Two Directors at SSAB AB bought 15,813 shares at between 60.100SEK and 61.060SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
Q1 proved another solid quarter, aided by impressive earnings resilience in SSAB Special Steels and SSAB Europe. While we have lowered our 2024-25 forecasts for SSAB Americas, this is offset by a more positive view on SSAB Special Steels and SSAB Europe, meaning our group earnings are largely unchanged. We reiterate our BUY, but given the stock is now trading ex-dividend (DPS of SEK5), we have lowered our target price to SEK100 (SEK105).
>Q1 a strong beat on Europe and Special Steels, Americas more underwhelming - SSAB delivered better-than-expected Q1 results with EBITDA at SEK 4.1bn, 18% > consensus and 26% > ODDO BHF. The beat was essentially driven by the Special Steels division which achieved SEK 2.1bn of EBITDA, 45% > consensus on very sound volume growth (+17% q-o-q) as good demand in material handling offset weakness in construction. Europe also outperformed with EBITDA at SEK 0.6bn, 44% > con...
>Q1 a strong beat on Europe and Special Steels, Americas more underwhelming - SSAB delivered better-than-expected Q1 results with EBITDA at SEK 4.1bn, 18% > consensus and 26% > ODDO BHF. The beat was essentially driven by the Special Steels division which achieved SEK 2.1bn of EBITDA, 45% > consensus on very sound volume growth (+17% q-o-q) as good demand in material handling offset weakness in construction. Europe also outperformed with EBITDA at SEK 0.6bn, 44% > con...
Due to negative effects from the ongoing strikes in Finland and a more cautious view on prices for the America’s division, we have cut our EBITDA for 2024e by c9%. More importantly, we have also revised our long-term forecast following SSAB’s cSEK50bn capex plan to turn the Lulea steel mill into a new fossil-free mini-mill system by 2028e that we estimate will mean at least SEK5bn structurally higher annual EBITDA. Reflecting the estimate cuts and heavier capex than previously assumed, we have c...
>Environnement de marché plus faible qu’attendu notamment sur les plates US - Dans la continuité de 2023, SSAB affiche la meilleure performance boursière du secteur depuis le début 2024, en hausse (modeste) de 1,5%, grâce à ses positions sur les aciers spéciaux et aux US qui le rendent moins sensible que les autres acteurs à la dégradation actuelle du marché de l’acier due à la faible conjoncture en Chine. Toutefois, le groupe n’est pas complètement à l’écart. En part...
>Weaker market environment than expected, notably in US plate steel - Carrying on from 2023, SSAB has posted the best share performance in the sector year-to-date, up a (modest) 1.5%, thanks to its positions in special steels and in the US, which make it less sensitive than other players to the current deterioration of the steel market due to the weak Chinese economy. However, the group is not completely shielded. In particular, US plate prices continue to trend downw...
>Cautious short-term outlook on lack of visibility … - We hosted CFO Leena Craelius and Head of IR Per Hillström on a roadshow in Paris in the wake of solid Q4 2023 results published last week. We found the tone of the group’s message relatively cautious on short-term trends with the anticipated volume rebound in Q1 2024 mostly due to seasonality and some restocking from services centres while underlying demand remains soft for most end-markets. Visibility is als...
>Cautious short-term outlook on lack of visibility … - We hosted CFO Leena Craelius and Head of IR Per Hillström on a roadshow in Paris in the wake of solid Q4 2023 results published last week. We found the tone of the group’s message relatively cautious on short-term trends with the anticipated volume rebound in Q1 2024 mostly due to seasonality and some restocking from services centres while underlying demand remains soft for most end-markets. Visibility is als...
>Good quality release despite some negative points and robust indications for Q1 - SSAB yesterday reported another robust set of results with Q4 EBITDA of SEK 3.4bn, 19% above consensus and 13% above our estimates (cf. yesterday’s First Take). SSAB Europe was the main cause for satisfaction, a performance that rewards the proactive cost management with efforts undertaken before most other steelmakers. In a challenging market environment, prices and volumes, reflecting...
>Publication de qualité malgré quelques bémols et indications solides sur le T1 - SSAB a livré hier une nouvelle publication solide avec un EBITDA T4 de 3,4 MdSEK supérieur de 19% au consensus et de 13% à nos propres attentes (cf. first take publié hier). SSAB Europe a été la principale source de satisfaction. Dans un environnement de marché difficile, la division a vu ses prix de vente et ses volumes résister, une performance qui récompense la gestion proactive des c...
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