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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers The impossible dream – NSR GEM Top-10 March...

2025 was such a strong year for EM Telcos with the result that while remaining bullish we thought it was not plausible that 2026 would be as strong. Yet if anything the year has started better than 2025, with our picks up 18% ytd already, and up 113% since the start of 2025.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, -20%) Q4 25: Mixed quarter; Fibre upgrade...

Televisa reported a mixed set of Q4 results after the close yesterday. The company also announced plans to upgrade 6m homes with FTTH and highlighted it is analysing investment opportunities in the Mexican Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Pricing power returns; where best; why (some) EM Telcos’ mu...

The resumption of pricing power is one of the key drivers of the rally in EM Telcos and perhaps the area where consensus is most sceptical. In this note we analyse which markets have the greatest potential for sustained pricing power, looking at key issues: affordability and regulatory and competitive structure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...

Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Cable/FTTH Megacable the clear outperformer in Q3; Q3 25 revi...

Q3 was a slightly slower quarter for the Mexican Broadband market from a top line and EBITDA growth perspective. However, subscriber net adds remained decent, in line with the previous quarters. Financially, Megacable was the clear outperformer in Q3 with double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth and widened the gap with peers.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

LatAm Telcos Outlook 2026 – Consolidation moves to broadband + Millic...

Fundamentals continue to look pretty good to us in Latin America, with market repair continuing across wireless markets, and further consolidation likely. Despite a strong 2025, valuations still look compelling across the region in our view too. Top picks: Liberty Latin America, Vivo, AMX and Megacable. We also upgrade our Millicom pt to $70.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Buy, TP: MXN75, +36%) Q3 25: Another good quarter

Megacable reported a good set of Q3 results post close yesterday.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, -5%) Q3 25: A better quarter driven by Br...

Televisa has reported a better set of Q3 results after the close yesterday.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Buy, TP: MXN75, +36%) Q2 25: Good quarter, lower capex driv...

Megacable reported a good set of Q2 results post close yesterday with core mass market revenue and EBITDA trends inflecting.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, -3%) Better broadband KPIs and nice EPS ...

Televisa has reported a mixed set of Q2 results after the close yesterday. Revenue came in slightly below consensus expectations while OSI came in roughly in line. The small revenue miss was driven by Sky which saw a further deterioration in trends this quarter. EPS beat nicely, mainly driven by TVUNI which posted a better quarter. Perhaps the highlight this quarter is the Broadband net adds which were positive (+6k).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, +7%) Debt downgrade / TelevisaUnivision: ...

Moody’s has downgraded Televisa’s senior unsecured ratings to Ba1 from Baa3 and assigned a Ba1 corporate family rating; the outlook remains negative. TelevisaUnivision has announced a proposed $1bn refinancing and preliminary Q2 25.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Broadband Update; Upgrade MEGA to Buy, pt MXN75

Following Q1s and our calls with the CFOs of Televisa, Megacable and Totalplay last month we provide an update on Mexican Broadband.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, +22%) Q1 25: Small beat at OSI and solid...

Televisa reported Q1’s after close yesterday. Revenue came in in line with consensus and our expectations while OSI slightly beat consensus and our forecasts. Broadband net adds came in slightly better than consensus but remained in negative territory.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +21%) Q1 25: Slightly slower but solid...

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q1 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA came in a touch above. Financial and KPI trends slowed this quarter but remained solid across the board

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Cable/FTTH MEGA and AMX the strongest performers, TV pt to $2...

The Mexican fixed market saw revenue trends roughly stable in Q4 vs. Q3 while EBITDA trends continued to inflect. KPIs were relatively slower but decent with ~220k net additions and Broadband penetration continued to creep up.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +29%) Q4 24: Decent quarter, solid KPIs

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA was in line.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $3.1, +50%) Q4 24: Solid FCF but weak fundamen...

Televisa reported Q4’s after close. Cable revenue and OSI were broadly as expected but KPIs were weak this quarter, with broadband net adds back into negative territory. Focus remains on FCF rather than growing the base, helped by relatively low cable capex this year.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Mexican Cable/FTTH - Q3 24: MEGA and TPLAY the strongest performers; T...

The Mexican fixed market experienced a slight slowdown in revenue and EBITDA trends in Q3 but KPIs remained robust with 423k net additions and continued growth in Broadband penetration.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

TV US (Neutral, TP: $3.5,) Televisa Q2 24 - Cost (and maybe capex?) t...

Televisa reported Q2’s after close. Trends were broadly as expected, with focus on FCF rather than growing the base, meaning revenue momentum slipped further (-6% y/y from -5% in Q1) on the back of limited broadband adds (in contrast to peers like AMX) as well as a video subs disconnection. Operating segment income improved a touch (still down 8% y/y) and with the prospect of DTH/cable synergies coming through from Q3.

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