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Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK110.00) - Longing for the home of the brave

After the strong Q2 report (120% organic EBIT growth YOY) and further validation of the sportsbook, we have fine-tuned our above-consensus estimates. We see a good chance that the market’s tame perception of the equity story will improve in the next 12 months relating to the US sportsbook B2B case. We reiterate our BUY and SEK110 target price.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK110.00) - Recall the B2B track-record

We have raised our target price to SEK110 (100) and reiterate our BUY. The FX headwind is challenging, but the underlying business is growing nicely. We have lifted our 2021e EPS by 5% to reflect strong efficiency and expect the upcoming B2B sportsbook case for the US market to become increasingly in focus also from a share price and valuation perspective.

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Sound plans for the Americas

We reiterate our BUY and SEK100 target price with further upside potential long-term from e.g. Betsson’s execution in US and Latam growth initiatives. We do not expect the Q1 report to trigger meaningful changes to the case and identify potential sports B2B customer signings, US market entry (H2e), strong underlying markets, and potential M&A as the key near-term catalysts.

Alexander Aukner ... (+9)
  • Alexander Aukner
  • Frank Maaø
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Martin Arnell
  • Mats Bye
  • Niklas Wetterling
  • Ole Martin Westgaard
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Tomi Railo
Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Sports B2B, the place to be

While the market has overlooked the Betsson case lately, we view it as one of the most interesting in gaming right now thanks to: the growing sportsbook B2B initiative; the strong underlying revenue and earnings trend; the upcoming US launch; and a rising cash position (potential for more M&A and buybacks). 14% organic revenue growth YOY so far in Q1 was just below our estimate and we have trimmed our 2021–2022e EPS. We retain our BUY and SEK100 target price.

Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - FX headwinds and one-offs

Western Europe continues to slide q-o-q …with negative revisions as a result We stick to HOLD, TP SEK 75 (78)

Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - Trading update below expectations

SEK 44m in one-off cost in losses on payment providers …with trading update below cons. expectations 2-3% negative revisions on 21 EBIT from cons.

Jesper Ingildsen ... (+6)
  • Jesper Ingildsen
  • Martin Arnell
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Tomi Railo
Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - Holding the line

Q4e: strong performance despite FX headwinds Turkey continues to drive margins We stick to HOLD, new TP of SEK 78 (71)

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Rightly focused on expansion

We are just below consensus for Q4e, but still expect near 60% EBIT growth YOY, driven by accelerating organic growth, which has made Betsson more confident about expansion plans and growth initiatives. Our 2021–2022e EBIT is on average >10% above consensus; we expect an increasing contribution from new markets and the upcoming launch of the sportsbook B2B initiative. We reiterate our BUY and SEK100 target price.

Ebba Bjorklid ... (+12)
  • Ebba Bjorklid
  • Frank Maaø
  • Håkon Astrup
  • Jimi Lehtonen
  • Joachim Gunell
  • Karl-Johan Bonnevier
  • Martin Arnell
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
  • Viktor Trollsten
Bengt Jonassen ... (+11)
  • Bengt Jonassen
  • Erik Moberg
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
  • Jan Erik Gjerland
  • Johan Brown
  • Jonas Bru Lien
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Mads Thinggaard
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Stefan Knutsson

Talking Points - ABB: Strong profitability, cautious outlook

Autoliv (Hold) Post-results: Great Q3, back to normalized margins Guiding for a step-down in growth for Q4 Maintain HOLD, TP up slightly, to SEK 250 (240)

Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - Positive revisions but questions remain

Q3 beat supported by encouraging trading update Questions remain about the long term HOLD reiterated, TP up to SEK 71 (66)

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK100.00) - Clear signs of improvement

We have raised our target price to SEK100 (90) and we reiterate our BUY after a >10% rise in our 2021e EPS. A potential reversal of the positive pandemic effects clearly did not hit Q3. Instead, online penetration jumped to a new higher sustainable level (due to structurally challenging land-based sector). We see more upside potential in the share price after clear signs of operational improvements (organic growth, margins).

Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - Q3 beat and strong trading update

EBIT ≥10% better than FactSet cons. Encouraging trading update We expect 7-12% positive EBIT estimates from cons.

Frank Maaø ... (+5)
  • Frank Maaø
  • Jon Masdal
  • Martin Arnell
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Rune Majlund Dahl
Casper Blom ... (+10)
  • Casper Blom
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Derek Laliberté
  • Erik Moberg
  • Jannick Lindegaard Denholt
  • Jonas Bru Lien
  • Karl Fredrik Schjøtt-Pedersen
  • Peter Kurt Nielsen
  • Petter Nystrøm
  • Stefan Knutsson

Talking Points -

AcadeMedia (Buy) Est. change: Higher EBIT than expected in Q1 Acquisition puts Barents even higher on the agenda Good risk/reward to BUY this quality name

Martin Arnell
  • Martin Arnell

Betsson (Buy, TP: SEK90.00) - Decent read-across from peers

We expect H2 revenue and EBIT to rise nearly 30–50% YOY, driven by the GiG acquisition, healthy online markets and cost control. We are positive ahead of the Q3 results with an EBIT forecast above consensus and several reverse profit warnings from leading peers. We expect increasing focus on the B2B sportsbook initiative, while Germany is a near-term negative. We reiterate our BUY and SEK90 target price.

Aksel Øverland Engebakken ... (+2)
  • Aksel Øverland Engebakken
  • Erik Moberg

Betsson - Long-term uncertainties remain

Strong near-term earnings outlook… …but we remain sceptical regarding the long term HOLD retained, TP SEK 66

Jimi Lehtonen ... (+6)
  • Jimi Lehtonen
  • Martin Arnell
  • Mattias Holmberg
  • Ole-Andreas Krohn
  • Olof Larshammar
  • Viktor Trollsten
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