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Peter Low
  • Peter Low

Sappi - Earnings Flash - Q4 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Sappi reported weak Q4/24-25 results yesterday, with sales down 5.1% y-o-y and adjusted EBITDA sliding 51% owing to adverse development in price and mix. FCF improved y-o-y, while net leverage rose 0.6x sequentially to 3.8x. Sappi expects Q1/25-26 adjusted EBITDA to be lower q-o-q. Comparables should ease materially after Q1/25-26, and we expect the company to deliver stronger EBITDA in the year, which should support modest deleveraging. 

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Telecom Italia, Banijay, Modulaire, Borr Drilling, Bombardier, Nissan Motor, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Air France-KLM, Victoria

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Banijay, Altice France (SFR), Telecom Italia, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Oriflame, Flora Food Group, Gestamp, Air France-KLM, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Stena AB, Klockner Pentaplast, Bombardier, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot), Novelis, PeopleCert

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - Forest & Paper Products And Containers & Packag...

The Europe HY Trade Book - Forest & Paper Products And Containers & Packaging includes current trade recommendations drawn from our coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and peer tables.

Felix Fischer ... (+3)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Guala Closures, Aston Martin, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Sappi

Peter Low
  • Peter Low
Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Multiversity, TalkTalk, Tullow Oil, Softbank Group, Novelis

Felix Fischer ... (+4)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SIG plc, Sappi, Multiversity, Almaviva, Engineering Group, Telecom Italia, Synthomer, TK Elevator, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot), Ardagh

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Cheplapharm, Standard Profil, Vedanta Resources, Nissan Motor, Azelis, Altice France (SFR), Morrisons, Intrum

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - May 2025 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Sappi, Telecom Italia, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Nomad Foods (Iglo), Novelis, Recordati, Gestamp

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Gestamp, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Sappi, TalkTalk, Telecom Italia, CeramTec, Azelis, Synthomer, Victoria, Pasubio, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot), Cheplapharm

Ian Wong ... (+3)
  • Ian Wong
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SIG plc, Trivium, Sappi, Grupo Antolin, TeamSystem

Ian Wong ... (+4)
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SPIE, Air France-KLM, TAP, Advanz Pharma, Progroup, The Very Group, Best Secret (Schustermann & Borenstein), TK Elevator, Sappi, Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet), Nobian, CMA CGM

Peter Low
  • Peter Low

Sappi - Event Flash - EUR 300 Mn 7NC3 SLB Offering - Lucror Analytics

Sappi is out in the market with a EUR 300 mn 7NC3 sustainability-linked bond offering. Proceeds from the offering will be used to repay EUR 240 mn of bonds due 2026, place USD 52 mn of cash on balance sheet and pay transaction fees. The transaction should be broadly leverage neutral, with reported gross leverage of 2.3x and reported net leverage of 1.9x. We view the proposed transaction favourably, as it will lengthen the debt maturity profile. However, interest costs will likely increase as...

Haidje Rustau ... (+5)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Progroup, SIG plc, Sappi, Pro-Gest, Altice France (SFR), Tullow Oil, Nobian, Motel One, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Recordati, Verisure

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Aston Martin, Voyage Care, International Personal Finance, Altice France (SFR), Telecom Italia, Digi Communications, Sunrise, Techem, Sappi, David Lloyd Leisure, TAP, Nexi, Ardagh, Encore Capital (formerly Cabot), Victoria

Peter Low
  • Peter Low

Sappi - Earnings Flash - Q1 FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Sappi has reported solid Q1/24-25 numbers, with sales rising 7.2% y-o-y and adjusted EBITDA surging 56% thanks to higher volumes, favourable prices and mix, as well as lower costs. While FCF deteriorated and remained negative, net leverage improved 0.2x q-o-q to 1.9x on the back of EBITDA growth. We foresee that EBITDA will continue to grow in FY 2024-25, given the strong start to the year. However, Q2 EBITDA should be softer y-o-y (vs. USD 180 mn in Q2/23-24), owing to mill conversion and m...

Ian Wong ... (+5)
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Kantar, Loxam, Sappi, Crown Holdings, TI Fluid Systems, Sasol, Ontex

Haidje Rustau ... (+5)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Altice International, Sappi, Elior, Flora Food Group (formerly Upfield), Softbank Group, Vedanta Resources, Asmodee, Crown Holdings

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