reports
- ING Helpdesk
- David Vagman
- CFA
- Maxime Stranart
Universal Music Group/A shelter from the storm/HOLD
We trim our 2025F-27F estimates 2-3%, purely on FX, and up our TP slightly to €29.5, on higher financial investments (Spotify share price performance) and slightly higher long-term estimates. This follows a 2% EBITDA consensus beat on 5% better sales in 1Q25, backed by a very confident message from management on (1) broad-based DSPs subscription growth improvement, (2) achieving the 2028 targets (>7% sales CAGR, >10% EBITDA CAGR), thanks to incoming wholesale price increases, DSP own price incre...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica, Cofinimmo: Aedifica CMD feedback bpost: 1Q25 results beat strongly, outlook surprises Brunel: 1Q25 results disappoint on perm, weak revenue Cofinimmo, Aedifica: Negative reaction on Aedifica offer Eurocommercial Properties: Good with no surprise Montea: Good results, guidance reconfirmed Proximus: Small 1Q beat, guidance reiterated, soft commercial performance Sif Group: The jury is still out Talabat: Preview 1Q25 Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music slowdown in streaming and prof...
GBLB GROUPE BRUXELLES LAMBERT SA
PNL POSTNL NV
COFB COFINIMMO SA
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
BPOST BPOST SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
VGP VGP NV
SIFG SIF HOLDING NV
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
TALABAT TALABAT HOLDING PLC
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
MERY MERCIALYS SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
BAS BASF SE
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VGP VGP NV
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
MRNA MODERNA INC.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
WTB WHITBREAD PLC
DAI DAIMLER AG
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
MERY MERCIALYS SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
BAS BASF SE
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
FCC FOMENTO DE CONSTRUCCIONES Y CONTRATAS S.A.
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VGP VGP NV
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
MRNA MODERNA INC.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Arnaud Autier
- Pierre Tegner
- Arnaud Autier
- Pierre Tegner
- Ahmed Ben Salem
DHL DHL GROUP
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
REP REPSOL SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
KGX KION GROUP AG
AENA AENA SME SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
GSK GSK PLC
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
DHL DHL GROUP
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
RXL REXEL SA
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
REP REPSOL SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AENA AENA SME SA
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
BP. BP P.L.C.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
STMN STRAUMANN HOLDING AG
GSK GSK PLC
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Jerôme Bodin
- Jerôme Bodin
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica: Strong Q1, improving fundamentals, further growth to come. Air France-KLM: Surprising Atlantic. Aperam: In-line 1Q25, seasonal better 2Q25 expected. ArcelorMittal: In-line 1Q25, risks to steel demand due to tariff uncertainty. ASM International: 1Q25 Results - FY25 headwinds from weak USD. Ayvens: Getting into Gear. dsm-firmenich: Transformation on Track. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results. Melexis: Mixed 1Q25 results in unstable markets. Ontex: Two steps fo...
Pernod-Ricard: 1 director
A director at Pernod-Ricard bought 315 shares at 95.200EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Acomo: Cocoa-nuts. Cofinimmo: Strong operational start of the year. IMCD: Favourable start of the year. Randstad: Capital Markets Event 2025; rewriting the industry. Signify: Calm 1Q25 before tariff storm. Universal Music Group: EU to probe planned acquisition of Downtown Music. 1Q25 preview. WDP: Good investment, lighter LFL, guidance reconfirmed. Xior Student Housing: Strong organic trends continue. Events Calendar
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
GET GETLINK SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
HO THALES SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SAN SANOFI
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
GET GETLINK SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
HO THALES SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
KER KERING SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SAN SANOFI
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Arnaud Autier
- Pierre Tegner
ODDO : Tariff risk in the US: what implications for the spirits sector...
The US represents 28% of the global spirits market in value, with the vast majority of products imported. The tariffs announced by Trump therefore particularly affect this industry. We estimate at -6% the impact on EBIT the one-off effect of trade tariffs, to which we must add -1% related to the depreciation of the dollar. Due to the probable impact on the US economy, we have pushed back the timing of the recovery of the spirits market our EPS estimates (EPS cut by 3% on average in 2025 and 2026...
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