We see near-term downside risk to NII forecasts, and expect declines to intensify in Q1 as timing effects reverse. Still, we continue to see solid value in the sector and believe recent sell-offs on tariff concerns present attractive buying opportunities, as the market again seems to fail to appreciate the earnings resilience of the Swedish banks. We have cut our 2025–2026e EPS by c5% and our target prices by c15% on average (also reflecting the stocks are trading ex-dividend for 2024). We expec...
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