1H26 Strategy: Fired Up For Outperformance Highlights Malaysian equities are fired up for outperformance in 2026, fuelled primarily by pre-GE domestic liquidity, the ringgit’s appreciation, and a corporate earnings growth recovery. Externally, we foresee cooling tensions over global trade and geopolitics (amid a doveish US monetary policy). We introduce our end-26 FBMKLCI target of 1,760. The index could potentially peak at the 1,800 level before the market turns risk-off towards year-end,...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGH...
3Q25 Results Wrap-up: Improvement In Market Breadth And Outlook Highlights The substantial improvements in market earnings breadth in the 3Q25 results season reinforce our view of improving corporate earnings momentum in 2026. Companies which topped dividend expectations were amply rewarded, eg TIME.com and CIMB. Strategy: Remain risk-on. Year-end window dressing could modestly propel the FBMKLCI to exceed our end-25 FBMKLCI target of 1,640. Top picks: Fraser & Neave Holdings, Hong Leong...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
3Q25: Within Expectations; Strong 4Q25 Anticipated Highlights Press Metal’s results are within expectations, backed by strong aluminium prices with relatively low alumina cost. We expect a sequentially stronger 4Q25, driven by further strengthening in aluminium prices following the Fed’s rate cut in Sep 25, alongside lower alumina costs. We foresee aluminium prices continuing to trend higher, supported by ongoing supply tightness and a favourable monetary policy environment. We upgrade o...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
Budget 2026: The People’s Budget Highlights While the Fourth MADANI Budget, themed “The People’s Budget”, is broadly market-neutral as anticipated. Its expansionary stance anchored by tighter fiscal discipline provides a more resilient buffer against external uncertainties. Key highlights include marginally higher development expenditure, a stronger boost to high-value industries, continued cash assistance, Visit Malaysia Year 2026 handouts, higher sin taxes, the introduction of a carbon tax...
Budget 2026 Preview: Elevation, Empowerment And Reformation Highlights As the first budget under the 13MP (to be tabled on 10 October), Budget 2026 is expected to be market-neutral but expansionary, and to anchor on two key pillars – empowering Malaysia’s economy and elevating the rakyat’s wellbeing through structural reforms. While indirect tax measures alongside a more targeted subsidy framework could be introduced/reiterated, its pro-growth, pro-FDI and pro-ESG orientation that drives a n...
2Q25 Results Wrap-up: A Steadier 2H25 Expected As feared, the 2Q25 results season remained underwhelming which we attribute to the US’ highly disruptive trade policies as well as soft domestic consumption. Accordingly, we trim our bottom-up 2025-26 forecasts by 2.8%/2.6% respectively. Nevertheless, with the worst of the US trade policy threats behind us (and factoring in hopes that the Trump administration’s trade policies could be at least partially reversed), we raise our end-25 FBMKLCI target...
2Q25: Within Expectations; Expect Stronger 2H With New Alumina Expansion 1H25 results came in within expectations with earnings mainly driven by higher all-in aluminium prices. We expect a stronger 2H25 with the additional 1m tonnes of alumina capacity from its associate. PMETAL remains committed to long-term vertical growth via: a) developing a new alumina refinery in Indonesia (KAN) to strengthen supply integration, and b) expanding VAP production to enhance margins and profitability. Maintain...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth turns positive on price cuts. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$43.72/Target: HK$57.70): 1H25: Margins miss due to transition period; meaningful recovery in 2H25. Maintain BUY. AIA Group (1299 HK/BUY/HK$73.45/Target: HK$91.00): 1H25: In-line VONB growth; strong OPAT beat. EVE Energy (300014 HK/HOLD/ Rmb48.07/Target: Rmb50.00): 2Q25: Earnings miss due to lowe...
Winners/Losers Of China’s Anti-Involution Policy While still in early days, the recent momentum in China’s anti-involution policy/ movement to curb excessive domestic competition should create winners and losers among Bursa-listed companies. This policy, which should lead to more rational pricing within China’s ultra-competitive sectors, should benefit selected Malaysian companies which export to have associates or subsidiaries in China. Losers could include some China-dependent importers (eg so...
Ongoing Supply Constraints And Falling Raw Material Costs To Fuel 2025 Growth While aluminium demand is likely to remain subdued in the near term, we foresee supply disruptions due to China’s production cap, the removal of VAT rebates and US tariffs. Key growth drivers for PMETAL in 2025 include: a) the commencement of new alumina refineries in Indonesia (Nanshan Aluminium), b) lower alumina input costs, c) the expansion of VAP volume, and d) the ongoing supply constraints in aluminium productio...
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
1Q25: Within Expectations; Expect Stronger 2H With New Alumina Expansion While 1Q25 earnings accounted for 23% of our full-year estimates, we expect a stronger 2H25 with the additional 1m tonnes of alumina capacity from its associate. PMETAL remains committed to long-term vertical growth via: a) developing a new alumina refinery in Indonesia (PT KAN) to strengthen supply integration; b) the listing of Nanshan to secure funding for further capacity expansion; and c) expanding VAP production to en...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales dip slightly wow. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and XPeng. Results Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK$9.57/Target: HK$12.10) 4QFY25: Core business is solid, but bottom line impacted by non-core items. Update Shenzhou International Group Holdings (2313 HK/BUY/HK$56.90/Target: HK$85.60) Expect unchanged 10% order volume growth for 2025;...
Opportunities In A Ringgit Resurgence Environment The sharp ringgit appreciation driven by de-dollarisation and thus a broader reallocation of capital toward emerging market currencies support our view of a moderate upside for Malaysian equities. Key beneficiaries include importers and companies with high US dollar debt, while exporters may face margin pressure. While historical parallel suggests temporary trading opportunities, we recommend a tactical trading stance, focusing on value-driven op...
Vertical Expansion And Falling Raw Material Costs Set to Fuel 2025 Growth We expect PMETAL’s growth to resume in 2025, driven by: a) the development of a new alumina refinery in Indonesia to strengthen supply integration; b) lower alumina input costs in 2025; and c) expanding VAP production to improve margins and profitability. While Trump's reciprocal tariffs may reduce downstream aluminium demand, supply constraints from China are expected to mitigate this impact. Maintain BUY with a revised t...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.