Yesterday, LG Uplus announced its new Corporate Value Up plan, in conjunction with the appointment of a new CEO in 2025, Hong Bum-Sik who is the company’s current head of corporate strategy. We think the plan is modestly positive but not as transformational as KT’s. Our brief thoughts below.
Group service revenue and EBITDA trends were softer in Q2, beset by slower Enterprise growth and a one-off labour cost hike by KT. By contrast, mobile improved to 2.1% YoY, led by SKT and KT. Given the benign mobile landscape and the removal of Stage X’s mobile license, we expect trends to sustain at current levels. Capex spend is under control while quarterly dividends were unchanged. Separately, we have trimmed our target prices for SKT and LG Uplus; KT remains our preferred pick.
Trends were slower as service revenue and EBITDA missed expectations 1% and 2% respectively. As a result, pressure continue to be felt at the bottom line. Key positives were its Enterprise and broadband momentum and the moderation in capex. Separately, LG had also disclosed an interim dividend of KRW 250/share, unchanged from last year.
South Korea's Ministry of Science and ICT ("MSIT") is said to be revoking Stage X's 28 GHz spectrum, citing its inability to pay the KRW 205bn (US$ 150m) paid-in capital last month and discrepancies around its shareholders' ownership ratio. Our thoughts below.
South Korean operators delivered better service revenue growth, led by improvements in Broadband and Enterprise. As 5G penetration matures (70% in Q1), mobile still managed LSD growth. With improving capital intensity and steadily rising dividends, we remain constructive in this space, with KT remaining as our preferred pick
LG Uplus’ numbers improved from last quarter. Faster service revenue trend was led by improvements across the board, with continued strength in Enterprise. Bottom line was however weak off higher wage, D&A and interest costs. Our brief takeaway below.
We met with all 3 of the Korean Telcos in Seoul over the last couple of days. All 3 are committed to engaging with and following the government “Value-up” programme, with the industry having started to become more shareholder friendly 2-3 years ago. We see the potential for higher industry returns (lower capex, opex) as well as better shareholder remuneration. Change will take time, but patient investors are set to do well from Korea as the market finally finds its place in the sun we think. Top...
South Korean operators were slower across the board at service revenue on softer Fixed growth, although mobile and Enterprise kept pace. Both LG and SKT saw an acceleration in Enterprise this quarter as the former opened a new DC in Q4. Both SKT and KT saw improvements in EBITDA while LG was pressured by higher labour costs.
2023 saw Govt interference in industry pricing, competition and management offsetting good fundamentals. With elections in April this may continue near term. However, despite this the industry continues to grow cash flow, which should also continue, and taking a slightly longer perspective shows that KT and SKT (although not LG U-Plus) are still trending higher.
South Korean telco saw a slower quarter as improvements at SKT and LG were offset by KT’s slowdown, attributable to its subsidiaries (slower BC Card, declines at Content and Skylife). Nevertheless, core mobile and Enterprise trends improved, with broadband stable.
Aggregate service revenue were lifted by KT’s non-mobile performance this quarter, with strong EBITDA growth from both KT and LG owing to well controlled labour and service costs. Encouragingly too, 1H23 aggregate capex intensity was lower (12.6% vs. 13.5% last year) despite a focus on AI investments recently.
Today, South Korea's Ministry of Science and ICT ("MSIT") unveiled plans aimed at lowering the average household mobile spending, by encouraging lower mobile price plans and fostering greater mobile competition through 1) incentivising a fourth mobile operator, 2) promoting MVNO competitiveness through wholesale provisions and 3) raising the subsidy cap on Mobile Device Distribution Act from 15% to 30%
South Korean carriers delivered LSD service revenue growth again, driven off mobile and Enterprise, with EBITDA lighter than previous quarters. Service revenue grew 2.9% (Q4: 3%) while EBITDA growth slowed to 1.8% YoY, dragged by both KT and LG. Mobile ARPU trend remains positive, with 5G penetration (off handset base) at 61%.
South Korean carriers closed off the year with a slightly slower quarter but better margins. Service revenue eased to 3% as improvement in mobile and enterprise offset the slowdown in broadband. EBITDA trend was better for KT and LG but flat for SKT. FY22 shareholder remuneration was commendable - 42% pay-out for LG (from 35%); 40% of OpFCF for SKT as guided. Moreover, SKT also flagged a likely share buyback in the future.
2022 was a good year for the Korean Telcos, and we think 2023 will be too. 5G should continue to drive ARPU upside on the consumer mobile side, while Enterprise, Datacentre and Content revenues should also be strong. KT is our top pick, and we think has the potential to double over time.
Overall service revenue growth trend was stable for South Korean telcos, up by 4% YoY. Decent Enterprise momentum and stable broadband growth helped offset the slowdown in mobile which was driven by a marginal ARPU decline. EBITDA growth improved, driven by lower advertising costs and lower labour costs compared to Q2.
Given increasing newsflow and investor focus in this short note we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these DC assets, in an attempt to contextualise exactly what the telcos own and how rapidly they intend to grow capacity.
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