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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Company comments AB InBev: Little to disappoint Adyen: 2H25 results – mixed results, soft guidance CVC Capital Partners: Executing well dsm-firmenich: Messy results Fagron: Beat on all lines, confident FY26 outlook to drive c.5% consensus EBITDA upgrade Flow Traders: EMEA saves the day KBC: Good results, opening up “jaws” further to 2028 Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 4Q25 results below consensus, January 2026 box office revenue up MICC: FX headwind leads to a 50bp margin miss in FY25 Montea:...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB...

: ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB, MONT BB, NN NA, ONTEX BB, SIP BB, WDP BB, NXFIL NA

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: New Platforms partnership in APAC / Dutch Pension Reform (Wtp): 1/3 transitioned (c.25 funds), 2027 challenging / IBA: Sale of a P1 system to MacKay Memorial Hospital in New Taipei City, Taiwan / KPN: 4Q25 preview / Offshore Wind: North Sea offshore wind pact to develop 300GW by 2050 / Vår Energi: RRR 2P 185% offsets slight pressure on expected production volumes 4Q

Quirijn Mulder ... (+2)
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Stijn Demeester

Azelis/Trimming estimates on ‘softer-for-longer' view/BUY

We trim our estimates as we expect the challenging macro environment, as experienced in 3Q25, to extend into 4Q25 and 1H26. Our lower target price of €14 per share (from €19), reflects our lower estimates and de-rated peer multiples. We maintain our BUY recommendation.

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Adyen/Built for growth/BUY

We remain positive on the Adyen investment case. Its recent CMD underpinned solid growth guidance for the years ahead, and we believe the company's strong foundation, its in-house built end-to-end payment platform, positions it well for further market share gains and long-term growth drivers like agentic commerce. We keep our target price of €1,850 unchanged and reiterate our BUY rating.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: New CEO, new wind?. Colruyt: Job protection plan approved by authorities. Colruyt: Preview 1H25/26. IMCD: New CFO announced.

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