HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
HEADLINES: • European Oil and Gas Monthly: February 2026 – trouble brewing in Hormuz • EME Macro/Strategy: Hungary – the Tisza policy programme • cyber_Folks: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 72% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Shoper: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 14% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 3% above our expectations POSITIVE • Vercom: preliminary 4Q25 results review – 25% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: outlook imp...
We initiate coverage on Wirtualna Polska with an Outperform rating and a target price of PLN 82. We believe investors will increasingly recognize the company’s evolution from a challenged advertising-driven model into a dominant CEE online travel player. By integrating Invia Group, the company is unlocking the dynamic package travel market, blending post-integration synergies with a localised OTA approach to drive growth. While the Advertising & Subscription segment has been under macroeconomic ...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
HEADLINES: • Synektik: healthcare play, with multiple tailwinds (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EEMEA macro: early takes on the Iran conflict • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 21.21%, while WP TV at 0.51% in February 2026 NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: EUR 4m order for Spanish Guardia Civil POSITIVE • Richter: acquires WHC discovery portfolio of Celmatix NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: acquisition of six minority stakes and sale of stake in ...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: master of multi-domain warfare (stays BUY) • EMEA airlines: attack on Iran disrupts global aviation • Rainbow Tours: flattish yoy January sales growth at both the consolidated (+2.6% yoy) and stand-alone (+1.6% yoy) levels NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate up 33% mom POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 4Q25E preview – 7% yoy EBITDA deterioration expected (due on 15 Apr...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 4Q25 results – net profit beats expectations • PZU: 4Q25 results – in line with expectations • PGE: to book a PLN 0.7bn provision NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: releases Reigns: The Witcher, card-swiping game NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 – both FFO and guidance trail our and the consensus estimates slightly NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25 results review – EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with the consensus; conservative 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25E preview (due out ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: in the slow lane (downgraded to HOLD) • MOL: 4Q25 results – underlying numbers better than reported NEUTRAL • 4iG: enters agreement with e& PPF Telecom Group on share swap POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: signs contract for new photovoltaic park with 8.9 MWp capacity NEUTRAL • TBC Bank: 4Q25 financial results review • Solutions by STC: 4Q25 conference call takeaways
We have downgraded Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution (ADNOC Distribution) to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of AED 4.15 (from AED 4.36), offering upside of 0.9%. Momentum has plateaued and we see EBITDA growth of 5% per annum in the next five years. Growth in sales and retail sites has slowed and, for the domestic market, management’s focus has shifted to profitability. The additions of C-stores and the rising value added per store mean that unit profits have risen i...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: strong 4Q25 delivery bodes well for 2026E outlook POSITIVE • Orlen: 4Q25 results – strong underlying EBITDA POSITIVE • Kruk: buys material portfolio in Italy – very strong start to 2026E in terms of investments scale POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs PLN 7.5m contract NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 48% qoq (due on 19 March) • GEK Terna: EUR 1.1bn planned Vrochonera HPS project secures ...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
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