In this June update, we've made four adjustments to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List: 1.Merus (Removed – 27 May) was removed following the release of strong interim Phase 2 data at the ASCO 2025 conference. Its lead asset, petosemtamab, in combination with Keytruda, showed a 63% overall response rate in first-line treatment of head and neck cancer—significantly outperforming Keytruda monotherapy. The resulting share price surge validated our investment thesis. 2. Adyen (Removed) has de...
The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...
Cash App volumes once again causing issues with an 8% decline in Digital volumes, resulting in a 6% gap in overall processed volume expectations. However, given the more limited margin on customers like Cash App and eBay, net result still up 22% YoY, only 1% off from expectations. Solid performance in Unified Commerce and Platform. Management remains confident in their 2025-2026 guidance. We reiterate our Accumulate rating and €1750 TP.
Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.
In this April 2025 update of the KBC Securities' Dynamic Top Pick List, we are removing Gimv and adding Adyen. Since adding Gimv to the Dynamic Top Pick List in mid-December 2024, Gimv's performance has remained flat. However, month-to-date, it has increased by nearly 7%, while the indices have all declined. Given the backdrop of a tariff war brewing, we think it's time to remove Gimv from the Dynamic Top Pick List as medium-sized businesses are more likely to feel the pinch of lower demand and...
The 2H24 results provided additional comfort on the North American digital volumes, underlining the total cost of ownership benefit of the Adyen platform and demonstrating the more limited bottom line impact of large volatile merchants like Cash App and eBay. We believe the positive sentiment is warranted, despite being eroded now by the recent Trump Tariffs sell-off. Finetuning our model, including an increase of the financial income on the large cash position, leads to a new TP of €1.750; reit...
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