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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM & Japan High Yield Top picks Q1 Update: Add Liberty Puerto ...

We update our 2025 Top Picks for our HY Universe outside of Europe & the US. Following our deep dive on Puerto Rico we add the PR debt stack to our top picks.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – On Fire - NSR GEM Top-10 April 25 Update. ...

Our picks were on fire in March, with our top EM Telcos now up 27% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts catalysts, help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $6, +35%) Q4 24: Another solid quarter, encourag...

IHS Towers has reported another solid set of results. Both group revenue and EBITDA came in above consensus expectations (and our expectations) and the company has provided encouraging FY25 guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

China Tower (Buy, TP: HK$14, +14%) Q4 24 Quick Take: Rising Two Wings...

China Tower saw Q4 revenue and EBITDA ahead of consensus by 0.9% and 4.8% respectively, led by strong momentum in Two Wings and good cost control. As margins have started to stabilise and earnings up 10% in 2024, the company announced an 11% increase in dividends which implies a 76% payout, in-line with its guidance. As depreciation is set to fall this year, we expect earnings to grow rapidly which should be supportive of the ongoing shareholder remuneration policy. At 3.5x FY25 EV/EBITDA, China...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Helios Towers (Buy, TP: BGp140, +43%) Q4 24: Solid quarter; door for ...

Helios Towers has reported a solid set of Q4 results and the company now expects to start shareholder return in 2026.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers NSR GEM Top-10 March ‘25 Update: February a...

February was another good month for our top EM Telcos, now up 15% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. With performance strong so far, we make no changes to our picks.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – NSR EM Top picks Feb 25 update. Top-8 beco...

We update the NSR GEM Top Picks list. No stocks are dropped, and we add LILAC and TIM Brasil to our list, extending it to a Top-10 list from Top-8. Our picks had a good start, up 12% on average since the start of the year. This note also includes key news & other thoughts in order to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM & Japan High Yield Top picks for 2025 Top picks: Liquid Int...

We run through 2025 Top Picks for our HY Universe outside of Europe & the US, including Latin America, Africa, VEON & Rakuten. Top picks for 2025 are: Liquid Intelligent, VEON and IHS Towers

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...

In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Chinese Telcos & Tower Outlook 2025: Expect performance to continue,...

Despite slowing top line, 2024 was another banner year for investors in the Chinese Telcos & China Tower as capex remains contained and shareholder remuneration improves.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $6, +86%) IHS (Buy) – Sale of its 70% stake in I...

IHS has announced that it has signed a definitive agreement to sell its 70% stake in IHS Kuwait. Proceeds will be mainly used to reduce debt.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $6, +140%) Q3 24: Solid quarter, lower capex guid...

IHS Towers has reported a solid quarter. Both group revenue and EBITDA came in above consensus expectations (and our expectations) and the company posted strong margins this quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Helios Towers (Buy, TP: GBp140, +33%) Q3 24: Mixed quarter; encouragi...

Helios Towers has reported a mixed set of Q3 results. Revenue missed consensus while EBITDA came in in line. The company has increased guidance for organic tenancy net additions and is guiding towards the high end of the FY24 guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

China Tower (Buy, TP: HK$ 1.40, +30%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster EBITDA...

EBITDA and net profit trends improved in Q3 despite a slowdown in Tower revenue. Nevertheless, higher growth DAS and Smart Tower business continue to perform decently, with the latter accelerating.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Towers Q2 CY24 review: Improving trends in China and Africa, Indon...

Revenue and EBITDA trends improved again for China Tower, which alongside stable depreciation supported bottom-line momentum. In Indonesia, MTEL and TOWR continued to perform where the latter benefited from faster growth in its Fibre business thus should act as a buffer should the XL and Smartfren deal were to proceed.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Helios Towers - Initiation. Buy. Price target GBp 140

Helios Towers is an African-focused TowerCo with largest markets being DRC and Tanzania (and Oman). The group has been less aggressive around expansion than its peer, IHS, and leverage is under control.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $8, +170%) Investor call feedback

We had an encouraging call last week with IHS CFO, Steve Howden. Credit investors have started to recognise the positive steps taken by the company in recent months, although the equity continues to lag.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $8, +158%) Q2 24: Solid quarter and encouraging ...

IHS Towers has reported a solid set of Q2 results. Organic top line growth has seen a strong acceleration, driven by Nigeria, while margins improved nicely too. There was no new news regarding the strategic review. However, the company made a key announcement last week about the contract renewals with MTN Nigeria (HERE).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +73%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $8, +167%) MTN and I...

Both MTN Nigeria and IHS Nigeria have announced the renewal and extension of all their MLAs in Nigeria, including new financial terms. This development is materially positive for both companies in our view. This means all MLAs in Africa between MTN and IHS have now been renewed and extended. Separately, MTN has also announced the exit from Guinea-Bissau.

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