Below are the highlights of the 3Q25 results conference call. 3Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 2% y/y and was in line with consensus whilst being 2% below our forecast. Akzo adjusted FY25 adj EBITDA guidance from ‘above €1.48bn' to ‘around €1.48bn' which seems in line with our and consensus forecasts. FY performance is still to be supported by € 170m targeted gross savings. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and €65 TP.
AkzoNobel: 3Q25 in-line, FY guidance trimmed, €300m provision for Ichthys court case. Gimv: ImCheck Therapeutics checked out. Heineken: 3Q25 trading update; outlook FY25 slightly lowered. KPN: Ziggo 2Gbits internet roll out for c.7m homes by end 2025, full Netherlands by 2026. Randstad: 3Q25 result beats 5%; outlook 4Q25 also beats; strong OPEX performance
3Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 2% y/y and was in line with consensus whilst being 2% below our forecast. Akzo adjusted FY25 adj EBITDA guidance from ‘above € 1.48bn' to ‘around € 1.48bn' which seems in line with our and consensus forecasts. FY performance is still to be supported by € 170m targeted gross savings. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 TP.
Akzo Nobel: FX drives 2Q25 miss and FY guidance cut. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 1H25 results. Exor: In talks over Iveco sale. Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli 1H25 results. Proximus: CpaaS peer Sinch 2Q25 results hurt by FX. Signify: 2Q25 Preview, challenges ahead. Var Energi: Promising continuation of dividend. Vopak: Continued story. Wereldhave: Strong operational results, positive market tone, guidance raised. Events Calendar
2Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 2% y/y and came in about 2% below our and consensus forecasts. Akzo lowered FY25 adj EBITDA guidance by c. 5% (from ‘above € 1.55bn' to ‘above € 1.48bn'), attributing the reduction to FX changes. The new guidance calls for an adj EBITDA that would be at least flat, with performance supported by € 170m targeted gross savings. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 target price.
We update our model to reflect recent FX trends and a more cautious view on volumes. We trim our Adj. EBITDA estimates by c.3.5% yet increase our target price to €65 per share from €62, reflecting a higher multiple due to a re-rating of key peer PPG and an improved risk profile following the accretive divestment of AkzoNobel India.
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