GREATER CHINA Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$243.60/Target: HK$260.00): Risk-off mode continues. INDONESIA Results Bank Tabungan Negara (BBTN IJ/BUY/Rp1,345/Target: Rp1,700): 4Q23: Net profit up 41% qoq on strong non-interest income and lower CoC. MALAYSIA Results Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings (MMHE MK/BUY/RM0.48/Target: RM0.60): 2023: Performance missed expectations on absence of cost provision/tax recoveries. We still see value in MMHE, as market c...
BTS reported a net loss of Bt6,256m (-554% yoy, -1953% qoq) contributed by impairment in KEX and a higher share of losses from associates, coupled with a weaker performance from VGI. This was partially offset by higher construction revenue from the MRT Yellow Line and a higher share of profit from BTSGIF. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt6.70.
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI: December PMI sees general weakness, but FAI improves. Sector Internet: Softening tone from regulatory authority on online game industry. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$15.60/Target: HK$21.60): Takeaways from Xiaomi’s EV event. INDONESIA Update Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ/SELL/Rp86/Target: Rp75): Market share decline prompted GOTO to strike a deal with TikTok Shop. MALAYSIA Sector Banking: Nov 23 loans growth recovered but leading loans growth indicators have weake...
BTS is expected to report a higher core profit of Bt84m in 3QFY24. However, qoq performance was pressured by lower contribution from construction revenue, which was offset by better-than-expected ridership. On a yoy basis, the performance was pressured by the continuing losses from Yellow Line and higher share of losses from KEX. We expect FY24 to end on a loss. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt7.00.
BTS reported a core loss of Bt287m in 2QFY24, pressured by: a) weakened core operation, b) higher SGA-to-sales, and c) higher interest expense. Results are below our and consensus expectations. Hence, we still foresee a sluggish earnings improvement in 3QFY24 due to continuing losses of KEX and RABBIT, coupled with upcoming losses from the Yellow Line operation. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt7.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.30/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Earnings below estimates; remain positive on outlook ahead. BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt7.30/Target: Bt7.00) 2QFY24: Turnaround in profit from associates and one-off items, still lower than expected. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt127.00/Target: Bt200.00) 3Q23: A strong quarter as expected. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt24.00/Target: Bt30.00) 3Q23: Better growth profile at discounted valuati...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: New-home sales still weak; PBOC’s decision to offer PSL/Special Loan will be positive for market stabilisation. INDONESIA Sector Healthcare: 3Q23: Strong patient volume growth and improving revenue intensity. MALAYSIA Results Dialog Group (DLG MK/BUY/RM2.10/Target: RM2.85): 1QFY24: Results in line, as upstream business (higher production) and storage income (ie PITSB) more than offset the continued EPCC cost overruns. Small-Mid Cap Highlights NationGate Holdings ...
BTS is expected to report a yoy net profit improvement in 2Q24. This is mainly driven by core operation and transit construction revenue recognition, better performance from its associates and joint venture entities, and VGI’s one-time gain. However, we do expect losses from KEX and RABBIT, which will continue to pressure the bottom line. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt7.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: 11.11 Campaign – Value-for-money strategy to support growth revival. Update AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/ HK$70.90/Target: HK$95.00): Maintain high VONB growth in 3Q23; outperforms peers. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$15.24/Target: HK$16.80): 3Q23 results preview: Expect strong earnings beat on elevated margins. INDONESIA Sector Cement: Earnings in line, potential double-digit growth for 2023-24 NPAT. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. MALAYSIA Sector Property: Property companies und...
BTS posted disappointing 4QFY23 results dragged by VGI and its associates RABBIT, KEX and JMART, despite the mass transit business showing a strong performance. We are optimistic going into FY24 due to the forthcoming commencement of monorail lines and the progress of the Green Line. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt8.80.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly: The only Hong Kong-listed luxury brand name, recent share price pullback offers a good entry point. Sector Commodities: Weekly: US dollar strengthens on hawkish Fed expectations; rebar price plunges to lowest level since Apr 17. Update China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$30.20/Target: HK$39.30): Takeaways from Mengniu factory visit; full-year guidance unchanged. INDONESIA Update Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Syariah (BTPS IJ/BUY/Rp1,970/Target: ...
We are optimistic on BTS for FY24 as the most austere business circumstances are expected to have passed and the overhang issues are likely to be resolved. In addition, the commencement of two monorail lines and improvement from BTS’ non-rail businesses will alleviate BTS’ liquidity concerns. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt9.60.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: 1Q23 growth beats expectations but accommodative policies still necessary. Sector Property: Imbalanced recovery of property industry in March; expect policies to revive investment. MALAYSIA Update QL Resources (QLG MK/HOLD/RM5.80/Target: RM6.20): Overall prospects appear intact, driven by its ILF and FM segments. However, as valuations are lofty, we maintain our HOLD recommendation. SINGAPORE Results Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP/BUY/US$0.365/Ta...
KEY STORY GREATER CHINA Initiate Coverage KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$44.80/Target: HK$65.00): Largest Chinese online+offline housing transactions platform set to reaccelerate growth. GREATER CHINA Sector Commodities: Weekly: Seeking shelter from safe haven assets; US Feb 23 CPI in focus. Initiate Coverage KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$44.80/Target: HK$65.00): Largest Chinese online+offline housing transactions platform set to reaccelerate growth. Results Q Technology Group (1478 HK/HOLD...
BTSC clarified the allegation by NACC on the malpractice related to the signing of the O&M contract in 2012 for the Green Line Extension until 2042, stating the compliance with relevant laws. Nonetheless, we expect the issue to remain unresolved as there are no catalysts on the existing business operations but the concern on rising finance cost remains. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt8.70.
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