Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
Rising Yields a Problem?; Russell 2000 Breakout We maintain our near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), which has remained in place since 4/22/25, aside from one week (11/19/25-11/25/25) when we flipped to neutral. Our intermediate-term bullish outlook has been in place since our 5/14/25 Compass. We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term v...
New Lockout Rally Underway? We had a near-term bullish outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) from 4/22/25 to 11/19/25. After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass last week, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ continue to hold. We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view...
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