BTS reported 3QFY25 net profit of Bt3b, up from a net loss in 3QFY24 and 2QFY25. However, it was mainly from one-off items such as the gain from the change in status of RABBIT and ROCTEC from associates to subsidiaries. Looking forward, we still expect a core loss in 4QFY25 following the loss contributions from the Pink and Yellow Lines. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.79.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt6.20/Target: Bt4.79) 3QFY25: Core earnings to remain in the red. Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB/HOLD/Bt50.75/Target: Bt52.00) 4Q24: Earnings below expectations, despite THANI reporting a huge qoq reduction in credit cost. The One Enterprise (ONEE TB/HOLD/Bt3.16/Target: Bt3.10) 4Q24: Earnings below expe...
BTS reported a 2QFY25 net loss of Bt456m, up from Bt382m in 1QFY25, but down from a net profit of Bt257m in 2QFY24. The key pressures were losses from the Pink and Yellow Lines. Although we expect qoq lower loss contributions from both lines, operations are likely to remain weak yoy. We still project unexciting earnings catalysts and an unattractive valuation. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.79.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.84/Target: Bt4.79) Pink Line and Yellow Lines to remain key drags yoy. Minor International (MINT TB/BUY/Bt25.75/Target: Bt38.00) Exciting prospects ahead. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt32.50/Target: Bt37.00) Five-year plan expected to be completed by the end of Dec 24.
GREATER CHINA Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$40.00) 3Q24: Revenue and earnings beat; positive outlook for online games growth. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$17.70/Target: HK$20.00) 3Q24: Earnings beat; poised for better margin outlook in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.00/Target: HK$640.00) 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; stepped up investment for interntational market share expansion. XPeng Inc...
GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb9.96/Target: Rmb12.50) 1H24: Results lower than expected; striving for growth amid weak economic conditions. ENN Energy Holdings (2688 HK/HOLD/HK$53.50/Target: HK$58.40) 1H24: Below expectations; earnings dragged by sluggish new installation and absence of LNG trading gain. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$11.36/Target: HK$15.41) 1H24 Interim results remains stable yoy; retail portfolio being ...
BTS and VGI announced shareholding restructuring where BTS will do a tender offer for ROCTEC and RABBIT, which will be funded by BTS’s RO. VGI also plans to raise capital via a PP to invest in a Virtual Bank business. We are slightly negative on BTS as we expect the aforementioned transactions and uncertainty regarding the virtual bank business to have a negative impact on BTS’ bottom line. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.47.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt5.00) Expect 2Q24 net profit to drop qoq. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.06/Target: Bt4.47) Slightly negative on BTS’ transaction deal. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.30/Target: Bt22.50) 2Q24 results preview: Expect a huge loss, but earnings should bottom out in 2Q24. Upgrade to BUY. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.80/Target: Bt21.50) Maintaining good asset quality a...
GREATER CHINA Update LINK REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$33.55/Target: HK$42.76): Takeaways from visits to Hong Kong and Shenzhen malls near the border. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in Jul 24: Our picks are BBNI, BMRI, BBRI, EXCL, CTRA, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO and JSMR. Results Mayora Indah (MYOR IJ/HOLD/Rp2,470/Target: Rp2,500): 2Q24: Rising raw material costs impact gross margin. Telkom Indonesia (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp2,850/Target: Rp4,200): 2Q24: 6% yoy growth in core profit; to improve cost effi...
BTS reported a 4QFY24 net profit of Bt36m. BTS announced the absence of dividend payment in FY24 and also the utilisation of legal reserves to offset the negative retained earnings. We revised down our FY25-26 forecasts to factor in a slower-than-expected ramp-up of average daily ridership for the Pink Line and Yellow Line. We do not expect any share price catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt4.52.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: Jun 24 Portfolio More bullish on 2H24 outlook. Good time to buy in Jun 24. Cut losses on ERW, take profit on TFG and add SCGP to our portfolio. Results BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt4.80/Target: Bt4.52) 4QFY24: Pink Line and Yellow Line continue to impact earnings.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property - Hong Kong Limited Downside Risks To Property Price in Near Term; Watch For Policy Support For Hong Kong Tourism. INDONESIA Update XL Axiata (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,320/Target: Rp2,900) 2024 net profit could grow 45% yoy, partly driven by network improvement. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas Petrona...
GREATER CHINA Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$243.60/Target: HK$260.00): Risk-off mode continues. INDONESIA Results Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,700): 4Q23: Net profit up 41% qoq on strong non-interest income and lower CoC. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.48/Target: RM0.60): 2023: Performance missed expectations on absence of cost provision/tax recoveries. We still see value in MMHE, as market c...
BTS reported a net loss of Bt6,256m (-554% yoy, -1953% qoq) contributed by impairment in KEX and a higher share of losses from associates, coupled with a weaker performance from VGI. This was partially offset by higher construction revenue from the MRT Yellow Line and a higher share of profit from BTSGIF. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt6.70.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: December PMI sees general weakness, but FAI improves. Sector Internet: Softening tone from regulatory authority on online game industry. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$15.60/Target: HK$21.60): Takeaways from Xiaomi’s EV event. INDONESIA Update Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/SELL/Rp86/Target: Rp75): Market share decline prompted GOTO to strike a deal with TikTok Shop. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: Nov 23 loans growth recovered but leading loans growth indicators have weake...
BTS is expected to report a higher core profit of Bt84m in 3QFY24. However, qoq performance was pressured by lower contribution from construction revenue, which was offset by better-than-expected ridership. On a yoy basis, the performance was pressured by the continuing losses from Yellow Line and higher share of losses from KEX. We expect FY24 to end on a loss. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt7.00.
BTS reported a core loss of Bt287m in 2QFY24, pressured by: a) weakened core operation, b) higher SGA-to-sales, and c) higher interest expense. Results are below our and consensus expectations. Hence, we still foresee a sluggish earnings improvement in 3QFY24 due to continuing losses of KEX and RABBIT, coupled with upcoming losses from the Yellow Line operation. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt7.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.30/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Earnings below estimates; remain positive on outlook ahead. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt7.30/Target: Bt7.00) 2QFY24: Turnaround in profit from associates and one-off items, still lower than expected. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt127.00/Target: Bt200.00) 3Q23: A strong quarter as expected. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt24.00/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Better growth profile at discounted valuati...
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