AT: AMAG - Q1 earnings negatively impacted by delayed aluminium shipments, on comparable basis EBITDA slightly ahead of forecasts, FY 21 EBITDA guidance of EUR 125-140 mn reflects current consensus range (positive) AT: Andritz - Q1 21 order intake and earnings easily sail past highest consensus forecast, FY guidance confirmed as expected (positive) AT: OMV - 1Q clean earnings in line with consensus, 2021 outlook unchanged (neutral) FR: Verallia - Q1 EBITDA kept stable despite lower top l...
AT: CA Immo - Starwood receives merger clearance from takeover comission (neutral) AT: Frequentis - CFO Bardach to retire to supervisory board in April, Peter Skerlan to succeed as CFO (neutral) AT: IMMOFINANZ - Confusion regarding conclusion of Pecik's stake sale, Pecik remains CEO (negative) AT: Lenzing - Lenzing transfers shareholding in Hygiene Austria to Palmers (neutral) EU: Utilities/ESG - Preliminary CO2 data shows 14.4% drop yoy in EU ETS-covered emissions (neutral) HU/AT: W...
HEADLINES: • LiveChat Software: 4Q20-21 (calendar 1Q21) prelims - USD 12.7m sales (up 40% yoy, 4% qoq) NEUTRAL • Tatneft: 4Q20 results and conference call takeaways • Ten Square Games: USD 9m bookings in March 2021 vs. USD 8m in February 2021 NEUTRAL • Eurocash: strategic options review NEGATIVE • Dino: 59 stores added in 1Q21 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska/Cyfrowy Polsat: WP TV audience share at 0.56%, while CPS at 24.59% in March 2021 NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: March trading update - volum...
EME Equity Market – March 2021 Market performance – Greek, Romanian and Russian equities performed the best in March. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 4.5% in EUR terms and 1.6% in USD terms. The best-performing index was the Greek ASE (+9.2%), followed by the Romanian BET, which gained 8.7% in EUR terms and 9.7% in RON. The MOEX followed, advancing 7.6% in EUR terms and 5.8% in RUB. The PX Index, the Czech benchmark, gained 3.4% in EUR terms and 3.1% in CZK; while the Hungarian BUX Index gained ...
CECE index review - Add: Avast, CIG Pannonia, Kofola; Del: BIF, Graphisoft Park, Lotos, Santander Bank Polska, Stock Spirits Group AT: Atrium - Valuation effects drive loss, recurring earnings broadly in-line (negative) AT: BAWAG Group - EUR 0.45 dividend approved (neutral) AT: Flughafen Wien - Q4 20 broadly in line with expectations, guidance for FY 21 was reiterated as already first time announced in January (neutral) AT: Lenzing - Hygiene Austria confirmed having ordered masks from ...
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: beginning of the path to recovery (BUY - transfer of coverage) • NEPI Rockcastle: still best in class, but fairly valued after rally (downgraded to HOLD) • Atrium: 4Q20 - 7% revaluation loss for the year, dividend maintained at EUR 0.27/share POSITIVE • Allegro: 4Q20 beat, FY21E EBITDA guidance below expectations, diluted by logistics capex NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q spot on our expectations; 2.2% dividend yield from the FY20 profits NEUTRAL • Sarantis: FY20 tradin...
ATX indices review - ATX: add: EVN; del: Telekom Austria; ATX five: add: voestalpine; del: Raiffeisen Bank Intl.; NoS changes in Marinomed Biotech AT: Andritz - Q4 eanings beat, long-term margin goal upgrades, 2021 guidance in line on sales, better on adj. EBITA (positive) AT: Banks - ING quits retail operations in Austria (neutral) AT: Lenzing - Mask joint venture offices raided by police on illicit labour and re-labeling allegations (negative) AT: S IMMO - Bruno Ettenauer to become C...
EME Equity Market – February 2021 Market performance – MSCI EM Europe Index rebounds slightly from its January decline, up 1.7% in EUR terms and 1.3% in local currencies. The best performing index was the Greek ASE, advancing 5.7%, followed by the Russian MOEX, which gained 4.1% in EUR terms and 2.1% in the local RUB. The PX Index, the Czech benchmark, was up 3.4% in EUR terms and 4% in the local currency. The Hungarian BUX declined 0.8% in EUR terms, but grew 0.6% in HUF terms. Romania’s BET In...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: posts solid set of 4Q20 results, giving hope for a further recovery POSITIVE • Tekfen Holding: 4Q20 - big miss, promising FY21E guidance NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: strong 4Q20 results, as expected, with 9% yoy EBITDA growth NEUTRAL • Anadolu Efes: 4Q20 results - beat on EBITDA, Beer Group to underperform CCI in 2021E POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q20 results and 2021E guidance largely in line with our forecasts NEUTRAL • AmRest: 4Q20 results review - recurring EBITDA halved an...
MSCI February Index Review - Standard indices (STD) changes: ADD: TCS Group Holding AT: Erste Group - Q4 net profit in line with consensus / better fees offset by higher taxation / 2021 guidance rather a bit conservative vs. current expectations (neutral) AT: EVN - Q1 20/21 net result slightly ahead of RBIe, Walsum 10 fully impaired, guidance confirmed (positive) AT: Palfinger - FCF generation stands out in FY 20 while EBIT matched EUR 100 mn target, DPS of EUR 0.44 bang in line with RBI...
HEADLINES: • Magyar Telekom: high quality for a low price (upgraded to BUY) • Rosneft: 4Q20 results • Ceska zbrojovka Group: Colt M&A truly transformational, but risky • Aygaz: highlights from the 4Q20 earnings call • Transelectrica: 4Q net loss as salaries more than double yoy • Russia macro: the end of the easing cycle, for now • Turkey macro: current account close to the trough • Polish retail: ECJ reported to be making its final ruling on the Polish retail tax on 16 March NEUTRAL • ...
EME Equity Market – December 2020 Market performance – December saw the MSCI EM Europe Index continue to perform well, amid a return of 7.8% in EUR terms. The best-performing index was the Turkish ISE30 Index (+18.3% in EUR terms and +15.0% in TRY terms) in December; followed by the Greek ASE Index (+9.8%); the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.8% in EUR terms and +8.6% in HUF terms); the PX Index, the Czech benchmark (+6.4% in EUR terms and +6.3% in local currency terms); the Polish WIG20 Index (+6.1% in...
AT: Andritz - Andritz and Mercedes-Benz-Energy start co-operation agreement on battery storage for hydropower (positive) AT: PORR - Resignation of COO Stiegler (neutral) EU: Banks - ECB has no dividend guidance yet out / FMA calls for cautious stance (neutral) EU: Utilities - Climate deal 55% CO2 emissions reduction agreed (positive) FR: Verallia - Company will rejoin the SBF 120 Index as of December 21 (neutral) PL: Retail, Real Estate - Shopping center footfalls in Poland 25-30% l...
HEADLINES: • Europe macro: Recovery Fund and budget to begin as scheduled • Europe macro: ECB - recalibration of tools • European airlines:EU publishes plans to maintain temporary basic air connectivity in case of no deal NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: C2077 pre-orders above internal expectations, majority of glitches should be solvable NEUTRAL • Ciech: CO2 allowance allocation for 2021-25 more favourable than expected POSITIVE • Polish utilities: URE approves small power tariff hike • TCS Group Hold...
HEADLINES: • Stock Spirits Group: 2H FY19/20 - deceleration on pandemic impact, but share gains in Poland POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: takeaways from the Investor Day NEUTRAL • Moscow Exchange: November volumes very strong, migration of volumes continuing POSITIVE • Richter: acquires ex-US Janssen contraceptive patch assets for USD 264m NEUTRAL • Mail.ru: top mobile games revenue up 5%, downloads drop 18% in November vs. October • Poland macro: NBP's interest rate decision • European r...
◾ AT: Austria - Austria to enter hard lockdown on Tuesday ◾AT: UNIQA - Complaint for damages resulting from Infinus investor claims filed against UNIQA (negative) ◾PL: Banks - PL banks should expect further dividend payment constraints acc. to KNF (neutral) ◾PL: CCC - Austrian lockdown to affect CCC stores (negative) ◾RO: Purcari Wineries - Net profit dropped by 18% yoy in 3Q 20 on the back of slowly recovery in Moldova (neutral) ◾RU: Rosneft - 2021e capex might reach RUB 1 trln, though the fina...
The Covid-19 crisis gave Purcari Wineries a couple of headaches, but also two pleasant surprises. We were not surprised by a hefty drop in demand from China, but the main problem was the overexposure to Horeca and duty-free shops in the Republic of Moldova. Moreover, Purcari did not enter into price war started at the beginning of the lockdown, which was particularly intense in Moldova. However, sales in Romania continue to grow robustly in double-digits, as the main distribution channel remains...
On 3-4 September, we hosted our 2020 Frontier Investor Days Conference, with 44 companies from Romania, Kazakhstan and the rest of the Frontier markets in our region participating. Here, we highlight the key takeaways from our meetings with the corporates, as well as some country-level highlights for Romania and Kazakhstan. The outlook is improving overall, even for some of the worst-hit industries, such as restaurants and airports, but the main unknown in every forward-looking conversation is t...
EME Equity Market – August 2020 Market performance – most indices end August in the black, but the ISE30 Index decline continues, down 9.6%. In August, the MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.2% in EUR terms, but stayed mostly flat (+0.1%) in local currency terms. Romania’s BET Index performed the best, up 7.2%; followed by the Greek ASE Index (+2.7%); the Czech Republic’s PX Index (+2.4%); Poland’s WIG20 Index (+2.3%); and the MOEX Index (+0.5%). The Hungarian BUX Index declined by 2.6...
ï‚§ FTSE Index Sept review - AllWorld (ML) add: Banca Transilvania; del: mBank, Russneft; AllCap (SML) add: Mayr-Melnhof, Petropavlovsk; del: Kapsch TrafficCom; TotalCap (Micro+SML) add: Marinomed, Getin Noble Bank; M->L: InterRAO; L->M: OMV, Erste Group; ï‚§ AT: voestalpine - Restart of small BF at Linz plant in early September (neutral) ï‚§ CH: Aluflexpack - 1H results live up to RCBe, FY 20 guidance of sales of EUR 220-230 mn and adj. EBITDA of EUR 32-35 mn confirmed (neutral) ï‚§ PL: Lotos -...
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