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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel FIRST LOOK: 4Q EBITDA -4%, FY26 guidance slightly below exp...

4Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 4% y/y and was in line with our forecast while being 2% below consensus. Akzo guides for a FY26 adj EBITDA at or above € 1.47bn, which is at the low end 2% below our forecast and 4% below consensus. The merger with Axalta is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 target price.

Stefano Toffano
  • Stefano Toffano
Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

AkzoNobel/4Q25 preview: no change in demand trends yet/HOLD

We adjust our estimates to reflect the divestment of AkzoNobel India and recent FX and demand trends, with a continuation of the muted demand backdrop seen YTD, specifically in the US coatings segment. We maintain our HOLD recommendation and target price at €65 per share.

Guy Sips ... (+9)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, AKZA NA, IBAB BB, ONTEX BB, SEQUA BB, XIOR BB...

: ACKB BB, AKZA NA, IBAB BB, ONTEX BB, SEQUA BB, XIOR BB, DEME BB, ARG FP, ZEAL DC

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: Announces merger of equals with US coatings peer Axalta. EVS: 3Q25 preview. GBL: Sale of half of Umicore stake. IBA: Negative press on poor Proton Therapy results, controversy about Dutch PT centres

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel Feedback 3Q results conference call

Below are the highlights of the 3Q25 results conference call. 3Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 2% y/y and was in line with consensus whilst being 2% below our forecast. Akzo adjusted FY25 adj EBITDA guidance from ‘above €1.48bn' to ‘around €1.48bn' which seems in line with our and consensus forecasts. FY performance is still to be supported by € 170m targeted gross savings. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and €65 TP.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 3Q25 in-line, FY guidance trimmed, €300m provision for Ichthys court case. Gimv: ImCheck Therapeutics checked out. Heineken: 3Q25 trading update; outlook FY25 slightly lowered. KPN: Ziggo 2Gbits internet roll out for c.7m homes by end 2025, full Netherlands by 2026. Randstad: 3Q25 result beats 5%; outlook 4Q25 also beats; strong OPEX performance

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Akzo Nobel FIRST LOOK: 3Q adj. EBITDA -2%, FY EBITDA guidance slightly...

3Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 2% y/y and was in line with consensus whilst being 2% below our forecast. Akzo adjusted FY25 adj EBITDA guidance from ‘above € 1.48bn' to ‘around € 1.48bn' which seems in line with our and consensus forecasts. FY performance is still to be supported by € 170m targeted gross savings. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 TP.

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