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Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Equity raise, two more Q1 reports

This week, Nyfosa raised SEK1.7bn in equity, and Citycon and Olav Thon reported their Q1 results. Real estate stocks have performed well globally since the latest US CPI print. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.32% for 2024e and 4.71% for 2025e.

Linus Sigurdson
  • Linus Sigurdson

The weekly navigator

Our takeaways from the past week: 1) VNV Global announced the sale of Gett and subsequently announced a buyback programme; 2) we met with VEF in New York, whose largest holding Creditas reported strong Q1 numbers; and 3) Bure reported Q1 NAV up 16% QOQ, outperforming the SIXRX.

Danske Bank A/S: Update following upgrade of BCA to baa1

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its solid capitalisation, against its profitability, which is recovering strongly, but from low levels.

Danske Bank AS: 1 director

A director at Danske Bank AS sold 80,305 shares at 195.460DKK and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial respon...

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities 17 May 2024 Notification no. 52/2024 Transactions made by persons obliged to report transactions to the Danish FSA and Nasdaq Copenhagen, cf. the EU Market Abuse Regulation. In connection with the share buy-back program in Danske Bank A/S, APMH Invest A/S continuously sells shares pro rata. For further details, please find the attached templates for notifications and public disclosure of transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner 15. maj 2024 Indberetning nr. 51/2024 Ændring i aktiebesiddelser hos Danske Banks indberetningspligtige i henhold til EU-forordningen om markedsmisbrug I forbindelse med Danske Bank A/S’ aktietilbagekøbsprogram sælger APMH Invest A/S løbende aktier i Danske Bank A/S pro rata. For yderligere detaljer henvises til de vedhæftede skemaer, hvori transaktioner udført af personer med ledelsesansvar og personer med nær tilknytning til disse skal indberettes og offentliggøres.   Kontakt: Stefan Singh Kailay, Head of Media...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial respon...

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities 15 May 2024 Notification no. 51/2024 Transactions made by persons obliged to report transactions to the Danish FSA and Nasdaq Copenhagen, cf. the EU Market Abuse Regulation. In connection with the share buy-back program in Danske Bank A/S, APMH Invest A/S continuously sells shares pro rata. For further details, please find the attached templates for notifications and public disclosure of transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them. Contact: Stef...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner 14. maj 2024 Indberetning nr. 50/2024 Ændring i aktiebesiddelser hos Danske Banks indberetningspligtige i henhold til EU-forordningen om markedsmisbrug I forbindelse med Danske Bank A/S’ aktietilbagekøbsprogram sælger APMH Invest A/S løbende aktier i Danske Bank A/S pro rata. For yderligere detaljer henvises til de vedhæftede skemaer, hvori transaktioner udført af personer med ledelsesansvar og personer med nær tilknytning til disse skal indberettes og offentliggøres.   Kontakt: Stefan Singh Kailay, Head of Media...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial respon...

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities 14 May 2024 Notification no. 50/2024 Transactions made by persons obliged to report transactions to the Danish FSA and Nasdaq Copenhagen, cf. the EU Market Abuse Regulation. In connection with the share buy-back program in Danske Bank A/S, APMH Invest A/S continuously sells shares pro rata. For further details, please find the attached templates for notifications and public disclosure of transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 19

Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 19 Company announcement no. 20 2024 Group CommunicationsBernstorffsgade 40DK-1577 København VTel. 13 May 2024 Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 19 On 2 February 2024, Danske Bank A/S announced a share buy-back programme for a total of DKK 5.5 billion, with a maximum of 70 million shares, in the period from 5 February 2024 to 31 January 2025, at the latest, as described in company announcement no. 2 2024. The programme is being carried out under Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and o...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Swedish policy rate cut, an upgrade and a downgrade

Sweden’s Riksbank cut the policy rate this week to 3.75% (4.0%); our estimates are based on another four cuts by end-2025. During the week we upgraded Veidekke to BUY, downgraded Castellum to HOLD, and reiterated our HOLD on Kojamo and SELL on Hufvudstaden and Sagax. The average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.40% for 2024e and 4.79% for 2025e.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Leverage too low, more dividends needed

Q2 will likely see the first special dividend. '25e EBITDA +24% vs. consensus. TP NOK 203 (200) – BUY.

Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA Minor model adjustments

We have marginally increased our revenue estimates and revised our cost assumptions, owing to the Q1 results. With no surprises related to the Red Sea disruption or the Baltimore bridge accident, focus should shift to shareholder distributions. The revised dividend policy allows for extraordinary dividends at the board’s discretion, something we have not seen before, and the first possibility could be in connection with Q2. We calculate cNOK25/share in excess cash today, potentially on top of N...

Linus Sigurdson
  • Linus Sigurdson

The weekly navigator

In the past week: 1) we hosted an investor lunch with Latour’s CEO Johan Hjertonsson at our Stockholm office; and 2) Webrock Ventures reported its first quarterly results as a listed company, with its sights set on financial self-sufficiency by 2026.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

EBITDA as expected and no big news

Adj. EBITDA of USD 439m (1% vs. ABGSC, -1% vs. cons). Shipping services and Logistics above ABGSCe, Government and Holdings belowFlat share price given no surprises in the conference call

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner 7. maj 2024 Indberetning nr. 49/2024 Ændring i aktiebesiddelser hos Danske Banks indberetningspligtige i henhold til EU-forordningen om markedsmisbrug I forbindelse med Danske Bank A/S’ aktietilbagekøbsprogram sælger APMH Invest A/S løbende aktier i Danske Bank A/S pro rata. For yderligere detaljer henvises til de vedhæftede skemaer, hvori transaktioner udført af personer med ledelsesansvar og personer med nær tilknytning til disse skal indberettes og offentliggøres.   Kontakt: Stefan Singh Kailay, Head of Media ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 18

Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 18 Company announcement no. 19 2024 Group CommunicationsBernstorffsgade 40DK-1577 København VTel. 6 May 2024 Danske Bank share buy-back programme: Transactions in week 18 On 2 February 2024, Danske Bank A/S announced a share buy-back programme for a total of DKK 5.5 billion, with a maximum of 70 million shares, in the period from 5 February 2024 to 31 January 2025, at the latest, as described in company announcement no. 2 2024. The programme is being carried out under Regulation (EU) No. 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner

Danske Bank A/S, ledende medarbejderes transaktioner 6. maj 2024 Indberetning nr. 48/2024 Ændring i aktiebesiddelser hos Danske Banks indberetningspligtige i henhold til EU-forordningen om markedsmisbrug I forbindelse med Danske Bank A/S’ aktietilbagekøbsprogram sælger APMH Invest A/S løbende aktier i Danske Bank A/S pro rata. For yderligere detaljer henvises til de vedhæftede skemaer, hvori transaktioner udført af personer med ledelsesansvar og personer med nær tilknytning til disse skal indberettes og offentliggøres.   Kontakt: Stefan Singh Kailay, Head of Media ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial respon...

Danske Bank A/S, transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities 6 May 2024 Notification no. 48/2024 Transactions made by persons obliged to report transactions to the Danish FSA and Nasdaq Copenhagen, cf. the EU Market Abuse Regulation. In connection with the share buy-back program in Danske Bank A/S, APMH Invest A/S continuously sells shares pro rata. For further details, please find the attached templates for notifications and public disclosure of transactions by persons discharging managerial responsibilities and persons closely associated with them. Contact: Stefa...

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Danske Bank (Buy, TP: DKK235.00) - Distributions slow, but approaching

Helped by low loan losses and modest cost inflation, Danske Bank reported a Q1 ROE of 12.9%. Noting one less interest day, NII fell 0.7% QOQ adjusted for reported one-offs. While down ~30bp QOQ following the buyback programme announced in February, the bank’s CET1 ratio remains strong at 18.5% versus its >16% target. We have trimmed our target price to DKK235 (237), but with the stock trading at a 2025e P/E of ~6.9x, we find the valuation attractive and reiterate our BUY.

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