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Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - Ongoing Supply Constraints ...

Ongoing Supply Constraints And Falling Raw Material Costs To Fuel 2025 Growth While aluminium demand is likely to remain subdued in the near term, we foresee supply disruptions due to China’s production cap, the removal of VAT rebates and US tariffs. Key growth drivers for PMETAL in 2025 include: a) the commencement of new alumina refineries in Indonesia (Nanshan Aluminium), b) lower alumina input costs, c) the expansion of VAP volume, and d) the ongoing supply constraints in aluminium productio...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+13)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - 1Q25: Within Expectations; ...

1Q25: Within Expectations; Expect Stronger 2H With New Alumina Expansion While 1Q25 earnings accounted for 23% of our full-year estimates, we expect a stronger 2H25 with the additional 1m tonnes of alumina capacity from its associate. PMETAL remains committed to long-term vertical growth via: a) developing a new alumina refinery in Indonesia (PT KAN) to strengthen supply integration; b) the listing of Nanshan to secure funding for further capacity expansion; and c) expanding VAP production to en...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Paula Ruth
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, May 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Opportunities In A Ringgit Resurgence Environment

Opportunities In A Ringgit Resurgence Environment The sharp ringgit appreciation driven by de-dollarisation and thus a broader reallocation of capital toward emerging market currencies support our view of a moderate upside for Malaysian equities. Key beneficiaries include importers and companies with high US dollar debt, while exporters may face margin pressure. While historical parallel suggests temporary trading opportunities, we recommend a tactical trading stance, focusing on value-driven op...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Red Dragon Sparks Green Shoots; Xi Effect In Motion; Sets S...

Red Dragon Sparks Green Shoots; Xi Effect In Motion; Sets Stage For Thematic Re-rating China president Xi Jinping’s visit to Malaysia (15-17 Apr 25) has already stirred excitement in the prop-con stocks yesterday.

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - Vertical Expansion And Fall...

Vertical Expansion And Falling Raw Material Costs Set to Fuel 2025 Growth We expect PMETAL’s growth to resume in 2025, driven by: a) the development of a new alumina refinery in Indonesia to strengthen supply integration; b) lower alumina input costs in 2025; and c) expanding VAP production to improve margins and profitability. While Trump's reciprocal tariffs may reduce downstream aluminium demand, supply constraints from China are expected to mitigate this impact. Maintain BUY with a revised t...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+11)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, April 08, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...

TFG THAIFOODS GROUP
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
AES AES CORPORATION
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
CC3 STARHUB LTD
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
S63 SINGAPORE TECHNOLOGIES ENGINEERING LTD
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
S68 SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LTD.
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
F34 WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
Y92 THAI BEVERAGE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
SE SEA ADS
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SE US SEA LIMITED
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
CVL CIVMEC
9CI CAPITALAND INVESTMENT LTD
EXCL XL AXIATA TBK PT
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BCOW 1895 BANCORP OF WISCONSIN INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
PAN SP PAN-UNITED CORPORATION (PAN SP)
Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Steering Through The Shifts Of A New Global Order

Steering Through The Shifts Of A New Global Order Contrary to the earlier rhetoric hinting at milder blanket tariffs, the actual measures were considerably harsher, particularly to countries with significant trade surpluses. However, the exclusion of the semiconductor and pharmaceutical sectors was a welcome surprise. While this removes an initial overhang, equity risk premium is likely to stay elevated on potential tit-for-tat responses among major economies. Our picks adopt a barbell approach,...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Infusing Some Of China’s Bull Run

Infusing Some Of China’s Bull Run Malaysian beneficiaries of China’s economic recovery may gain the spotlight, ahead of the anticipated China fiscal stimulus programmes and China president Xi Jinping’s planned visit to Malaysia. Key Bursa-listed companies include companies with China operations (Hong Leong Bank), industrial metal exporters (Press Metal), blockchain platform creator MYEG, and tourism plays (Alpha IVF, Genting Malaysia, Pavilion REIT).

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+19)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 24, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.78/Target: HK$5.90) 2024: Core earnings in line; expect low single digit throughput growth in 2025. CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb37.00/Target: Rmb50.00) 2024: Smooth progress in R&D promises bright long-term outlook. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$20.10/Target:HK$29.00) 2024: Results beat; strong growth momentum continues. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$167.60/Target: HK$216.00) ...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy: Bloodbath Deepens As Slowdown Fears Intensify; Stay Defensiv...

Strategy: Bloodbath Deepens As Slowdown Fears Intensify; Stay Defensive Defensive Play In Focus For Malaysian Investors Overnight, US stock markets suffered a brutal selloff, with major indices plunging deep into the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 2.08%, while the S&P 500 slid 2.69%. The Nasdaq Composite took the hardest hit, sinking 4.0%, as rate-sensitive technology stocks bore the brunt of the selloff.

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - 4Q24 Results Wrap-up: An Abysmal Quarter We cut our 2024-25...

4Q24 Results Wrap-up: An Abysmal Quarter We cut our 2024-25 forecasts by 1.3%/2.0% respectively as the 4Q24 results season endured a perfect storm of many non-systemic company-specific issues, resulting in 28% of our universe coverage delivering disappointing results or/and outlook. Although we remain bullish for meaningful recoveries from 2Q25 onwards from the current overly pessimistic risk aversion and in anticipation of easing external headwinds, and retain our valuation methodology, we cut ...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - 2024: Above Expectations; S...

2024: Above Expectations; Strong Associate Contribution And MJP Premium 2024 results came in above expectations, mainly due to stronger-than-expected profitability from Bintan and higher MJP premium. PMETAL remains committed to longterm vertical growth. Key initiatives include: a) developing a new alumina refinery in Indonesia to strengthen supply integration; b) listing Bintan to secure funding for further capacity expansion; and c) expanding VAP production to enhance margins and profitability....

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+2)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - 4Q24 Weakness Expected; Foc...

4Q24 Weakness Expected; Focus Remains On Long-term Vertical Growth While 4Q24 results are expected to be weaker sequentially due to a fire and higher alumina costs, PMETAL remains committed to long-term vertical growth. Key initiatives include: a) developing a new alumina refinery in Indonesia to strengthen supply integration; b) listing associate Bintan to secure funding for further capacity expansion; and c) expanding VAP production to enhance margins and profitability. Maintain BUY with an un...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+11)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, February 06, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer: Satisfactory consumption momentum during CNY. Online Travel Agencies: Spring Festival 2025 propelled by prosperous cross border traffic. INDONESIA Results Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,525/Target: Rp7,000): 2024: Strong loan growth and solid asset quality. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK/BUY/RM4.98/Target: RM7.00): 4Q24 weakness expected; new alumina refinery and VAP expansion to drive growth ahead. SKP Resources (SKP MK/BUY/RM1.06/Target:...

Malaysia Research Team ... (+2)
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - 1H25 Strategy: Relying On Domestic Sparks

1H25 Strategy: Relying On Domestic Sparks While Malaysian equities predictably kicked off the year with caution, the FBMKLCI is still adequately charged up by robust domestic-driven liquidity and events. We anticipate the market progressively adopting a risk-on mode as we expect US presidentelect Donald Trump to be pragmatic in executing trade policies. Key domestic investment themes include Iskandar 2.0, data centre rollout, renewable energy, wage hike winners, 4Q24 results season winners and b...

Wei Xiang Ku
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings (PMAH MK) - Vertical Expansion For Prol...

Vertical Expansion For Prolonged Multi-year Growth While horizontal expansion remains constrained by the difficulty of securing additional power supply, we note that PMETAL is pursuing vertical growth through the: a) development of a new alumina refinery in Indonesia, b) listing of PT Bintan to enable further capacity expansion, and c) expansion of VAP production for margin enhancement. We upgrade our 2025-26 earnings estimates by 12% and 17%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM7.00.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Tuesday, December 10, 2024

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: PPI deflation moderates; weaker-than-expected CPI inflation. Sector Property: Latest Politburo meeting vows stronger fiscal and monetary stimulus as well as unconventional counter-cyclical adjustments for 2025. INDONESIA Strategy Key Takeaways From Regional Strategy Conference: Our top picks are ASII, BMRI, BBNI, BBTN, BRIS, CMRY, KLBF, SMRA, ACES and GOTO. We have an end-25 target of 8,200 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications: 9M24 earnings grew 4...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy: 1H25 Strategy – Adequately Charged Up

1H25 Strategy – Adequately Charged Up While likely to kick off the year with caution, the FBMKLCI is still adequately electrified to deliver good positive gains, charged up by robust domestic liquidity. We introduce our end-25 FBMKLCI target of 1,800, and we anticipate the market to steadily adopt a progressively risk-on mode as we expect US president-elect Donald Trump to be pragmatic in executing trade policies. Key investment themes include Iskandar 2.0, data centre rollout and China’s econom...

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