Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Our channel check showed that new home property prices in the core districts of Hohhot and Taiyuan showed signs of stabilisation, supported by population inflow, higher efficiency ratio of new products and sharper contraction in supply. With greater downward pressure on property prices in Tier 1 cities, the trend in lower tier cities points to continued divergence and complexity in China’s property market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. CR Land...
Top Stories Company Update | Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt41.00/Target: Bt48.00) AOT’s 4QFY25 analyst meeting delivered a strongly positive tone, supported by progress on PSC hikes – management confirmed a request to lift PSC by at least Bt300 for international passengers. Negotiations with KPD are progressing in a positive direction. 4QFY25 earnings beat expectations on lower employee expenses. Outlook remains robust, with FY26 passengers forecast at 135.4m and winter-flight additions str...
Top Stories Company Update | Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt41.00/Target: Bt48.00) AOT’s 4QFY25 analyst meeting delivered a strongly positive tone, supported by progress on PSC hikes – management confirmed a request to lift PSC by at least Bt300 for international passengers. Negotiations with KPD are progressing in a positive direction. 4QFY25 earnings beat expectations on lower employee expenses. Outlook remains robust, with FY26 passengers forecast at 135.4m and winter-flight additions str...
Company Update | Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt40.75/Target: Bt48.00) AOT’s conclusion on the KPD concession fee reduction and PSC hike is postponed to end-Oct 25, likely to be announced in the next analyst meeting in Nov 25. Two PSC options were proposed, with the likely scenario being an increase only for international passengers. 4QFY25 earnings are expected to be the weakest in this year at Bt3.6b (-16.7% yoy), but we upgrade to BUY with a target price of Bt48.00, supported by strong ...
Top Stories Company Update | Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/BUY/Bt40.75/Target: Bt48.00) AOT’s conclusion on the KPD concession fee reduction and PSC hike is postponed to end-Oct 25, likely to be announced in the next analyst meeting in Nov 25. Two PSC options were proposed, with the likely scenario being an increase only for international passengers. 4QFY25 earnings are expected to be the weakest in this year at Bt3.6b (-16.7% yoy), but we upgrade to BUY with a target price of Bt48.00, support...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...
We attended AOT’s 3QFY25 analyst meeting and the tone was neutral. AOT reported a net profit which beat our and consensus forecasts, but it was due to a one-time item. There has been no progress on either the PSC increase or the KPD issue. The outlook remains dull as the return of Chinese tourists is slow. Unless tourism recovers or there is a significant development on the KPD overhang, we remain not bullish on AOT. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt24.50/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt113.00/Target: Bt125.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations, with yield remaining impressive. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt15.50) 2Q25: Earnings beat expectations on solid profitability. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt22.60/Target: Bt20.00) ...
AOT is expected to report a net profit of Bt3.62b in 3QFY25 (-20.7% yoy, -28.4% qoq). Top-line could contract yoy due to a yoy decrease in international passenger volumes and a drop in concession revenue from the area reclamation last year. Given the unresolved overhangs with KPD, we remain cautious on AOT until we see a further recovery in the Thai tourism outlook or more positive development in the overhangs. Maintain SELL. Target price: Bt24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Home Product Center (HMPRO TB/SELL/Bt7.30/Target: Bt5.60) 2Q25: Earnings drop yoy, in line with our forecast. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/SELL/Bt42.00/Target: Bt24.00) Weaker yoy earnings expected in 3QFY25. Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt15.70/Target: Bt25.00) 2Q25 results preview: Net profit momentum likely to moderate. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt51.75/Target: Bt79.60) Ex...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet WAIC - Battlefield of AI applications and agents to reshape productivity. Results WuXi AppTec (2359 HK/BUY/HK$111.70/Target: HK$146.00) 1H25: Results beat; benefitting from growing CRDMO service demand. Upgrade to BUY. INDONESIA Results AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,525) 2Q25: Momentum builds, but 4Q25 to del...
We attended AOT’s special analyst meeting where the tone was negative. AOT clarified that KPD contacted it to negotiate a lower concession payment for all airports, including BKK. KPD has yet to specify its proposed rate. This development aligns with our earlier concerns, and we do not see sufficient upside in AOT to justify the risk. In our view, AOT’s continued compliance with KPD’s numerous requests leaves a negative impression on investors. Downgrade to SELL. Target price: Bt24.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Impact Of Cambodia-Thailand Tensions After The JBC Accumulate shares of companies that are not severely impacted. Sector Property Update on the residential market. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/SELL/Bt27.25/Target: Bt24.00) The worst fear has come true. Downgrade to SELL.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
We attended AOT’s 2QFY25 analyst meeting and the tone was positive. AOT reported a weak net profit at 15% below our and consensus estimates. Management clarified in the meeting that the earnings miss was due to a one-time item, which should alleviate investor concerns. We believe close monitoring of the monthly concession payment is still required, and the outlook is unlikely to improve in the near term. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt39.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results CH Karnchang (CK TB/BUY/Bt14.00/Target: Bt20.20) 1Q25: Earnings improve yoy and qoq, beating expectations. Stecon Group (STECON TB/BUY/Bt7.00/Target: Bt9.00) 1Q25: Exceeded expectations; outlook remains positive. Update Airports of Thailand (AOT TB/HOLD/Bt35.00/Target: Bt39.00) Concerns on earnings miss have been alleviated. Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB/BUY/Bt21.30/Target: Bt29.00) A challenging 2Q25 awaits. Charoen Po...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PEV sales edged up wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Healthcare: The rising robotic surgical system market in China. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$128.90/Target: HK$165.00): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers better-than-expected double-digit growth. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$19.58/Target: HK$31.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat on forex gain and associate profit. Maintain BUY. Raise target price to HK$31...
We expect AOT to report 2QFY25 earnings of Bt5.92b (+2.3% yoy, +10.7% qoq). Top-line should be Bt18.4b (+0.7% yoy, +4.0% qoq), with the main growth contribution coming from both international and domestic passengers. Despite the positive sign that KPD has resumed its payment schedule, monitoring of monthly concession payments remains necessary. We remain doubtful about AOT moving forward, as the tourism outlook continues to be bleak. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt43.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Construction 1Q25 results preview: CK and STECON set to rebound. Results IRPC (IRPC TB/BUY/Bt0.94/Target: Bt1.10) 1Q25: Net loss deepens on lower margins, but share price already reflects bad news. LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt2.06/Target: Bt1.50) 1Q25: Results slightly beat expectation, but recovery remains...
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