reports
- Simen Mortensen
Q1 reporting continues
This week, Castellum and Balder reported Q1 results, Wihlborgs announced a new lease, and SBB corrected 2023 profits and dissolved Unobo. Norges Bank has signalled interest rates might stay higher for longer. K2A has halted preference dividend payments. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.69% for 2024e and 4.97% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Olof Cederholm
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Olof Cederholm
ABB Ltd: 2 directors
Two Directors at ABB Ltd sold 62,402 shares at between 44.780CHF and 44.933CHF. The significance rating of the trade was 79/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
UMI UMICORE
8TRA TRATON SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jerôme Bodin
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
BOL BOLLORE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
MAP MAPFRE SA
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
UMI UMICORE
8TRA TRATON SE
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
SKF : 2024 guidance still looks ambitious to us, based mainly on H2
>Q1 2024: margin resilience (+30bp for adjusted EBIT margin to 13.4%) - SKF reported on the morning of Friday, 26 April, Q1 2024 results ahead of expectations at the adjusted EBIT level.Revenues were down 7% on an organic basis (vs css at -6.5%). Although not quantified by SKF, volumes were down significantly, on our estimates (~-10%) with a still positive price-mix effect (~3%).The adjusted EBIT margin was up 30bp to 13.4% (vs css at 12.9%), a good performa...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Autoliv : Still solid but fairly priced
>Q1 2024 ahead of the consensus, 2024 guidance confirmed - Autoliv reported on Friday during trading hours Q1 2024 results ahead of the consensus (+6% at the EBIT level) but in line with our estimates. The group witnessed continued solid sales momentum (sales of $ 2.6bn, up 5% y-o-y, i.e. an outperformance of 6 pts, slightly above European peers), and strong earnings growth (adjusted EBIT of € 199m, up 52% y-o-y, implying margin of 7.6%, +230bps y-o-y) thanks to a fa...
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
Autoliv : Toujours solide mais pleinement valorisé
>T1 supérieur au consensus, guidance 2024 confirmée - Autoliv a publié vendredi en séance des résultats T1 supérieurs aux attentes du consensus (+6% au niveau de l’EBIT) mais en ligne avec les nôtres. Le groupe fait un état d’une dynamique commerciale toujours solide (CA 2,6 Md$, +5% org., soit une surperformance de 6 pts, légèrement supérieure aux pairs européens), et d’une forte progression de ses résultats (EBIT ajusté de 199 M$, +52% y-o-y, soit une marge de 7,6%...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
SKF : La guidance 2024 nous semble toujours ambitieuse, reposant princ...
>T1 2024 : résilience des marges (+30 pb de marge d’EBIT ajusté à 13.4%) - SKF a publié vendredi matin des résultats T1 2024 supérieurs aux attentes au niveau de l’EBIT ajusté.Le chiffre d’affaires était en recul organique de 7% (vs css à -6.5%). Bien que non quantifiés par SKF, nous estimons que les volumes étaient en recul significatif (~-10%) avec un effet prix/mix toujours positif (~3%).La marge d’EBIT ajusté était en hausse de 30 pb à 13.4% (vs css à 12...
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Viktor Stenlöf
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
DIOS DIOS FASTIGHETER AB
EAST EASTNINE AB
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
A1W9VK PLATZER FASTIGHETER HOLDING AB CLASS B
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
STEF B STENDOERREN FASTIGHETER AB CLASS B
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
NYF NYFOSA AB
FAST A FASTPARTNER AB
K2A B K2A KNAUST & ANDERSSON FASTIGHETER AB
KLARA B KLARABO SVERIGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORG FASTIGHETER AB(PUBL)
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB
SLP B SWEDISH LOGISTIC PROPERTY AB
FASTAT-SE FASTATOR
LOGI.B-SE LOGISTEA AB
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Olof Cederholm
- Mattias Holmberg
SKF (Hold, TP: SEK250.00) - Margins going in the right direction
Disregarding some unclarity on fixed-cost under-absorption during the conference call, we view SKF’s Q1 report as solid, especially the better-than-expected adj. EBIT margin, supporting the longer-term margin story. However, cash flow was on the soft side and we struggle to bridge the 2024 guidance, which could become a more prominent risk later in the year. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by 3% and target price to SEK250 (240), and reiterate our HOLD.
- Simen Mortensen
Q1 reporting season kicks off
Q1 reporting season kicked off this week, with results from Nyfosa, Entra, Wallenstam, Fabege, KMC Properties, Pandox, and Catena. In other news, Public Property Invest is to be listed on the Oslo stock exchange on 29 April. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.75% for 2024e and 5.04% for 2025e.
OLT OLAV THON EIENDOMSSELSKAP ASA
BALD B FASTIGHETS AB BALDER CLASS B
CAST CASTELLUM AB
CATE CATENA AB
WALL B WALLENSTAM AB CLASS B
ATRLJ B ATRIUM LJUNGBERG AB CLASS B
KMCP KMC PROPERTIES
ENTRA ENTRA ASA
POX PANDOX AB CLASS B
SBB B SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I NORDEN AB CLASS B
FABG FABEGE AB
WIHL WIHLBORGS FASTIGHETER AB
CORE B COREM PROPERTY GROUP (B)
KOJAMO KOJAMO OYJ
CTY1S CITYCON OYJ
NYF NYFOSA AB
SAGAB SAGAX
AURA AURORA EIENDOM
- Ahmed Ben Salem
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
SK SEB SA
GFC GECINA SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
UMI UMICORE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
SK SEB SA
GFC GECINA SA
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
AIR AIRBUS SE
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
UMI UMICORE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
SGSN SGS SA
TEN TENARIS S.A.
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
SKF : A resilient margin despite a marked decline in sales in Q1
>Q1 2024: sales down 7% organic, adjusted EBIT margin up 30bp - This morning, SKF published Q1 2024 results that came in a shade below forecasts on sales but beat expectations on the EBIT margin.Sales were SEK 24.7bn (consensus at SEK 24.8bn), an organic decline of -7% (consensus at -6.5%). This decline resulted in negative volumes at both divisions, with a -7.3% decline in sales for Industrial and -6.2% in Automotive. As expected, the group indicates a marked sl...
- Delphine Brault
- Quentin Borie
SKF : Une marge résiliente malgré la forte baisse du chiffre d’affaire...
>T1 2024 : CA en recul organique de 7%, marge d’EBIT ajusté en hausse de 30 pb - SKF a publié ce matin des résultats T1 2024 légèrement inférieurs aux attentes au niveau du chiffre d’affaires mais supérieurs sur la marge d’EBIT.Le CA atteint 24.7 MdSEK (consensus à 24.8 MdSEK), en recul organique de 7% (consensus à -6.5%). Ce recul embarque des volumes négatifs dans les deux divisions avec un recul du CA de 7.3% pour Industrial et de 6.2% pour Automotive. Comme a...
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Olof Cederholm
- Simen Mortensen
Entra (Hold, TP: NOK105.00) - Continued asset value decline
Entra reported weaker underlying Q1 results than we expected, as well as still-declining asset values (-2.5% QOQ) due to higher yield valuations. On increased market interest rates, we have cut our 2024–2026e FFO by c12–16%. We reiterate our HOLD, but have lowered our target price to NOK105 (115).
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