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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR) (Over Weight) Q4 24: Trends remain tough, but som...

Altice France reported results today and gave a lot more detail than they have done recently, including allowing some Q&A on the call. We give a preliminary overview of the trends in this report and will host a call in the coming days to look at the results in more detail, as there were some interesting new developments, including comments on M&A, NPS, KPIs, xpFibre sale and HFC switch-off.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR) (Overweight) Altice International (Equal Weight) ...

In our piece initiating coverage on Bouygues (HERE) from last week we outlined our view that the likelihood of French Telco M&A seems to be increasing, and that there is potentially now board pressure to sell at SFR.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR)/Orange/Iliad/Bouygues ARCEP customer survey 2024 ...

ARCEP has just published its 2024 customer satisfaction data. It makes for interesting reading for all the French operators. We show the key conclusions in this report.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR) (Most Preferred) Altice France reaches agreement ...

Altice France has finally reached an agreement with its creditors (SSN and unsecureds). The agreement is pretty similar to the Cleansing statement (the main change being an equity stale for the unsecureds), and implies a c17% write-down in SSN before the equity stake. The equity stake is an important part of the deal, and we are currently below implied consensus expectations for the value here

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most preferred) xpFibre ReCap and potential stake sale...

TMT has published an interview with Andras Kranicz, Managing Director and Head of Infrastructure Finance Europe, BNP Paribas, in which a €5.8bn refinancing package is mentioned for xpFibre. The article goes on to talk about a potential xpFibre stake sale by Drahi. We run through the implications of this news in this short piece

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU Telecoms - M&A Outlook for 2025 The Calm Before the Storm

The sector has had one of its best years for share price performance in 2024. This is impressive, but even more so when one considers that there is limited M&A premium embedded in any share prices – indeed 2024 saw the lowest amount of M&A activity since 2016.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR) (Most Preferred) Q3 24: Weaker B2C SR trends in Fr...

Altice France reported results today, there was no Q&A on the call. We give a preliminary overview of the trends in this report, and will host a call on Monday of next week to look at the results in more detail, including a deep dive into valuation, as it is looks increasingly likely that bondholders will receive an equity stake in NewCo as part of any future deal with Drahi.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most Preferred) Cleansing statement, summary of latest...

Altice France has released a “Cleansing statement” detailing the latest offers made between Drahi and SteerCo. We summarize these offers in this report. It looks like the two parties are inching towards a deal.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most Preferred) Updating Drahi net worth for recent ne...

There have been several bits of SFR-related newsflow over the past week or so, including some new tariffs in France (from Bouygues HERE, and a new cut from Iliad today), some press reports on Apollo lending (HERE), an xpFibre re-fi (HERE), an extension of the SteerCo co-operation agreement to Feb 2026 (HERE), a new valuation for Drahi’s stake in German Fibre JV OXG (HERE) and a new offer to lenders from Drahi (HERE).

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most Preferred) Our take on the latest reported offers

According to recent reports on Bloomberg, an offer has been made from the SSN creditors to Patrick Drahi which is in response to the offer made by Drahi in July.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France & Interational Q2 24: Better B2C trends in France, but...

Altice France and International reported within a few hours of each other today, and so we combine a comment on both into this one report. There was no Q&A on the Altice France call.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Most Preferred) Altice International (Most Preferred) ...

Sotheby’s has announced that it has sold a minority stake to ADQ, an Abu Dhabi-based investment and holding company for US$1bn. Under the terms of the agreement, “ADQ will acquire newly issued shares of Sotheby’s to reduce leverage and support the company’s growth and innovation plans” – details are thin, but in this short piece we look at how the proceeds might be used and how the price compares to our valaution.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice International sells Teads - Implications for ATCI and SFR

Altice International has announced that it has sold Teads in a US$1bn dollar deal. We look at the deal and the implications for Altice International and Altice France in this short report.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France - Sotheby's Q1 24: LTM EBITDA -19%, but early in the auc...

Sotheby’s has reported Q1 24 results, with LTM revenue and EBITDA down -11% and -19% respectively. ND/EBITDA is up to 8.1x.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France and International Q1 24: Better B2C SR trends in France...

Altice France and International reported within a few hours of each other today, and so we combine a comment on both into one report. There was no Q&A on the Altice France call.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

European Telecoms High Yield review Setting out our key preferences

We published our Global High Yield Quarterly this week – HERE. For a European perspective, we provide a summary of our thoughts and ideas on the European HY issuers in this piece, which takes excerpts from the Global HYQ and adds to it, including asset cover and a summary of our most preferred and least preferred names.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France - Sotheby's Q4 23: Solid numbers, no big dividend to Dra...

Sotheby’s has reported Q4 23 results, with LTM revenue and EBITDA down -6% and -9% respectively.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR)/Orange/Iliad/Bouygues ARCEP 2023 customer survery...

ARCEP published its 2023 customer satisfaction data today. It makes for interesting reading for all the French operators. We show the key conclusion in this report. It is perhaps of particular interest to SFR investors: our view is that SFR’s troubles are mainly customer related as opposed to do with network or price (although all three are inter-linked obviously).

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France: The bonds are discounting too bearish an outcome

Since the Altice bombshell on 20th March, investors have been trying to work out exactly what it is that Patrick Drahi wants: does he want to check out? Does he want to retain market access?

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France Q4 23: Weak guidance and an attempt to strong-arm lender...

Altice has reported a god set of results, but EBITDA is supported by a material amount of content cost support, and ex this, results are in-line.

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