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Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Telecoms answer the call for a sustainable business model

Our economy can become more sustainable if we lower our electricity consumption. KPN and Telecom Italia show the way forward with a substantial reduction in electricity use. Telefonica and BT are less successful. In this article, we describe the transition to renewable electricity use and energy-saving options in both fixed and mobile networks

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Life in plastic, it's (no longer) fantastic

In recent years, the global waste management landscape has faced challenges with over 2.1bn tons of municipal solid waste (MSW) generated annually, a figure projected to rise by 56% to 3.8bn tons by 2050 if urgent action is not taken. This vast quantity of waste is more than a mere by-product of co

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Odido CFO call meeting notes: Interesting read across for KPN/Vod-Zigg...

We recently had a call with Odido CFO, Gero Niemeyer, and we provide feedback in this report. Our key take-away is that Odido is negotiating with ODF to increase the share it buys up to 40% from 20%.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/26/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 26/09/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : More users switching provider in France, Italy and the UK

>More consumers are looking to change provider in France, Italy and UK - The Oliver Wyman consultancy published yesterday a survey with 7,000 consumers in five countries (see page 2). These studies are not indisputable but offer additional indicators.Mobile market: according to the survey, the desire to switch operator within 24 months is up sharply in Italy (27%, +9pp), the UK (31%, +6pp) and France (27%, +4pp). No major shifts in Germany (26%, +2pp) or Spain (2...

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU TELECOMS REFRESH: Can the outperformance continue?

When was the last time we could write that the EU Telecoms sector has been the second best performing sector in the market YTD? As a result, this raises the question of whether the outperformance can continue. We believe regulation will ultimately determine the answer to this question.

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Plus d’envies de résiliations en France, Italie et au Royaume-U...

>Les consommateurs veulent plus bouger en France, Italie et Royaume-Uni - La cabinet Oliver Wyman a publié hier un sondage auprès de 7 000 consommateurs dans 5 pays (Cf. page 2). Ces études ne sont pas incontestables mais offrent des indicateurs de plus.Marché mobile : selon l’étude, la volonté de changer d’opérateur d’ici 24 mois est en nette hausse en Italie (27%, +9pp), au R-U (31%, +6pp) et en France (27%, +4pp). Pas de grand changement en Allemagne (26%, +2p...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Vranken

Life Sciences Conference 26.09.2024

This conference booklet is your guide to our Life Sciences Conference set to take place on Thursday, 26 September 2024 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or join pitch sessions with the following companies and their top management: Public: AUTOLUS | GALAPAGOS | HYLORIS | INVENTIVA | MAAT PHARMA | ONWARD MEDICAL | SEQUANA MEDICAL | UCB | ZEALAND PHARMA Private: CONFO TX | MRM HEALTH | PANTERA | SKYLINE DX

Michiel Declercq ... (+5)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

KPN A Strong Foundation for Future Growth

Today we initiate coverage on KPN with a Buy rating and € 4.2 TP. In this note we take a closer look at the underlying market dynamics and competitive environment. While the Dutch market is subject to some price and promotional pressure in broadband, the overall market remains rational. We expect this to continue, as the highly leveraged balance sheets of competitors leave little room for aggressive pricing. Secondly, we believe that KPN has a structural advantage in the long term, as it is the ...

Maxime Stranart ... (+2)
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Stijn Demeester

Recticel/Volumes growth back on the agenda/BUY

We reiterate our BUY and increase our target price from €15 to €16 following Recticel's 1H24 results, to reflect a lower WACC and broadly stable estimates. We remain convinced by the medium-to-long term potential of the Insulation market - this should provide Recticel with ample room to grow organically and, thanks to its net cash position, through M&A. We view future acquisitions as a key catalyst for the share price over the short term, as these would confirm the ambition of the group to mater...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/12/2024

We have upgraded our target price from € 43.4 to € 45.3 which factors in the growth strategy out to 2027 (EBITDA +5% to 6% p.a.) whereas the share price implies decrease of 0.65% p.a. The strategic GreenUp plan is based on three booster businesses that should see a gradual acceleration and will involve asset rotation. An accretive re-profiling in terms of EPS, and with no repercussions for the leverage limit, could also show through with minority buyouts for the regulated water operat...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

PYPL US (BUY, TP: $85, +24%) ADYEN (BUY, TP: EUR1,700) SQ US (Neutral,...

We continue our series of Deep dives into Payments (see previous: Unified Commerce, and Rise of the Merchants) with a look at Real Time Payment (RTP) developments. Adoption has been rapid on a global basis, notably at the consumer level in markets like Brazil, though is a significant laggard in the US. Momentum here is, however, slowly building through FedNow (launched only in 2023) with banks/FIs stalling, but with consumer demand we think high and with a Visa/Mastercard interchange settlement ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/09/2024

Nous relevons notre objectif de cours de 43.4 € à 45.3 € qui intègre la stratégie de croissance à 2027 (EBITDA +5% à 6%/an) alors que le cours de Bourse sous-tend une baisse de 0.65%/an. Le plan stratégique GreenUp repose sur trois métiers Boosters qui doivent connaitre une accélération graduelle et impliquer des rotations d’actifs. Un reprofilage relutif en termes de BPA, et sans conséquence sur la limite de levier, pourrait aussi intervenir par le biais de rachats de minoritaires de...

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