suggest also ongoing positive momentum into 3Q25. The FCF in 1H25 was somewhat disappointing which for a large part was due to phasing effects. We leave our estimates more or less unchanged and continue to believe our estimates for FY...
- Carole Braudeau
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
NEX NEXANS SA
KGX KION GROUP AG
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TEF TELEFONICA SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
- Juan Ros-Padilla
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
NK IMERYS SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
KORI KORIAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
OERL OC OERLIKON CORPORATION AG
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
WLN WORLDLINE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
SMCP SMCP SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
EAPI EUROAPI
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
CAN CANAL+
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Juan Ros-Padilla
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
NK IMERYS SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
KORI KORIAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
OERL OC OERLIKON CORPORATION AG
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
WLN WORLDLINE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
SMCP SMCP SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
EAPI EUROAPI
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
CAN CANAL+
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Carole Braudeau
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
KORI KORIAN SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
NEX NEXANS SA
KGX KION GROUP AG
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
CABK CAIXABANK SA
WLN WORLDLINE SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
TEF TELEFONICA SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
- Robert Jan Vos
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Marc Lavaud
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
EO FAURECIA SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
HO THALES SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
FII LISI SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
BIG BIGBEN INTERACTIVE SA
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TPS
VASTB ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CON VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
WAF CONZZETA AG
INSD SILTRONIC AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
LDO FACC AG
FTG111 LEONARDO SPA
SAE FLATEXDEGIRO AG
CASH SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
GEST PROSEGUR CASH SA
CAF GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
WAVE CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
TMV WAVESTONE SA
NACON TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG NACON SASU
AERO HENSOLDT AG
AM MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ALLFG DASSAULT AVIATION
LAT ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
R3NK LATECOERE
EXENS RENK GROUP AG
CAN EXOSENS
CANAL+
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Marc Lavaud
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
RR. ROLLS-ROYCE HOLDINGS PLC
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
EO FAURECIA SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
HO THALES SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
FGA FIGEAC AERO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
ALDEL DELFINGEN INDUSTRY SA
EKI EKINOPS SA
FII LISI SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
BIG BIGBEN INTERACTIVE SA
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
TPS
VASTB ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CON VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
WAF CONZZETA AG
SMHN SILTRONIC AG
INSD SUESS MICROTEC AG
FACC VERIMATRIX SA
LDO FACC AG
FTG111 LEONARDO SPA
SAE FLATEXDEGIRO AG
CASH SHOP APOTHEKE EUROPE NV
GEST PROSEGUR CASH SA
CAF GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
WAVE CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
TMV WAVESTONE SA
NACON TEAMVIEWER AG
HAG NACON SASU
AERO HENSOLDT AG
AM MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
ALLFG DASSAULT AVIATION
LAT ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
R3NK LATECOERE
EXENS RENK GROUP AG
CAN EXOSENS
CANAL+
- Robert Jan Vos
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Allfunds Group PLC: Ready to Spring forward. Basic-Fit: 1H25 ahead of INGF, membership ingrowth, outlook reiterated, FCF a bit light. Lotus Bakeries: Preview 1H25. NN Group & ASR: Dutch Pension Reform not an issue at 29 October Dutch elections. Philips: 2Q25 results, much lower tariff impact. Proximus: New BICS CEO and Global CRO laid off. Vastned: Good results, EPRA EPS guidance up by 2.5%. Zabka: 2Q25 Preview
- Lynn Hautekeete
Basic-Fit 1H25 results: underlying EBITDA less rent below CSS
Basic-Fit reports 1H25 revenue in line with CSS but misses -5.6% on underlying EBITDA less rent due to higher than expected personnel costs. Personnel costs increased 43% YoY of which 25% is related to opening clubs 24/7. The membership growth is in line with 2Q24 (+40k) and slightly below CSS of +50k despite the management confirming it sees the expected in-growth in the 24/7 clubs. Overheads incl. marketing (11.0%) are ahead of CSS and guidance (11.5-12.%). The full year guidance is reiterated...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Lewi
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
ING Benelux Favourites/Weekly performance and valuation update
We update the performance of our ING Benelux Favourites list as well as all valuation and ranking tables for our coverage universe. Performance on the front page is dated from the 27 January 2025, while historical performance is included on the second page. The methodology for our favourites selection is based on a bottom-up approach with a focus on absolute performance with clear near-term triggers. It is a rolling list, ie, stocks can enter/exit whenever we think opportune. The ING Benelux Fav...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Basic-Fit/Preview 1H25 – positive lead indicators for 2Q25/BUY
We reiterate our BUY rating but raise our target price from €30.0 to €31.5 while we also underline that BFIT remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list. We expect a strong set of 1H25 results driven by ongoing positive membership ingrowth supported by strong Google search trend data for Spain and France after an already strong 1Q25. We expect further support for the investments in the French 24/7 gym roll-out while we see potential upside to our FY26F estimates based on a change in the staffing ...
- Adrien Frachette
NDX1 NORDEX SE
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CVVTF COVESTRO AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
LXS LANXESS AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
FII LISI SA
SDF K+S AG
BAS BASF SE
SOLB SOLVAY SA
ELIS ELIS SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
GLB GLANBIA PLC
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
ENG ENAGAS SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
BNR BRENNTAG SE
INX IMCD N.V.
MAU ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
RUI RUBIS SCA
SANT S&T AG
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
PLX PLUXEE NV
ARYN ARYZTA AG
- Adrien Frachette
NDX1 NORDEX SE
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
CVVTF COVESTRO AG
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
GIVN GIVAUDAN SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
ARYN ARYZTA AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
FII LISI SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
SDF K+S AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
BAS BASF SE
SOLB SOLVAY SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ELIS ELIS SA
SY1 SYMRISE AG
GLB GLANBIA PLC
NDA AURUBIS AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
ENG ENAGAS SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
BNR BRENNTAG SE
INX IMCD N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
MAU ETABLISSEMENTS MAUREL & PROM SA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
RUI RUBIS SCA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SANT S&T AG
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
PLX PLUXEE NV
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
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