We believe the Schibsted CMD revealed that its future success is more dependent upon its ability to create revenue growth than pursue low-hanging cost cuts. We reiterate our SELL and NOK300 target price, as we continue to find the valuation rich relative to its peer group and growth prospects.
Schibsted is due to host its CMD in Barcelona on 19 November. With the stock up c70% YTD and Nordic Marketplaces trading at an implied 2024e EV/sales of c11x, we are concerned underlying market expectations on revenues and cost cuts could prove optimistic. We reiterate our SELL and NOK300 target price.
The Q3 report was strong, including results above consensus and a significant rise in Adevinta’s valuation. We reiterate our SELL, as we still find the valuation rich at 10x EV/sales for Nordic marketplaces, but have raised our target price to NOK300 (270) on positive estimate revisions and the revaluation of Adevinta.
A director at Schibsted ASA bought 2,500 shares at 283.200NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
Slightly weak Q2 results included EBITDA 2% below consensus, driven by HQ costs. We reiterate our SELL (as we continue to find implied market expectations for cost cuts too bullish) and our NOK270 target price, after trimming our 2024–2026e EBITDA.
We consider this a mixed report for Schibsted, including group figures below consensus due to high HQ and restructuring costs, Nordic Marketplaces EBITDA slightly above and no new guidance. We expect consensus 2024e EBITDA to be revised down 1–3% and believe a slightly negative share price reaction is warranted.
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