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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...

HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

Stamatios Draziotis CFA ... (+2)
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Thaleia Makedou

JUMBO | Jumbonomics v2026: The anatomy of margins

Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA ... (+2)
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Thaleia Makedou

JUMBO | Jumbonomics v2026: The anatomy of margins

Margins under scrutiny: competition capping upside rather than driving margin debasement – We have received a growing number of questions on whether Jumbo’s gross margin model is structurally at risk as competition intensifies, with Romania in focus following Action’s entry and against a broader backdrop of rising online price transparency. Competitive concerns, however, are not new. Similar fears surfaced in the early 2010s (Amazon threat), yet Jumbo has repeatedly confounded them, delivering g...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOM PW; MIL PW; PL Banks; TITC GA; OPAP GA; BELA GA; THYAO...

HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December

EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Macro; CAR PW; PGE PW; PL Utilities; BELA GA; OPTIMA GA...

HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PGSUS TI; APR PW; BDX PW; EME Macro/Strategy; DNP PW; ENA ...

HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkish ISE 30 in the red in Novem...

EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).

OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
ALPHA ALPHA BANK
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO HELLENIQ ENERGY
4071 SHOPER SA
ACAG ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
H2O AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
7203 HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
OPTIMAr ELM CO
MUR2 OPTIMA BANK S.A.
AQ MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
THEON TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
PRIUA GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR PRIMOCO UAV SE
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO DIAGNOSTYKA SA
PREMIER ENERGY
Alessio Chiesa ... (+2)
  • Alessio Chiesa
  • Raffaella Tenconi

EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets ha...

The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; ELM AB; EAT PW; CAR PW; HSBK LI; ELPE GA; SNG RO;...

HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; CEZ CP; KSPI US; AIRA LI; OPTIMA GA; ASELS TI; A...

HEADLINES: • BIM: 3Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • CEZ: 3Q25 operating results miss, bottom line beats by 9% NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q25 highlights – 2025 continues to be soft; USD 100m buyback NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q25 – EBITDAR down 17% yoy, despite 15% ASK growth NEGATIVE • Optima Bank: small bottom-line miss in 3Q25, but FY25E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Aselsan: second Steel Dome serial production contract, and signs MOU with ROMARM POSITIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth d...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; OTP HB; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; MGROS TI; THYA...

Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...

Miguel Dias
  • Miguel Dias

WOOD Flash – NLB Group: solid print and consensus beat in 3Q25, but ou...

NLB reported its 3Q25 results yesterday (6 November), delivering net profit of EUR 131.6m, down 3% yoy, but slightly ahead of our expectations and materially ahead of the consensus (a 9.2% beat). Good loan book development and top-line performance beat the consensus by 3% (even if most of it was sponsored by other income), the opex was materially better than both our and the consensus expectations, and the provisions booked during the quarter were slightly higher than we were expecting (but in l...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKO PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; RICHT HB; CTPNV NA; FROTO ...

HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

JUMBO | Margins bruised but value unbroken; top pick

Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...

Stamatios Draziotis CFA
  • Stamatios Draziotis CFA

JUMBO | Margins bruised but value unbroken; top pick

Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...

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