reports
- Baptiste Salaville
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Gautier Le Bihan
- Baptiste Salaville
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Gautier Le Bihan
- Jakub Krawczyk
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCC PW; ADNOCDIS UH; RO Macro; PL Macro; MYTIL GA; CAR PW;...
HEADLINES: • CCC: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA beats our and the market's expectations by c.20% POSITIVE • ADNOC Distribution: 4Q24 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Romania macro: update on the political and fiscal situation • Poland macro: PM Tusk signals shift of policy focus • Metlen Energy & Metals: Canadian Fairfax officially raises stake to 6.4%, as expected NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales growth at 9% yoy NEUTRAL • Budimex: 4Q24E preview – strong gross margin, but headlines down, as...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Markus Remis
- Stephane Houri
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
EVN EVN AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BAS BASF SE
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
EZJ EASYJET PLC
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
POS PORR AG
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LNZ LENZING AG
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
MONC MONCLER SPA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VIG VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP AG WIENER VERSICHERUNG GRUPPE
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
FACC FACC AG
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
AGR AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; EUR PW; PGE PW; EUROB GA; MTELE...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (3-9 February) • Eurocash: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA flat yoy, but 10% above the consensus POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 2.4bn write-down in conventional generation to be recognised in the FY24 results NEUTRAL • Eurobank Ergasias Services: Fairfax shareholding drops to 32.9% NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q24E preview – 16% yoy growth in EBITDA expected (due on 25 February) • Auto Partner: 4Q24E preview – EBITDA almost flat yoy (due on 15 April) • Inter Cars: 4Q...
- Markus Remis
- Stephane Houri
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
UNIQA INSURANCE GROUP AG
EVN EVN AG
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
ZVTG ZAVAROVALNICA TRIGLAV D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
POS PORR AG
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
LNZ LENZING AG
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
WIE WIENERBERGER AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
CCC CCC SA
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
VIG VIENNA INSURANCE GROUP AG WIENER VERSICHERUNG GRUPPE
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
STR STRABAG SE
POSR POZAVAROVALNICA SAVA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
FACC FACC AG
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
BG BAWAG GROUP AG
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
AGR AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
FQT FREQUENTIS AG WIENER
NLBR NOVA LJUBLJANSKA BANKA DD LJUBLJANA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ANR ANSWEAR.COM
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; ING PW; MBK PW; BRD RO; PL Macro; BHW PW; EU Oil ...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: surprises on the upside with 2024 delivery; guiding for 100% dividend payout ratio also for 2025E POSITIVE • ING BSK: solid 4Q24, but beat driven by low LLPs, while core revenues miss expectations; guiding for a solid DPS NEUTRAL • mBank: 2024 results; guiding for 2025E to be the last year with a material impact from the FX mortgage saga NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong 4Q24 delivery beats expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Bank Handlowy: makes another impa...
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
SHO GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
7203 SHOPER SA
ELM CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SAB1L LH; Global Oil and Gas; HU Macro; CCC PW; ALE PW; PC...
HEADLINES: • Šiaulių Bankas: wait and breathe (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Global oil and gas: uh-oh, Canada – the oil markets and potential Canadian tariffs POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB intensifies hawkish tone • CCC: small acquisition in premium sneakers segment NEUTRAL • Allegro: changes of commission table for merchants POSITIVE • Pepco Group: another set of management changes NEUTRAL • Titan Cement: preliminary FY24 results NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: acquires factoring finte...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ELM AB; TEN PW; WPS LN; PZU PW; CCC PW; JMT PL
HEADLINES: • Elm: signs an agreement to acquire Thiqah for SAR 3.4bn POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: Investor Day takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurowag: solid 4Q24 results but slow growth and higher capex in 2025E NEGATIVE • PZU: appoints Andrzej Klesyk to the supervisory board • CCC: 4Q24E prelims preview - we expect 82% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 10 February, TBC) • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q24E results preview – we expect 2% yoy EBITDA erosion (due on 19 March)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; RICHT HB; BDX PW; 11B PW; EME Strategy
HEADLINES: • mBank: issues 4Q24E and 2024E guidance NEUTRAL • Richter: US Medicare to negotiate Vraylar prices starting 2027 NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.05bn lawsuit against the consortium that constructed Turów power plant unit NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: new publishing agreement with The Outer Zone NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2024 annual holdings
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2025 outlook | Almost same story, different ye...
Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy – 2025 outlook | Almost same story, different ye...
Repeat of 2024, with different headwinds – Following a year in which Greek equities performed broadly in line with EU periphery stocks (but better than broad EU indices), 2025 looks somewhat trickier given international headwinds (e.g. tariffs, geopolitics). Easing monetary policy is certainly a positive, in the sense that it could justify higher valuations, but the overriding driver of re-rating would be a resolution of the war in Ukraine, as is the case for the EU as a whole. On the positive s...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KRU PW; MYTIL GA; PL Macro; PEO PW; HUG PW; GPP PW; GPP PW...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 2025-29E strategy – ambitious, and sees further growth of earnings, assisted by high ROEs POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: EUR 0.3bn capex plan to boost alumina capacity by 50% and produce gallium as well POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP keeps rates unchanged, as expected • Bank Pekao: to add PLN 370m of FX mortgage provision charges, shielded by PLN 103m of deferred tax asset recognition; positive change in NPL stock NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: USD 3.5m impairment of investment in ...
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
GREEK ENERGY | Greek Power Play Handbook: 2025 Edition
Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...
- Nikos Athanasoulias CFA
GREEK ENERGY | Greek Power Play Handbook: 2025 Edition
Charging in a new era; Prefer power companies over refineries – The Greek energy market underwent structural shifts in 2024, with disruptions in Eastern Europe driving high intraday volatility in electricity prices, which is likely to persist as long as Greece remains a net electricity importer. Since regulatory interventions were lifted in 2024, power generation units saw a step-up in their spark spreads, capturing 2-digit premia vs baseload prices amidst daily price spikes, while the retail ma...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PCO PW; RO Macro; MTELEKOM HB; VGO PW; BDX PW; CDR PW; ASE...
HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: 1Q25 revenues 6% short of the consensus, on weak Poundland; Pepco lfl back in the black NEGATIVE • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • Magyar Telekom: to implement 3.7% annual inflation-based fee adjustment from April 2025 POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q24 sales up 10% yoy, to PLN 24.1m POSITIVE • Budimex: 4Q24E EBIT guidance below our expectations, but in line with the consensus; strong backlog NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: approves new dividend policy, assuming payout of at ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; OMV AV; SNP RO; MBR PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekl...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: announces 4Q24 volume data and 2025E guidance POSITIVE • OMV: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 January)
- Research Team
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