AEONTS reported a 1QFY26 net profit of Bt772m (+47% yoy, +6% qoq), in line with our and consensus expectations. Its loan portfolio contracted 2.8% yoy but remained flat qoq in 1QFY26. We attribute the qoq increase in 1QFY26 credit cost to management foreseeing future uncertainties and their need for prudence. We expect a continued share buyback to help push the share price to rally from its bottom level. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt140.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB/BUY/Bt94.50/Target: Bt140.00) 1QFY26: Results in line; NPL ratio down qoq but credit cost up qoq. Update Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/HOLD/Bt21.90/Target: Bt21.00) Record-high earnings expected in 2Q25, but outlook turns cautious. Downgrade to HOLD. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt170.50/Target: Bt160.00) 2Q25 net profit expected to recover qoq.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. INDONESIA Update Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,720/Target: Rp6,000): We expect 2Q25 results to remain strong; double-digit guidance remains intact. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Inventory continues t...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
AEONTS will announce its 1QFY26 earnings results on 9 Jul 25. We expect the company to post a 1QFY26 net profit of Bt751m (+43% yoy, +4% qoq). AEONTS guides that it typically sells written-off receivables twice a year. Meanwhile, the share repurchase programme should help to limit share price downside. Currently, AEONTS has already bought back 1.12m shares, accounting for 44.6% of the total budget. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt140.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Metals And Mining: Copper: Trade uncertainties cloud 2H25; decarbonisation anchors long-term bull case. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Banking liquidity: Measures underway. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Higher production and inventory build-up in May 25. Update QL Resources (QLG MK/HOLD/RM4.56/Target: RM4.80): Fairly insulated from trade tariff war but overall outlook is unexciting. Maintain HOLD. SINGAPORE Update ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/BUY/S$1.41/Target: S$1.71): Incr...
AEONTS reported a 4QFY25 net profit of Bt725m (-34% yoy, -8% qoq), in line with our and consensus expectations. FY25 net profit was Bt2.86b, -12.2% yoy. Loan portfolio contracted 2.6% yoy in FY25. AEONTS reported an impressive qoq reduction in credit cost and NPL ratio in 4QFY25. We expect to see a loan growth of 3% yoy in FY26. The expected policy rate cuts will serve as tailwinds. Maintain BUY. Target price is Bt152.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Banking Playing safe amid tariff fears. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$1.75/Target: HK$2.42) FY26: New rounds of marketing campaigns to fuel growth. INDONESIA Results Merdeka Copper Gold (MDKA IJ/BUY/Rp1,040/Target: Rp1,900) FY24: Below our and street’s expectations MALAYSIA Sector Gloves ...
AEONTS will announce its 4QFY25 results on 9 Apr 25. We expect the company to post a 4QFY25 net profit of Bt734m (-33% yoy, -7% qoq). The qoq reduction can be mainly attributed to the absence of a gain on the sale of investment. Moreover, the company has guided that there will be no gains from selling written-off receivables in 4QFY25. However, we are convinced that there will be a continuous improvement in asset quality. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt152.00.
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$97.90/Target: HK$108.80): 2024: Revenue beats estimates but profit in line; lower sales target and conservative margin outlook for Fila. Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$56.35/Target: HK$68.00): 4Q24: Earnings up 34% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. HUTCHMED (China) (13 HK/BUY/HK$23.90/Target: HK$30.00): 2024: Became self-sustainable; Fruquintinib continues to drive growth in 2025. Kerry Properties (683 HK/BUY/HK$18.74/Target:...
AEONTS posted a 3QFY25 net profit of Bt789m (+12% yoy, -4% qoq). The results were above our and consensus expectations by 14% and 15% respectively. However, there was a gain on sale of investment in 3QFY25. If we strip out this gain, the bottom line would be Bt695m, which in line with our estimation. Management guided for a continuous improvement in asset quality and resumption of growth in loan portfolio. We maintain BUY with a higher target price of Bt160.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB/BUY/Bt121.00/Target: Bt160.00) 3QFY25: Results beat; gain picks up in the bottom line with lower credit costs. Update I-TAIL Corporation (ITC TB/HOLD/Bt20.10/Target: Bt22.00) Less exciting earnings growth in 2025. Downgrade to HOLD.
GREATER CHINA Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$75.25/Target: HK$120.60): Improved 4Q24 sales; Fila the bright spot; mid-to-long term sales targets maintained. Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$284.00/Target: HK$352.00): 4Q24 results preview: Strong earnings growth on reviving turnover. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ/BUY/Rp1,275/Target: Rp1,800): Higher sales growth in pharma and medical devices expected in 2025. MALAYSIA Sector Gloves: After the stellar share price perfo...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Media Recommend selective plays amid unexciting sector earnings momentum. Update Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB/BUY/Bt125.00/Target: Bt158.00) 3QFY24 results preview: Resuming loan growth signals good prospects. Upgrade to BUY.
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: Nov 24 exports growth slowed; in line with weak PMI new export orders. Sector Logistics: Nov 24 industry data remained healthy; expect positive sector outlook in 2025. Maintain OVERWEIGHT, with JDL being our top pick. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/NOT RATED/HK$1.98): Strategic marketing efforts driving robust growth. INDONESIA Sector Banking: Investor feedback: Investors remain cautious on rate cut uncertainty and liquidity tightening. MALAYSIA...
AEONTS posted a 2QFY24 net profit of Bt822m, down 2% yoy but up 57% qoq. The results were far above our and consensus expectations by 25% and 18% respectively. The qoq jump in earnings was primarily due to a gain in sales and lower-than-expected provision expenses. We reckon that the qoq reduction in credit cost indicates a good asset quality outlook. However, we will cautiously monitor the asset quality. We maintain HOLD with an unchanged target price of Bt150.00.
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